MOIK vs 
Karvan• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:41 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 9.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 11.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 9.5% |
| Average | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 10.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 05:30 UTC
MOIK
4W 2D 4L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against
| 16 Oct | A | Baku Sportinq | 3-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Mingəçevir | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Xankəndi FK | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Şimal | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Sep | H | Şahdağ | 0-1 | L |
| 21 May | H | Difai Ağsu | 4-0 | W |
| 15 May | A | Mingəçevir | 1-3 | L |
| 6 May | A | Şimal | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Apr | H | Şahdağ | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | Safa Baku | 0-3 | L |
Karvan
3W 2D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against
| 16 Oct | H | Cəbrayıl | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Oct | A | Səbail | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | A | Şahdağ | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Sep | A | Baku Sportinq | 3-0 | W |
| 24 May | A | Imisli FK | 1-1 | D |
| 15 May | H | Qabala | 1-2 | L |
| 10 May | A | Turan | 0-1 | L |
| 5 May | H | Neftchi Baku | 0-3 | L |
| 27 Apr | A | Sabah FA | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 16:24 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for MOIK
| 18 Apr 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK1-1Karvan |
| 13 Feb 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Karvan3-1MOIK |
| 24 Oct 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK2-3Karvan |
| 11 Apr 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Karvan1-0MOIK |
| 8 Feb 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK0-1Karvan |
| 19 Oct 2023Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Karvan0-3MOIK |
| 18 May 2014Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Karvan5-5MOIK |
| 1 Dec 2013Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK3-3Karvan |
| 12 May 2012Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK0-3Karvan |
| 10 Sep 2011Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Karvan4-1MOIK |
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 21 Oct 14:50 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, MOIK sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while Karvan are 5th with 10 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | MOIK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Karvan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.5% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 2.00 | 4.1% |
| Average | 1.79 | 1.98 | 6.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 2.18 | 6.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.18 | 6.5% |
| Average | 1.65 | 2.18 | 6.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates MOIK at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Karvan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.55, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: MOIK are 4th (10 pts, 9-3 goals), Karvan 5th (10 pts, 9-4).
Over their last five matches, MOIK averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Karvan averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Karvan.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 1.48 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.91 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.65 | 2.18 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 2.20 | 3.10 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.88 | 14.0 | 26.0 |
| HT X | 6.00 | 5.75 | 6.25 |
| HT 2 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 4.10 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 10.0 | 2.00 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 12.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | 3.75 |
| 2 | 1.39 | 2.75 |
| 2.5 | 1.79 | 1.98 |
| 3 | 2.37 | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 6.00 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4.50 | 1.15 |
| -1 | 3.70 | 1.22 |
| 0 | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 4.00 |
| +1.5 | 1.13 | 4.90 |
Next Birinci Dasta matches
| 22 Oct | Cəbrayıl – Zaqatala |
| 22 Oct | Şimal – Baku Sportinq |
Latest Birinci Dasta results
| 21 Oct | Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir |
| 21 Oct | Şahdağ 1-0 Səbail |
| 16 Oct | Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK |
| 16 Oct | Karvan 2-1 Cəbrayıl |
| 15 Oct | Mingəçevir 1-4 Şimal |
| 15 Oct | Xankəndi FK 1-0 Şahdağ |