Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP• Liga 3, Portugal

#80.8:1.415:00Today2.4:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.76PINX3.30DAF22.06PINMargin at best5.4%Books8Markets44Rating33 · 68Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.76	3.11	2.06	7.3%
Dafabet	3.70	3.30	1.97	8.1%
Betano	3.65	3.15	2.02	8.6%
1xBet	3.68	3.06	1.96	10.9%
Bet365	3.60	3.10	1.95	11.3%
Betfair	3.60	3.10	1.95	11.3%
William Hill	3.50	2.90	2.05	11.8%
Marathonbet	3.58	3.06	1.94	12.2%
Best of all books	3.76	3.30	2.06	5.4%
Average	3.63	3.10	1.99	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vitória de SernacheAtlético CP

Last 10#8Table position#20.88Points per game2.1312Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 52.41.4Goals against · last 51.225Attack rating7546Defence rating5438Form rating630H2H rating022Goals model7833Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 13:10 UTC

Vitória de Sernache

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	União Santarém	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Brito	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Louletano	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Varzim	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Caldas	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	CF Os Belenenses	1-3	L
30 Aug	A	Nazarenos	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Oliveirense	2-3	L
16 Aug	H	SC Covilha	0-0	D

Atlético CP

7W 2D 1L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against

31 Oct	H	União Santarém	3-1	W
25 Oct	A	Louletano	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Vizela	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Caldas	4-1	W
19 Sep	H	Lagoa	4-1	W
13 Sep	A	CF Os Belenenses	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Oliveirense	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Olímpico do Montijo	4-0	W
22 Aug	A	SC Covilha	3-0	W
15 Aug	H	Mafra	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Vitória de Sernache and Atlético CP on record.

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 8 Nov 13:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Vitória de Sernache sit 8th with 7 points from 8 games, while Atlético CP are 2nd with 17 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	9	7	1	1	20:9	+11	22
1	CF Os Belenenses	9	6	3	0	18:6	+12	21
2	Leça	9	4	2	3	11:9	+2	14
2	Atlético CP	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	AD Marco 09	9	4	2	3	9:8	+1	14
3	Oliveirense	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13
4	Fafe	8	3	4	1	13:7	+6	13
4	União Santarém	9	4	1	4	11:15	-4	13
5	Guimaraes B	9	3	3	3	12:10	+2	12
5	Mafra	9	3	3	3	17:13	+4	12
6	Vianense	9	2	5	2	12:13	-1	11
6	Caldas	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
7	São João Ver	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
7	Louletano	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
8	Varzim	8	3	0	5	11:13	-2	9
8	Vitória de Sernache	8	2	1	5	6:15	-9	7
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
9	SC Covilha	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
10	Trofense	8	1	2	5	4:15	-11	5
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	9	1	4	4	6:11	-5	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.63X29%3.10246%1.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.27	1.61	6.2%
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Betano	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Best of all books	2.30	1.62	5.2%
Average	2.19	1.61	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitória de Sernache 10%Draw 45%Atlético CP 45%

The statistical model rates Vitória de Sernache at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético CP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.63 | 3.10 | 1.99, which imply roughly 32.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Vitória de Sernache are 8th (7 pts, 6-15 goals), Atlético CP 2nd (17 pts, 17-7).

Over their last five matches, Vitória de Sernache averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Atlético CP averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético CP.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.63	3.10	1.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.69	1.22	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.57	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
4.30	1.99	2.65

2nd half

1	X	2
3.88	2.28	2.37

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.90	15.2	26.3
HT X	7.57	4.60	5.00
HT 2	38.7	16.0	3.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.51	7.50	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.66
1.5	1.36	2.80
2.5	2.19	1.61
3.5	3.74	1.20
4.5	7.35	1.07
5.5	21.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.20	3.72
1.75	1.45	2.48
2	1.62	2.13
2.25	1.89	1.81
2.75	2.50	1.45
3	3.15	1.29
3.25	3.42	1.23
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.08	1.30
0	2.59	1.42
+0.25	2.00	1.70
+0.5	1.78	2.01
+0.75	1.53	2.31
+1	1.33	3.00

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.40	1.01
-1	7.40	1.03
+1.25	1.25	3.39
+1.5	1.19	3.76
+1.75	1.11	4.85
+2	1.03	7.30
+2.5	1.02	8.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.88	1.92
9.5	2.10	1.67

Next Liga 3 matches

8 Nov	Varzim – Fafe
8 Nov	Pacos Ferreira – Trofense

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

8 Nov	Louletano 2-0 SC Covilha
7 Nov	AD Marco 09 1-3 Paredes
7 Nov	Caldas 0-1 Oliveirense
7 Nov	São João Ver 0-2 Guimaraes B
7 Nov	Vianense 0-0 Leça
6 Nov	CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Lusitano Évora 1911