Guilsfield vs 
Porthmadog• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 02:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.68 | 3.03 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 11.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.68 | 2.96 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.03 | 9.7% |
| Average | 1.97 | 3.68 | 3.00 | 11.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC
Guilsfield
3W 4D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against
| 24 Oct | A | Caersws | 2-2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Coedpoeth United | 3-3 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Denbigh Town | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Llanuwchllyn | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Holyhead Hotspur | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Gresford Athletic | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Brickfield Rangers | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Penrhyncoch | 4-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Buckley Town | 1-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Ruthin Town | 2-2 | D |
Porthmadog
5W 1D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against
| 24 Oct | H | Brickfield Rangers | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Gresford Athletic | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Bangor City 1876 FC | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Newtown AFC | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Ruthin Town | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Bala Town | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Holyhead Hotspur | 2-2 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Caersws | 1-3 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Denbigh Town | 3-2 | W |
Head to head
5 meetings · goals 13:1 · last 5: 5W 0D 0L for Guilsfield
| 16 Mar 2024FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Guilsfield4-0Porthmadog |
| 19 Aug 2023FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Porthmadog0-1Guilsfield |
| 6 Dec 2022FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Guilsfield4-0Porthmadog |
| 26 Nov 2022FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Porthmadog1-2Guilsfield |
| 20 Nov 2019FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Guilsfield2-0Porthmadog |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 29 Oct 03:10 UTC
In the FAW Championship table, Guilsfield sit 8th with 17 points from 12 games, while Porthmadog are 3rd with 23 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 27:10 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:23 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 | Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 24:17 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:27 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 2.22 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 2.22 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| Average | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 2.31 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.33 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Guilsfield at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Porthmadog at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.68 | 3.00, which imply roughly 50.8% for a Guilsfield win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Guilsfield are 8th (17 pts, 18-16 goals), Porthmadog 3rd (23 pts, 18-12).
Over their last five matches, Guilsfield averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Porthmadog averaged 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Guilsfield or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 3.68 | 3.00 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 1.68 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.38 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.34 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.51 | 2.34 | 3.46 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 2.64 | 3.25 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.25 | 14.8 | 24.0 |
| HT X | 5.90 | 6.30 | 7.55 |
| HT 2 | 20.0 | 14.8 | 4.58 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 17.8 | 2.12 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| 3.5 | 2.42 | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 3.98 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| 2.75 | 1.69 | 1.97 |
| 3 | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| 3.25 | 2.16 | 1.57 |
| 3.75 | 2.83 | 1.33 |
| 4 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| -1 | 2.83 | 1.33 |
| -0.75 | 2.25 | 1.53 |
| -0.25 | 1.76 | 1.94 |
| 0 | 1.52 | 2.29 |
| +0.25 | 1.39 | 2.60 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -2 | 6.50 | 1.05 |
| -1.5 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| +0.75 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| +1 | 1.09 | 5.25 |
| +1.5 | 1.06 | 6.15 |