Şimal vs 
Baku Sportinq• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:41 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.68 | 4.16 | 7.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.10 | 11.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 3.68 | 4.16 | 7.4% |
| Average | 1.74 | 3.64 | 4.13 | 9.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 05:30 UTC
Şimal
3W 4D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against
| 15 Oct | A | Mingəçevir | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Xankəndi FK | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep | H | Şahdağ | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | MOIK | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | H | Cəbrayıl | 1-2 | L |
| 27 May | H | Qaradağ Lökbatan | 2-1 | W |
| 21 May | A | Cəbrayıl | 3-2 | W |
| 14 May | H | Difai Ağsu | 0-1 | L |
| 6 May | H | MOIK | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Apr | A | Safa Baku | 0-0 | D |
Baku Sportinq
2W 2D 6L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against
| 16 Oct | H | MOIK | 1-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Cəbrayıl | 0-2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Səbail | 0-1 | L |
| 10 Sep | A | Zaqatala | 0-3 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | Karvan | 0-3 | L |
| 22 May | A | Şahdağ | 1-1 | D |
| 15 May | H | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 7 May | A | Cəbrayıl | 3-2 | W |
| 30 Apr | H | Difai Ağsu | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Apr | A | Şimal | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Şimal
| 23 Apr 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şimal1-0Baku Sportinq |
| 17 Dec 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şimal0-1Baku Sportinq |
| 25 Sep 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Baku Sportinq4-1Şimal |
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 21 Oct 14:50 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, Şimal sit 6th with 5 points from 5 games, while Baku Sportinq are 10th with 0 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | MOIK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Karvan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 2.04 | 8.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.71 | 2.06 | 7.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Şimal at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Baku Sportinq at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.64 | 4.13, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Şimal win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: Şimal are 6th (5 pts, 8-9 goals), Baku Sportinq 10th (0 pts, 1-12).
Over their last five matches, Şimal averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Baku Sportinq averaged 0.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Şimal or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | 3.64 | 4.13 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 1.80 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.30 | 3.40 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.95 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.33 | 4.42 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.73 | 15.0 | 32.0 |
| HT X | 4.85 | 6.26 | 8.35 |
| HT 2 | 21.0 | 16.5 | 5.96 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 12.0 | 2.60 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 14.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 4.04 |
| 2 | 1.32 | 3.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.71 | 2.06 |
| 3 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 2.74 | 1.40 |
| 4.5 | 4.95 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 9.20 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.73 | 1.23 |
| -1 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| -0.75 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| -0.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| -0.25 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 0 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| +1 | 1.13 | 4.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.85 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
Next Birinci Dasta matches
| 22 Oct | MOIK – Karvan |
| 22 Oct | Cəbrayıl – Zaqatala |
Latest Birinci Dasta results
| 21 Oct | Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir |
| 21 Oct | Şahdağ 1-0 Səbail |
| 16 Oct | Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK |
| 16 Oct | Karvan 2-1 Cəbrayıl |
| 15 Oct | Mingəçevir 1-4 Şimal |
| 15 Oct | Xankəndi FK 1-0 Şahdağ |