Şahdağ vs 
Səbail• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 05:02 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.38 | 10.0% |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 10.8% |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.15 | 2.40 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 11.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.57 | 3.12 | 2.42 | 12.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.57 | 3.12 | 2.42 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.42 | 7.8% |
| Average | 2.64 | 3.16 | 2.40 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 09:30 UTC
Şahdağ
7W 2D 1L · goals 18:3 · per match 1.8 for, 0.3 against
| 15 Oct | A | Xankəndi FK | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Oct | H | Zaqatala | 6-0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Şimal | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Sep | H | Karvan | 2-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | MOIK | 1-0 | W |
| 22 May | H | Baku Sportinq | 1-1 | D |
| 15 May | A | Səbail | 0-0 | D |
| 5 May | H | Mingəçevir | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Apr | A | MOIK | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Apr | A | Zaqatala | 1-0 | W |
Səbail
6W 3D 1L · goals 22:8 · per match 2.2 for, 0.8 against
| 15 Oct | A | Zaqatala | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Oct | H | Karvan | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep | A | Baku Sportinq | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Mingəçevir | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | Xankəndi FK | 1-1 | D |
| 22 May | A | Mingəçevir | 1-4 | L |
| 15 May | H | Şahdağ | 0-0 | D |
| 6 May | A | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 30 Apr | H | Cəbrayıl | 6-0 | W |
| 23 Apr | A | Difai Ağsu | 4-0 | W |
Head to head
5 meetings · goals 3:13 · last 5: 0W 2D 3L for Şahdağ
| 15 May 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Səbail0-0Şahdağ |
| 18 Dec 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şahdağ2-2Səbail |
| 24 Sep 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Səbail2-0Şahdağ |
| 27 Mar 2017Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şahdağ0-4Səbail |
| 4 Nov 2016Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Səbail5-1Şahdağ |
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 21 Oct 14:50 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, Şahdağ sit 1st with 12 points from 5 games, while Səbail are 3rd with 11 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | MOIK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Karvan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 5.9% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 1.69 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 1.69 | 8.9% |
| Betano | 1.98 | 1.67 | 10.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.08 | 1.75 | 5.2% |
| Average | 2.01 | 1.71 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 1.90 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 1.87 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.77 | 2.00 | 6.5% |
| Average | 1.76 | 1.92 | 8.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Şahdağ at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Səbail at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.09 | 2.80, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Şahdağ win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: Şahdağ are 1st (12 pts, 13-2 goals), Səbail 3rd (11 pts, 8-4).
Over their last five matches, Şahdağ averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Səbail averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Şahdağ or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.64 | 3.16 | 2.40 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.76 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.76 | 1.92 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 2.04 | 3.07 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.97 | 2.33 | 2.77 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.46 | 13.9 | 27.0 |
| HT X | 6.25 | 4.91 | 5.88 |
| HT 2 | 27.5 | 13.4 | 4.00 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 8.50 | 1.95 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 10.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.30 | 3.11 |
| 2.5 | 2.01 | 1.71 |
| 3.5 | 3.50 | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 7.00 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 13.0 | 1.02 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 4.00 |
| 1.75 | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| 2 | 1.51 | 2.26 |
| 2.25 | 1.76 | 1.89 |
| 2.75 | 2.29 | 1.51 |
| 3 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 4 | 6.25 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| -0.25 | 2.20 | 1.55 |
| 0 | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| +0.25 | 1.66 | 2.07 |
| +0.75 | 1.32 | 2.93 |
| +1 | 1.16 | 4.20 |
4 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.55 | 1.08 |
| -1 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| +1.25 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
Next Birinci Dasta matches
| 22 Oct | MOIK – Karvan |
| 22 Oct | Cəbrayıl – Zaqatala |
| 22 Oct | Şimal – Baku Sportinq |
Latest Birinci Dasta results
| 21 Oct | Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir |
| 16 Oct | Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK |
| 16 Oct | Karvan 2-1 Cəbrayıl |
| 15 Oct | Mingəçevir 1-4 Şimal |
| 15 Oct | Xankəndi FK 1-0 Şahdağ |
| 15 Oct | Zaqatala 1-3 Səbail |