Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town• FAW Championship, Wales

#21.0:0.82-0FT31/10 · Latham Park, Newtown2.6:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48B365X4.80DAF25.80DAFMargin at best5.6%Books8Markets50Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 14:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.44	4.80	5.80	7.5%
Pinnacle	1.44	4.74	5.20	9.8%
1xBet	1.40	4.60	5.64	10.9%
Betano	1.44	4.40	5.20	11.4%
Bet365	1.48	4.50	4.50	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.39	4.60	5.40	12.2%
Betfair	1.36	4.75	5.50	12.8%
William Hill	1.40	4.20	5.00	15.2%
Best of all books	1.48	4.80	5.80	5.6%
Average	1.42	4.57	5.28	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newtown AFCBuckley Town

Last 10#2Table position#92.25Points per game1.1511Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 52.60.8Goals against · last 52.028Attack rating7271Defence rating2950Form rating5033H2H rating6783Goals model1749Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Newtown AFC

7W 2D 1L · goals 20:4 · per match 2.0 for, 0.4 against

31 Oct	H	Buckley Town	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Rhyl	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Llanuwchllyn	7-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bangor City 1876 FC	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Mold Alexandra	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Porthmadog	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Holyhead Hotspur	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Denbigh Town	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Bala Town	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Llanuwchllyn	4-0	W

Buckley Town

4W 3D 3L · goals 23:17 · per match 2.3 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	A	Newtown AFC	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Holyhead Hotspur	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Colwyn Bay	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Bala Town	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Ruthin Town	1-1	D
25 Sep	A	Bangor City 1876 FC	6-2	W
12 Sep	A	Rhyl	3-3	D
5 Sep	H	Penrhyncoch	5-0	W
31 Aug	A	Caersws	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Guilsfield	3-1	W

Head to head

1Newtown AFC wins

0draws

2Buckley Town wins

3 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Newtown AFC

20 Mar 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Newtown AFC0-2Buckley Town
3 Oct 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Buckley Town3-0Newtown AFC
2 Aug 2025League Cup	League Cup	Buckley Town2-3Newtown AFC

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Newtown AFC sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 games, while Buckley Town are 9th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	12	8	3	1	22:5	+17	27
3	Mold Alexandra	12	7	3	2	30:15	+15	24
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	13	6	3	4	26:24	+2	21
6	Caersws	12	5	5	2	25:18	+7	20
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	12	5	4	3	25:19	+6	19
8	Guilsfield	13	4	6	3	20:18	+2	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
12	Denbigh Town	12	4	1	7	24:26	-2	13
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	12	3	3	6	12:22	-10	12
15	Gresford Athletic	11	2	1	8	7:24	-17	7
16	Penrhyncoch	12	0	1	11	6:37	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.42X20%4.59217%5.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.42 +1.4%X4.51 → 4.57 +1.3%25.65 → 5.29 -6.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Best of all books	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Average	1.35	2.84	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Average	1.45	2.42	10.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newtown AFC 10%Draw 45%Buckley Town 45%

The statistical model rated Newtown AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Buckley Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.59 | 5.30, which imply roughly 21.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Newtown AFC are 2nd (27 pts, 22-5 goals), Buckley Town 9th (15 pts, 25-23).

Over their last five matches, Newtown AFC averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Buckley Town averaged 2.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Buckley Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	4.57	5.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.52	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	3.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.42

1st half

1	X	2
1.84	2.68	4.99

2nd half

1	X	2
1.70	3.07	4.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.12	16.7	36.7
HT X	4.67	8.17	12.7
HT 2	15.8	16.8	8.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	23.5	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	23.0
1.5	1.08	6.00
2.5	1.35	2.84
3.5	1.89	1.80
4.5	2.92	1.31
5.5	5.00	1.12

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
2	1.09	5.30
2.25	1.22	3.50
2.75	1.39	2.62
3	1.49	2.33
3.25	1.69	1.99
3.75	2.10	1.63
4	2.43	1.45
4.25	2.70	1.38
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	4.55	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.39	1.47
-1.5	2.09	1.63
-1.25	1.90	1.81
-1	1.64	2.04
-0.75	1.51	2.32
-0.5	1.42	2.64

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.55	1.05
-3	5.85	1.07
-2.5	3.50	1.22
-2.25	3.20	1.26
-2	2.90	1.33
-0.25	1.28	3.08
0	1.14	4.30

Next FAW Championship matches

6 Nov	Bangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 Nov	Baglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 Nov	Afan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Nov	llanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 Nov	Newport City – Treowen Stars
6 Nov	Penrhyncoch – Caersws

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Mold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl
31 Oct	Guilsfield 2-2 Porthmadog