Newport City vs 
Treowen Stars• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.45 | 8.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 9.8% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.95 | 3.35 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 10.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.88 | 3.42 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.88 | 3.34 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.79 | 3.93 | 3.42 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 10:01 UTC
Newport City
3W 3D 4L · goals 20:18 · per match 2.0 for, 1.8 against
| 31 Oct | A | Llantwit Major | 3-2 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Pontypridd Town | 4-4 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Carmarthen Town | 5-4 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Caerphilly Athletic | 2-3 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Cardiff Draconians | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Sep | A | Afan Lido | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Ynyshir Albions | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Baglan Dragons | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Pontardawe Town | 4-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | Carmarthen Town | 1-2 | L |
Treowen Stars
5W 1D 4L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against
| 30 Oct | A | Baglan Dragons | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Trethomas Bluebirds | 1-3 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Ynyshir Albions | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Pontardawe Town | 1-6 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Llantwit Major | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | A | llanelli AFC | 2-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Caerau (Ely) | 2-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Carmarthen Town | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Caerphilly Athletic | 3-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Aberystwyth Town | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Newport City
| 20 Mar 2026FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Newport City2-3Treowen Stars |
| 29 Nov 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Treowen Stars2-0Newport City |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28:11 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:5 | +17 | 27 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:15 | +15 | 24 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 26:24 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 | Caersws | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 20 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20:18 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 25:23 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Rhyl | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 21:24 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:24 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6:37 | -31 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.42 | 2.65 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 2.66 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 2.66 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.66 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.40 | 2.65 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 2.69 | 9.1% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 2.60 | 9.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 2.63 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.69 | 8.6% |
| Average | 1.39 | 2.64 | 9.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Newport City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Treowen Stars at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 3.93 | 3.42, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Newport City averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Treowen Stars averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Treowen Stars.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 3.93 | 3.42 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 1.84 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.43 | 2.59 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.39 | 2.64 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 2.50 | 3.69 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | 2.82 | 3.44 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.75 | 14.5 | 25.7 |
| HT X | 5.43 | 7.27 | 8.68 |
| HT 2 | 17.5 | 14.5 | 5.27 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | 21.0 | 2.24 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 19.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 5.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.40 | 2.65 |
| 3.5 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| 4.5 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 5.5 | 6.00 | 1.10 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| 2.25 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2.75 | 1.47 | 2.41 |
| 3 | 1.60 | 2.14 |
| 3.25 | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| 3.75 | 2.25 | 1.53 |
| 4 | 2.68 | 1.38 |
| 4.25 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 5 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| -1 | 2.32 | 1.52 |
| -0.75 | 1.97 | 1.72 |
| -0.5 | 1.78 | 1.94 |
| -0.25 | 1.58 | 2.16 |
| 0 | 1.39 | 2.64 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5.35 | 1.09 |
| -2 | 4.70 | 1.12 |
| -1.75 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| -1.5 | 2.86 | 1.34 |
| +0.25 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| +1 | 1.08 | 5.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.05 | 6.40 |