Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds• FAW Championship, Wales

2.0:0.82-1FT31/10 · Park Avenue, Aberystwyth2.2:1.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.56DAFX4.30DAF25.00BFRMargin at best7.4%Books8Markets46Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 06:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.56	4.30	4.80	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.55	4.28	4.51	10.1%
Betfair	1.50	4.20	5.00	10.5%
1xBet	1.50	4.20	4.90	10.9%
Betano	1.53	4.15	4.55	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.49	4.20	4.70	12.2%
Bet365	1.53	4.20	4.33	12.3%
William Hill	1.55	3.80	4.60	12.6%
Best of all books	1.56	4.30	5.00	7.4%
Average	1.53	4.17	4.67	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aberystwyth TownTrethomas Bluebirds

Last 1010Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.648Attack rating5267Defence rating3356Form rating44100H2H rating067Goals model3363Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Aberystwyth Town

7W 1D 2L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Prestatyn Town	5-1	W
10 Oct	H	Caerau (Ely)	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Pontypridd Town	3-1	W
25 Sep	H	Swansea University	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Caerphilly Athletic	3-2	W
31 Aug	H	llanelli AFC	4-0	W
28 Aug	H	Pontardawe Town	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Llantwit Major	5-1	W
8 Aug	H	Treowen Stars	1-2	L

Trethomas Bluebirds

4W 2D 4L · goals 21:21 · per match 2.1 for, 2.1 against

31 Oct	A	Aberystwyth Town	1-2	L
23 Oct	H	Cardiff Draconians	3-1	W
16 Oct	A	Cambrian & Clydach	0-5	L
10 Oct	A	Treowen Stars	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Pontardawe Town	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Ynyshir Albions	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Caerphilly Athletic	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Carmarthen Town	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Afan Lido	5-2	W
21 Aug	A	Pontypridd Town	1-2	L

Head to head

2Aberystwyth Town wins

0draws

0Trethomas Bluebirds wins

2 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Aberystwyth Town

14 Mar 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Aberystwyth Town3-0Trethomas Bluebirds
1 Nov 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Trethomas Bluebirds2-3Aberystwyth Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	13	10	1	2	28:11	+17	31
2	Newtown AFC	12	8	3	1	22:5	+17	27
3	Mold Alexandra	12	7	3	2	30:15	+15	24
4	Porthmadog	13	7	3	3	20:14	+6	24
5	Bala Town	13	6	3	4	26:24	+2	21
6	Caersws	12	5	5	2	25:18	+7	20
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	12	5	4	3	25:19	+6	19
8	Guilsfield	13	4	6	3	20:18	+2	18
9	Buckley Town	13	4	3	6	25:23	+2	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	13	4	3	6	23:31	-8	15
11	Holyhead Hotspur	12	4	2	6	17:20	-3	14
12	Denbigh Town	12	4	1	7	24:26	-2	13
13	Rhyl	13	2	6	5	21:24	-3	12
14	Ruthin Town	12	3	3	6	12:22	-10	12
15	Gresford Athletic	11	2	1	8	7:24	-17	7
16	Penrhyncoch	12	0	1	11	6:37	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.53X22%4.18219%4.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.61 → 1.53 -5.0%X3.97 → 4.17 +5.0%24.19 → 4.67 +11.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.51	8.3%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.51	5.2%
Average	1.46	2.45	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.29	9.9%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
Best of all books	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Average	1.51	2.31	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aberystwyth Town 45%Draw 45%Trethomas Bluebirds 10%

The statistical model rated Aberystwyth Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Trethomas Bluebirds at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.18 | 4.67, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Aberystwyth Town win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Aberystwyth Town averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Trethomas Bluebirds averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aberystwyth Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	4.17	4.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.23	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.31

1st half

1	X	2
2.00	2.47	4.65

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.86	4.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.41	16.0	35.3
HT X	4.82	7.03	10.3
HT 2	17.8	16.0	7.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	18.1	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.0
1.5	1.14	4.80
2.5	1.46	2.45
3.5	2.14	1.61
4.5	3.50	1.22
5.5	6.50	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.29	3.04
2.75	1.54	2.23
3	1.70	1.98
3.25	1.93	1.76
3.75	2.44	1.46
4	2.94	1.32
4.25	3.20	1.26
5	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.71	1.37
-1.5	2.33	1.50
-1.25	2.08	1.63
-1	1.86	1.84
-0.75	1.68	2.05
-0.5	1.58	2.17

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.80	1.02
-3	7.50	1.03
-2.5	4.20	1.15
-2	3.50	1.22
-0.25	1.36	2.75
0	1.20	3.72
+0.25	1.16	4.15
+1.5	1.04	8.45

Next FAW Championship matches

6 Nov	Bangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 Nov	Baglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 Nov	Afan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Nov	llanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 Nov	Newport City – Treowen Stars
6 Nov	Penrhyncoch – Caersws

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 Oct	Newtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Mold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl
31 Oct	Guilsfield 2-2 Porthmadog