llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town• FAW Championship, Wales

0.6:3.419:30Today · Stebonheath Park, Llanelli2.4:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

19.00BFRX6.00BFR21.30B365Margin at best4.7%Books8Markets46Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	8.60	5.80	1.26	8.2%
Pinnacle	7.12	5.73	1.27	10.2%
Betano	7.10	5.20	1.29	10.8%
1xBet	9.00	5.40	1.23	10.9%
Bet365	6.25	5.50	1.30	11.1%
Betfair	9.00	6.00	1.20	11.1%
William Hill	8.50	5.00	1.25	11.8%
Marathonbet	8.50	5.40	1.22	12.3%
Best of all books	9.00	6.00	1.30	4.7%
Average	8.01	5.50	1.25	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

llanelli AFCPontardawe Town

Last 100Form pts · last 5110.6Goals for · last 52.43.4Goals against · last 51.820Attack rating8035Defence rating650Form rating10080H2H rating2040Goals model6048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 10:01 UTC

llanelli AFC

0W 1D 9L · goals 5:34 · per match 0.5 for, 3.4 against

30 Oct	A	Pontypridd Town	0-4	L
23 Oct	H	Afan Lido	0-3	L
16 Oct	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-6	L
10 Oct	A	Ynyshir Albions	2-6	L
2 Oct	H	Baglan Dragons	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Llantwit Major	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	Treowen Stars	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Aberystwyth Town	0-4	L
28 Aug	H	Carmarthen Town	2-2	D

Pontardawe Town

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:19 · per match 1.5 for, 1.9 against

31 Oct	H	Carmarthen Town	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Llangennech	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Llantwit Major	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Trethomas Bluebirds	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Treowen Stars	6-1	W
11 Sep	A	Swansea University	0-4	L
28 Aug	A	Aberystwyth Town	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	Afan Lido	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Newport City	0-4	L
7 Aug	A	Pontypridd Town	2-3	L

Head to head

4llanelli AFC wins

0draws

1Pontardawe Town wins

5 meetings · goals 12:6 · last 5: 4W 0D 1L for llanelli AFC

29 Mar 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC5-0Pontardawe Town
12 Aug 2023FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Pontardawe Town1-3llanelli AFC
21 Jul 2023League Cup	League Cup	llanelli AFC1-0Pontardawe Town
7 Apr 2023FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC0-4Pontardawe Town
18 Mar 2023FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Pontardawe Town1-3llanelli AFC

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	12	8	3	1	22:5	+17	27
3	Mold Alexandra	12	7	3	2	30:15	+15	24
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	13	6	3	4	26:24	+2	21
6	Caersws	12	5	5	2	25:18	+7	20
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	12	5	4	3	25:19	+6	19
8	Guilsfield	13	4	6	3	20:18	+2	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
12	Denbigh Town	12	4	1	7	24:26	-2	13
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	12	3	3	6	12:22	-10	12
15	Gresford Athletic	11	2	1	8	7:24	-17	7
16	Penrhyncoch	12	0	1	11	6:37	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg111%8.01X16%5.50272%1.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
1xBet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Best of all books	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Average	1.33	2.92	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
Best of all books	1.64	2.10	8.6%
Average	1.63	2.07	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

llanelli AFC 10%Draw 45%Pontardawe Town 45%

The statistical model rates llanelli AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pontardawe Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 8.01 | 5.50 | 1.25, which imply roughly 18.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, llanelli AFC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game; Pontardawe Town averaged 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pontardawe Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
8.01	5.50	1.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.31	1.06	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
5.30	1.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
6.77	2.79	1.63

2nd half

1	X	2
6.61	3.32	1.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	12.8	20.8	16.2
HT X	17.0	9.32	4.30
HT 2	53.7	20.2	1.79

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.45	23.5	1.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.0
1.5	1.10	6.00
2.5	1.33	2.92
3.5	1.87	1.81
4.5	2.88	1.32
5.5	7.25	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.09	5.25
2.75	1.39	2.62
3	1.48	2.35
3.25	1.68	2.01
3.75	2.08	1.64
4	2.40	1.46
4.25	2.66	1.39
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.40	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.29	1.52
+1.5	1.98	1.70
+1.75	1.81	1.89
+2	1.60	2.12
+2.25	1.47	2.38
+2.5	1.39	2.62

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	7.00	1.04
+0.25	4.55	1.13
+0.75	3.15	1.27
+1	2.80	1.35
+3	1.18	3.90
+3.5	1.13	4.55

Next FAW Championship matches

6 Nov	Baglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 Nov	Bangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 Nov	Afan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Nov	Newport City – Treowen Stars
6 Nov	Penrhyncoch – Caersws
6 Nov	Bala Town – Guilsfield

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 Oct	Newtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Mold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl