Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions• FAW Championship, Wales

1.0:1.419:30Today3.0:1.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95DAFX3.50B36522.22DAFMargin at best7.5%Books8Markets40Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.95	3.50	2.22	7.5%
Pinnacle	2.94	3.31	2.19	9.9%
Betfair	2.80	3.50	2.15	10.8%
Betano	2.85	3.35	2.18	10.8%
1xBet	2.94	3.32	2.14	10.9%
Bet365	2.80	3.50	2.10	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.86	3.32	2.12	12.3%
William Hill	2.90	3.10	2.15	13.3%
Best of all books	2.95	3.50	2.22	7.5%
Average	2.88	3.36	2.16	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Baglan DragonsYnyshir Albions

Last 107Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 51.625Attack rating7553Defence rating4727Form rating7380H2H rating2036Goals model6448Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Baglan Dragons

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

30 Oct	H	Treowen Stars	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Llantwit Fardre	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Pontypridd Town	1-1	D
2 Oct	A	llanelli AFC	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Carmarthen Town	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Cardiff Draconians	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Afan Lido	2-1	W
31 Aug	H	Caerphilly Athletic	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Caerau (Ely)	3-1	W
21 Aug	A	Newport City	1-0	W

Ynyshir Albions

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Swansea University	4-2	W
16 Oct	A	Cardiff MET	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	llanelli AFC	6-2	W
3 Oct	A	Treowen Stars	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Carmarthen Town	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Afan Lido	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Newport City	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Caerphilly Athletic	1-2	L
7 Aug	A	Caerau (Ely)	1-1	D

Head to head

1Baglan Dragons wins

1draws

0Ynyshir Albions wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Baglan Dragons

24 Jan 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Ynyshir Albions0-0Baglan Dragons
7 Nov 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Baglan Dragons2-1Ynyshir Albions

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	12	8	3	1	22:5	+17	27
3	Mold Alexandra	12	7	3	2	30:15	+15	24
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	13	6	3	4	26:24	+2	21
6	Caersws	12	5	5	2	25:18	+7	20
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	12	5	4	3	25:19	+6	19
8	Guilsfield	13	4	6	3	20:18	+2	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
12	Denbigh Town	12	4	1	7	24:26	-2	13
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	12	3	3	6	12:22	-10	12
15	Gresford Athletic	11	2	1	8	7:24	-17	7
16	Penrhyncoch	12	0	1	11	6:37	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.88X27%3.36242%2.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.95 → 2.88 -2.4%X3.52 → 3.36 -4.5%22.05 → 2.16 +5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.80	1.96	6.6%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.74	1.97	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.13	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.17	7.8%
Average	1.60	2.13	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Baglan Dragons 10%Draw 45%Ynyshir Albions 45%

The statistical model rates Baglan Dragons at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ynyshir Albions at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.88 | 3.36 | 2.16, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Baglan Dragons averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ynyshir Albions averaged 3 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ynyshir Albions.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.88	3.36	2.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.33	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
3.44	2.19	2.73

2nd half

1	X	2
3.15	2.48	2.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.72	14.7	23.3
HT X	6.93	5.47	5.50
HT 2	27.7	14.5	3.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	12.5	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	9.60
1.5	1.20	3.72
2.5	1.74	1.97
3.5	2.78	1.34
4.5	5.50	1.10
5.5	12.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.75	1.26	3.28
2	1.33	2.88
2.25	1.54	2.27
2.75	1.93	1.75
3	2.25	1.53
3.25	2.53	1.43
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.86	1.36
-0.25	2.48	1.44
0	2.15	1.61
+0.25	1.83	1.89
+0.5	1.63	2.17
+0.75	1.44	2.51

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.00	1.06
-1	5.10	1.10
-0.75	3.50	1.22
+1	1.27	3.21
+1.25	1.20	3.68
+1.5	1.16	4.05
+2	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.01	8.60

Next FAW Championship matches

6 Nov	Bangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 Nov	Afan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Nov	llanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 Nov	Newport City – Treowen Stars
6 Nov	Penrhyncoch – Caersws
6 Nov	Bala Town – Guilsfield

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 Oct	Newtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Mold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl