Bala Town vs Guilsfield• FAW Championship, Wales

#52.2:2.819:45Today · Maes Tegid, Bala1.4:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65B365X4.30DAF24.40BFRMargin at best6.6%Books8Markets46Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.65	4.30	4.20	7.7%
Pinnacle	1.62	4.14	4.19	9.7%
Betfair	1.57	4.20	4.40	10.2%
1xBet	1.61	4.05	4.14	11.0%
Bet365	1.65	4.10	3.80	11.3%
Betano	1.62	4.05	4.00	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.59	4.05	4.05	12.3%
William Hill	1.62	3.80	4.00	13.0%
Best of all books	1.65	4.30	4.40	6.6%
Average	1.62	4.09	4.10	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bala TownGuilsfield

Last 10#5Table position#81.62Points per game1.383Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 51.42.8Goals against · last 51.261Attack rating3930Defence rating7027Form rating7350H2H rating5054Goals model4648Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Bala Town

2W 3D 5L · goals 19:25 · per match 1.9 for, 2.5 against

31 Oct	A	Brickfield Rangers	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Llanuwchllyn	3-3	D
17 Oct	H	Holyhead Hotspur	3-4	L
9 Oct	H	Buckley Town	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Caersws	3-3	D
26 Sep	H	Mold Alexandra	2-4	L
15 Sep	A	Penrhyncoch	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	Denbigh Town	2-5	L
5 Sep	A	Porthmadog	2-1	W
31 Aug	H	Newtown AFC	0-1	L

Guilsfield

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Porthmadog	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Caersws	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Coedpoeth United	3-3	D
10 Oct	H	Denbigh Town	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Llanuwchllyn	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Holyhead Hotspur	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Gresford Athletic	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Brickfield Rangers	0-2	L
31 Aug	H	Penrhyncoch	4-0	W
28 Aug	A	Buckley Town	1-3	L

Head to head

1Bala Town wins

1draws

1Guilsfield wins

3 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Bala Town

2 Aug 2025League Cup	League Cup	Guilsfield2-2Bala Town
19 Sep 2023League Cup	League Cup	Guilsfield1-0Bala Town
25 Feb 2017Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	Guilsfield0-3Bala Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Bala Town sit 5th with 21 points from 13 games, while Guilsfield are 8th with 18 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	12	8	3	1	22:5	+17	27
3	Mold Alexandra	12	7	3	2	30:15	+15	24
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	13	6	3	4	26:24	+2	21
6	Caersws	12	5	5	2	25:18	+7	20
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	12	5	4	3	25:19	+6	19
8	Guilsfield	13	4	6	3	20:18	+2	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
12	Denbigh Town	12	4	1	7	24:26	-2	13
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	12	3	3	6	12:22	-10	12
15	Gresford Athletic	11	2	1	8	7:24	-17	7
16	Penrhyncoch	12	0	1	11	6:37	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.62X22%4.09222%4.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.62 -5.8%X3.98 → 4.09 +2.8%23.63 → 4.10 +12.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.47	2.48	8.3%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.62	6.2%
Average	1.43	2.53	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.38	8.7%
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.46	7.3%
Average	1.47	2.42	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bala Town 35%Draw 35%Guilsfield 30%

The statistical model rates Bala Town at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Guilsfield at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 4.09 | 4.10, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Bala Town win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Bala Town are 5th (21 pts, 26-24 goals), Guilsfield 8th (18 pts, 20-18).

Over their last five matches, Bala Town averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Guilsfield averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bala Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	4.09	4.10

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.09	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.42

1st half

1	X	2
2.06	2.49	4.24

2nd half

1	X	2
1.92	2.84	4.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.43	16.0	31.3
HT X	4.80	7.17	10.2
HT 2	17.3	16.2	6.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	19.8	2.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.0
1.5	1.12	5.00
2.5	1.43	2.54
3.5	2.09	1.64
4.5	3.28	1.25
5.5	6.50	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.53	2.27
3	1.67	2.02
3.25	1.89	1.79
3.75	2.37	1.48
4	2.87	1.33
4.25	3.05	1.28
5	5.30	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.52	1.42
-1.25	2.28	1.52
-1	2.00	1.69
-0.75	1.77	1.94
-0.5	1.61	2.22
-0.25	1.43	2.50

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.00	1.04
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.5	4.50	1.13
-2	3.85	1.18
-1.75	2.97	1.30
0	1.27	3.20
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.03	8.50

Next FAW Championship matches

6 Nov	Baglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 Nov	Bangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 Nov	Afan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Nov	llanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 Nov	Newport City – Treowen Stars
6 Nov	Penrhyncoch – Caersws

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 Oct	Newtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Mold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl