Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense• Liga 3, Portugal

#91.2:1.220:00Today0.6:2.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.77DAFX3.50DAF24.88PINMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets46Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.75	3.38	4.88	7.2%
Dafabet	1.75	3.45	4.60	7.9%
Betano	1.75	3.35	4.55	9.0%
1xBet	1.71	3.30	4.53	10.9%
Bet365	1.73	3.20	4.50	11.3%
Betfair	1.70	3.30	4.50	11.3%
William Hill	1.73	3.10	4.60	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.69	3.30	4.40	12.2%
SBO	1.61	3.11	4.18	18.2%
Best of all books	1.75	3.45	4.88	6.6%
Average	1.71	3.28	4.53	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pacos FerreiraTrofense

Last 10#9Table position#101.00Points per game0.638Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 50.61.2Goals against · last 52.467Attack rating3367Defence rating3380Form rating2050H2H rating5062Goals model3863Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:02 UTC

Pacos Ferreira

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

30 Oct	A	Fafe	1-3	L
23 Oct	H	Leça	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Guimaraes B	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	São João Ver	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Vianense	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Fafe	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Varzim	1-4	L
15 Aug	H	Paredes	0-1	L
9 Aug	A	AD Marco 09	1-2	L
29 Jul	H	Felgueiras 1932	0-0	D

Trofense

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:21 · per match 0.6 for, 2.1 against

31 Oct	H	AD Marco 09	0-2	L
24 Oct	A	Paredes	0-4	L
11 Oct	A	Fafe	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Leça	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Guimaraes B	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Varzim	1-5	L
22 Aug	H	São João Ver	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Vianense	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	Varzim	0-1	L
31 Jul	A	AVS	1-1	D

Head to head

0Pacos Ferreira wins

1draws

0Trofense wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Pacos Ferreira

3 Dec 2022Taça da Liga

Taça da Liga

Trofense1-1Pacos Ferreira

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 8 Nov 13:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Pacos Ferreira sit 9th with 8 points from 8 games, while Trofense are 10th with 5 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	9	7	1	1	20:9	+11	22
1	CF Os Belenenses	9	6	3	0	18:6	+12	21
2	Leça	9	4	2	3	11:9	+2	14
2	Atlético CP	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	AD Marco 09	9	4	2	3	9:8	+1	14
3	Oliveirense	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13
4	Fafe	8	3	4	1	13:7	+6	13
4	União Santarém	9	4	1	4	11:15	-4	13
5	Guimaraes B	9	3	3	3	12:10	+2	12
5	Mafra	9	3	3	3	17:13	+4	12
6	Vianense	9	2	5	2	12:13	-1	11
6	Caldas	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
7	São João Ver	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
7	Louletano	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
8	Varzim	8	3	0	5	11:13	-2	9
8	Vitória de Sernache	8	2	1	5	6:15	-9	7
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
9	SC Covilha	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
10	Trofense	8	1	2	5	4:15	-11	5
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	9	1	4	4	6:11	-5	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.73X28%3.30220%4.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.73 +14.6%X3.74 → 3.30 -11.8%25.76 → 4.55 -21.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.22	1.64	6.0%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.22	1.67	4.9%
Average	2.12	1.66	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Average	1.95	1.74	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pacos Ferreira 45%Draw 45%Trofense 10%

The statistical model rates Pacos Ferreira at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Trofense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.55, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Pacos Ferreira win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Pacos Ferreira are 9th (8 pts, 8-13 goals), Trofense 10th (5 pts, 4-15).

Over their last five matches, Pacos Ferreira averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Trofense averaged 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pacos Ferreira or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.71	3.28	4.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	1.92	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.32	2.06	4.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.35	4.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.71	15.4	44.9
HT X	4.42	4.76	9.23
HT 2	23.8	15.6	7.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	7.50	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.79
1.5	1.35	2.85
2.5	2.12	1.66
3.5	3.48	1.23
4.5	6.95	1.08
5.5	19.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.19	3.80
1.75	1.44	2.51
2	1.58	2.20
2.25	1.87	1.84
2.75	2.43	1.48
3	3.02	1.31
3.25	3.17	1.28
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.09	1.30
-1.25	2.74	1.38
-1	2.23	1.60
-0.75	1.94	1.79
-0.5	1.73	2.04
-0.25	1.48	2.40

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.05	1.06
-2	5.30	1.09
-1.75	3.51	1.24
0	1.26	3.32
+0.25	1.19	3.74
+1.5	1.01	9.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.96	1.82

Next Liga 3 matches

8 Nov	Vitória de Sernache – Atlético CP
8 Nov	Varzim – Fafe

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

8 Nov	Louletano 2-0 SC Covilha
7 Nov	AD Marco 09 1-3 Paredes
7 Nov	Caldas 0-1 Oliveirense
7 Nov	São João Ver 0-2 Guimaraes B
7 Nov	Vianense 0-0 Leça
6 Nov	CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Lusitano Évora 1911