Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic• FAW Championship, Wales

1.6:1.819:30Today1.6:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.39DAFX3.75B36522.58PINMargin at best7.3%Books8Markets40Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.39	3.70	2.55	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.33	3.55	2.58	9.8%
Bet365	2.30	3.75	2.45	11.0%
Betfair	2.30	3.75	2.45	11.0%
Betano	2.32	3.60	2.47	11.4%
1xBet	2.29	3.54	2.48	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.54	2.48	12.2%
William Hill	2.30	3.30	2.50	13.8%
Best of all books	2.39	3.75	2.58	7.3%
Average	2.31	3.59	2.50	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Afan LidoCaerphilly Athletic

Last 104Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5050Defence rating5045Form rating550H2H rating067Goals model3353Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 09:50 UTC

Afan Lido

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

31 Oct	A	Cardiff Draconians	0-2	L
23 Oct	A	llanelli AFC	3-0	W
18 Oct	H	Penybont	2-3	L
9 Oct	H	Swansea University	5-5	D
2 Oct	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-2	L
25 Sep	H	Newport City	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Pontypridd Town	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Baglan Dragons	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Ynyshir Albions	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-5	L

Caerphilly Athletic

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

30 Oct	H	Caerau (Ely)	0-1	L
23 Oct	A	Carmarthen Town	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Chepstow Town	1-0	W
9 Oct	H	Newport City	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Swansea University	1-3	L
25 Sep	H	Pontypridd Town	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Aberystwyth Town	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Baglan Dragons	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Ynyshir Albions	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Afan Lido and Caerphilly Athletic on record.

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	12	8	3	1	22:5	+17	27
3	Mold Alexandra	12	7	3	2	30:15	+15	24
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	13	6	3	4	26:24	+2	21
6	Caersws	12	5	5	2	25:18	+7	20
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	12	5	4	3	25:19	+6	19
8	Guilsfield	13	4	6	3	20:18	+2	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
12	Denbigh Town	12	4	1	7	24:26	-2	13
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	12	3	3	6	12:22	-10	12
15	Gresford Athletic	11	2	1	8	7:24	-17	7
16	Penrhyncoch	12	0	1	11	6:37	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.32X25%3.59236%2.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.41	8.2%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.46	2.46	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.40	2.66	9.0%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.66	9.0%
Average	1.40	2.63	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Afan Lido 45%Draw 45%Caerphilly Athletic 10%

The statistical model rates Afan Lido at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Caerphilly Athletic at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.59 | 2.50, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Afan Lido win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Afan Lido averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Caerphilly Athletic averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Afan Lido or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.32	3.59	2.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.50	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.63

1st half

1	X	2
2.75	2.39	2.95

2nd half

1	X	2
2.55	2.70	2.73

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.68	14.0	21.3
HT X	6.60	6.77	6.87
HT 2	20.3	13.8	3.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	18.5	1.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.12	4.80
2.5	1.47	2.46
3.5	2.14	1.61
4.5	3.42	1.23
5.5	7.00	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.32	2.95
2.75	1.56	2.21
3	1.72	1.96
3.25	1.94	1.74
3.75	2.44	1.46
4	2.88	1.32
4.25	3.14	1.27
5	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.67	1.39
-0.5	2.28	1.55
-0.25	2.02	1.68
0	1.79	1.93
+0.25	1.57	2.19
+0.5	1.45	2.53

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.20	1.03
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.78	1.19
-1	3.42	1.23
+0.75	1.32	2.92
+1	1.18	3.82
+1.5	1.13	4.55
+2	1.02	8.20
+2.5	1.03	8.20

Next FAW Championship matches

6 Nov	Baglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 Nov	Bangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 Nov	llanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 Nov	Newport City – Treowen Stars
6 Nov	Penrhyncoch – Caersws
6 Nov	Bala Town – Guilsfield

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 Oct	Newtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Mold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl