Penrhyncoch vs Caersws• FAW Championship, Wales

#160.4:2.219:45Today2.4:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.00BFRX4.50DAF21.56PINMargin at best6.3%Books8Markets45Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.70	4.50	1.55	8.0%
Pinnacle	4.35	4.50	1.55	9.7%
Betano	4.30	4.35	1.55	10.8%
Betfair	4.75	4.33	1.50	10.8%
1xBet	4.74	4.33	1.50	10.9%
Bet365	4.33	4.33	1.53	11.5%
William Hill	4.50	4.00	1.55	11.7%
Marathonbet	4.55	4.33	1.49	12.2%
Best of all books	4.75	4.50	1.55	7.8%
Average	4.53	4.33	1.53	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PenrhyncochCaersws

Last 10#16Table position#60.08Points per game1.670Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 52.42.2Goals against · last 51.814Attack rating8645Defence rating550Form rating10071H2H rating2916Goals model8441Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Penrhyncoch

0W 1D 9L · goals 5:29 · per match 0.5 for, 2.9 against

31 Oct	A	Holyhead Hotspur	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Llanuwchllyn	1-4	L
3 Oct	H	Gresford Athletic	0-1	L
25 Sep	A	Ruthin Town	0-2	L
15 Sep	H	Bala Town	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Bangor City 1876 FC	1-5	L
5 Sep	A	Buckley Town	0-5	L
31 Aug	A	Guilsfield	0-4	L
28 Aug	H	Denbigh Town	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Brickfield Rangers	0-2	L

Caersws

4W 4D 2L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	H	Bangor City 1876 FC	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Guilsfield	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Holyhead Hotspur	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Bala Town	3-3	D
26 Sep	A	Llanuwchllyn	5-2	W
12 Sep	H	Brickfield Rangers	0-2	L
4 Sep	A	Ruthin Town	3-0	W
31 Aug	H	Buckley Town	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Porthmadog	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Rhyl	2-4	L

Head to head

3Penrhyncoch wins

1draws

1Caersws wins

5 meetings · goals 10:7 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Penrhyncoch

6 Apr 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caersws1-2Penrhyncoch
4 Feb 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Penrhyncoch1-3Caersws
1 Mar 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caersws1-2Penrhyncoch
18 Feb 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Penrhyncoch4-1Caersws
17 Sep 2022Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	Penrhyncoch1-1Caersws

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Penrhyncoch sit 16th with 1 points from 12 games, while Caersws are 6th with 20 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	12	8	3	1	22:5	+17	27
3	Mold Alexandra	12	7	3	2	30:15	+15	24
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	13	6	3	4	26:24	+2	21
6	Caersws	12	5	5	2	25:18	+7	20
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	12	5	4	3	25:19	+6	19
8	Guilsfield	13	4	6	3	20:18	+2	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
12	Denbigh Town	12	4	1	7	24:26	-2	13
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	12	3	3	6	12:22	-10	12
15	Gresford Athletic	11	2	1	8	7:24	-17	7
16	Penrhyncoch	12	0	1	11	6:37	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.57X21%4.35259%1.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.70 → 4.57 -2.8%X4.28 → 4.35 +1.6%21.50 → 1.52 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.37	2.81	8.6%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.44	2.83	4.8%
Average	1.37	2.77	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.42	2.59	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.53	9.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.59	8.1%
Average	1.43	2.54	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Penrhyncoch 10%Draw 45%Caersws 45%

The statistical model rates Penrhyncoch at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Caersws at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.57 | 4.35 | 1.52, which imply roughly 23% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Penrhyncoch are 16th (1 pts, 6-37 goals), Caersws 6th (20 pts, 25-18).

Over their last five matches, Penrhyncoch averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Caersws averaged 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Caersws and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.53	4.33	1.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.28	1.14	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
3.50	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.54

1st half

1	X	2
4.47	2.59	1.96

2nd half

1	X	2
4.26	2.98	1.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.27	16.2	16.8
HT X	10.9	7.63	4.77
HT 2	33.7	16.2	2.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.60	22.0	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.0
1.5	1.10	6.00
2.5	1.37	2.77
3.5	1.89	1.80
4.5	2.92	1.31
5.5	5.00	1.12

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.10	5.10
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.40	2.61
3	1.50	2.32
3.25	1.69	2.00
3.75	2.09	1.64
4	2.43	1.45
4.25	2.68	1.38
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.34	1.53
+0.75	2.09	1.63
+1	1.86	1.83
+1.25	1.65	2.04
+1.5	1.52	2.27
+1.75	1.39	2.64

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.01
-1	8.20	1.02
-0.25	3.98	1.17
0	3.58	1.21
+0.25	2.74	1.36
+2	1.26	3.20
+2.5	1.18	3.86
+3.5	1.03	8.00

Next FAW Championship matches

6 Nov	Baglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 Nov	Bangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 Nov	Afan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Nov	llanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 Nov	Newport City – Treowen Stars
6 Nov	Bala Town – Guilsfield

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 Oct	Newtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Mold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl