Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan

#80.6:2.411:00Today2.6:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

121.0B365X8.50BFR21.10B365Margin at best7.4%Books3Markets29Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	21.0	7.50	1.10	9.0%
1xBet	18.0	8.50	1.08	9.9%
Betfair	18.0	8.50	1.08	9.9%
Best of all books	21.0	8.50	1.10	7.4%
Average	19.0	8.17	1.09	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MingəçevirŞahdağ

Last 10#8Table position#20.67Points per game2.503Form pts · last 5120.6Goals for · last 52.62.4Goals against · last 50.419Attack rating8114Defence rating8620Form rating8038H2H rating629Goals model9123Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 14:00 UTC

Mingəçevir

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:21 · per match 1.2 for, 2.1 against

27 Oct	A	Qabala	0-3	L
21 Oct	A	Xankəndi FK	1-0	W
15 Oct	H	Şimal	1-4	L
9 Oct	A	MOIK	0-3	L
17 Sep	H	Cəbrayıl	0-3	L
10 Sep	A	Səbail	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Zaqatala	2-2	D
28 May	A	Qabala	0-2	L
22 May	H	Səbail	4-1	W
15 May	H	MOIK	3-1	W

Şahdağ

7W 2D 1L · goals 26:4 · per match 2.6 for, 0.4 against

28 Oct	A	MOIK	9-1	W
21 Oct	H	Səbail	1-0	W
15 Oct	A	Xankəndi FK	0-1	L
7 Oct	H	Zaqatala	6-0	W
17 Sep	A	Şimal	4-1	W
9 Sep	H	Karvan	2-0	W
3 Sep	A	MOIK	1-0	W
22 May	H	Baku Sportinq	1-1	D
15 May	A	Səbail	0-0	D
5 May	H	Mingəçevir	2-0	W

Head to head

2Mingəçevir wins

3draws

10Şahdağ wins

15 meetings · goals 8:32 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Mingəçevir

5 May 2026Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Şahdağ2-0Mingəçevir
24 Dec 2025Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Mingəçevir1-1Şahdağ
1 Oct 2025Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Şahdağ0-0Mingəçevir
22 Mar 2017Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Mingəçevir1-0Şahdağ
27 Oct 2016Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Şahdağ2-1Mingəçevir
14 Apr 2016Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Mingəçevir1-0Şahdağ
19 Nov 2015Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Şahdağ2-0Mingəçevir
18 Apr 2015Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Mingəçevir0-6Şahdağ
8 Dec 2014Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Şahdağ4-0Mingəçevir
2 May 2014Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Mingəçevir1-2Şahdağ

Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 3 Nov 14:00 UTC

In the Birinci Dasta table, Mingəçevir sit 8th with 4 points from 6 games, while Şahdağ are 2nd with 15 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cəbrayıl	6	5	0	1	17:4	+13	15
2	Şahdağ	6	5	0	1	14:2	+12	15
3	MOIK	6	4	1	1	12:4	+8	13
4	Səbail	6	3	2	1	8:5	+3	11
5	Karvan	6	3	1	2	10:7	+3	10
6	Şimal	6	2	2	2	13:11	+2	8
7	Xankəndi FK	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
8	Mingəçevir	6	1	1	4	5:14	-9	4
9	Zaqatala	6	1	1	4	6:21	-15	4
10	Baku Sportinq	6	0	0	6	3:17	-14	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg15%19.0X11%8.17284%1.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.13 → 19.0 +210.0%X4.30 → 8.17 +90.0%21.39 → 1.09 -21.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
1xBet	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betfair	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	3.25	2.2%
Average	1.36	2.92	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.40	1.56	5.8%
Betfair	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Best of all books	2.40	1.56	5.8%
Average	2.39	1.54	6.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mingəçevir 0%Draw 50%Şahdağ 50%

The statistical model rates Mingəçevir at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Şahdağ at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 19.00 | 8.17 | 1.09, which imply roughly 12.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: Mingəçevir are 8th (4 pts, 5-14 goals), Şahdağ 2nd (15 pts, 14-2).

Over their last five matches, Mingəçevir averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Şahdağ averaged 2.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Şahdağ.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
19.0	8.17	1.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
5.20	1.04	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
4.50	1.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.39	1.55

1st half

1	X	2
10.1	3.00	1.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	33.5	33.5	23.5
HT X	38.5	12.0	4.27
HT 2	125.5	28.5	1.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.40	13.0	1.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.11	6.25
2.5	1.36	2.92
3.5	2.10	1.70
4.5	3.33	1.30
5.5	6.25	1.11

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.26	3.40
3	2.00	1.73
4	3.70	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	4.30	1.18
+1	1.94	1.77
+1.25	1.85	1.95
+1.5	1.71	2.11
+2	1.26	3.40
+2.25	1.85	1.95
+2.5	1.53	3.01

Next Birinci Dasta matches

5 Nov	Baku Sportinq – Xankəndi FK
5 Nov	Karvan – Şimal
5 Nov	Səbail – Cəbrayıl
5 Nov	Zaqatala – MOIK

All Birinci Dasta fixtures and the table

Latest Birinci Dasta results

22 Oct	Cəbrayıl 7-0 Zaqatala
22 Oct	Şimal 5-2 Baku Sportinq
22 Oct	MOIK 3-1 Karvan
21 Oct	Şahdağ 1-0 Səbail
21 Oct	Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir
16 Oct	Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK