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Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC• FAW Championship, Wales

#141.2:1.219:45Today1.2:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.811XBX4.60DAF21.50BTNMargin at best5.6%Books8Markets48Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet5.604.601.468.1%
Pinnacle5.054.411.4810.0%
Betano4.904.251.5010.6%
Bet3654.754.501.4810.8%
1xBet5.814.301.4210.9%
Marathonbet5.554.301.4112.2%
Betfair5.504.401.4012.3%
William Hill5.003.901.4415.1%
Best of all books5.814.601.505.6%
Average5.274.331.4511.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ruthin TownNewtown AFC
Last 10#14Table position#21.00Points per game2.258Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5040Defence rating6050Form rating500H2H rating10014Goals model8636Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Ruthin Town

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

31 OctAGresford Athletic2-1W
9 OctHRhyl1-1D
3 OctABuckley Town1-1D
25 SepHPenrhyncoch2-0W
12 SepAPorthmadog0-3L
4 SepHCaersws0-3L
31 AugABrickfield Rangers0-2L
28 AugHMold Alexandra0-4L
22 AugAGuilsfield2-2D
14 AugHDenbigh Town2-1W

Newtown AFC

7W 2D 1L · goals 20:4 · per match 2.0 for, 0.4 against

31 OctHBuckley Town2-0W
24 OctARhyl2-2D
17 OctHLlanuwchllyn7-0W
10 OctHBangor City 1876 FC0-0D
3 OctAMold Alexandra2-1W
26 SepHPorthmadog0-1L
12 SepAHolyhead Hotspur1-0W
5 SepHDenbigh Town1-0W
31 AugABala Town1-0W
28 AugHLlanuwchllyn4-0W

Head to head

0Ruthin Town wins
0draws
2Newtown AFC wins

2 meetings · goals 2:6 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Ruthin Town

18 Apr 2026FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipRuthin Town2-3Newtown AFC
25 Jul 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipNewtown AFC3-0Ruthin Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Ruthin Town sit 14th with 12 points from 12 games, while Newtown AFC are 2nd with 27 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers13101228:11+1731
2Newtown AFC1283122:5+1727
3Mold Alexandra1273230:15+1524
4Porthmadog1373320:14+624
5Bala Town1363426:24+221
6Caersws1255225:18+720
7Bangor City 1876 FC1254325:19+619
8Guilsfield1346320:18+218
9Buckley Town1343625:23+215
10Llanuwchllyn1343623:31-815
11Holyhead Hotspur1242617:20-314
12Denbigh Town1241724:26-213
13Rhyl1326521:24-312
14Ruthin Town1233612:22-1012
15Gresford Athletic112187:24-177
16Penrhyncoch1201116:37-311

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.27X21%4.33262%1.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 18:006 Nov 13:001 5.27X 4.332 1.45
16.05 → 5.27 -12.9%X4.55 → 4.33 -4.8%21.37 → 1.45 +5.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.532.338.3%
1xBet1.492.3010.6%
Marathonbet1.492.3010.6%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.522.328.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.622.128.9%
Marathonbet1.622.089.8%
Best of all books1.652.127.8%
Average1.632.109.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ruthin Town 10%Draw 45%Newtown AFC 45%

The statistical model rates Ruthin Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newtown AFC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.27 | 4.33 | 1.45, which imply roughly 23.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Ruthin Town are 14th (12 pts, 12-22 goals), Newtown AFC 2nd (27 pts, 22-5).

Over their last five matches, Ruthin Town averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Newtown AFC averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Newtown AFC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.274.331.45

Double chance

1XX212
2.451.101.15

Draw no bet

12
3.831.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.10

1st half

1X2
5.232.451.92

2nd half

1X2
4.982.851.76

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.7017.717.8
HT X12.17.204.53
HT 240.017.72.17

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.9818.81.36

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.0
1.51.144.80
2.51.522.32
3.52.301.52
4.54.001.17
5.57.501.07
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.183.88
2.251.352.80
2.751.642.09
31.831.83
3.252.071.64
3.752.691.38
43.341.24
4.253.701.20
57.001.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.501.46
+0.752.231.55
+11.931.73
+1.251.731.99
+1.51.552.24
+1.751.402.61
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.510.51.01
04.451.14
+0.253.061.30
+21.253.28
+2.251.213.58
+2.51.174.00
+31.037.30
+3.51.028.20

Next FAW Championship matches

6 NovBaglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 NovBangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 NovAfan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Novllanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 NovNewport City – Treowen Stars
6 NovPenrhyncoch – Caersws

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 OctNewtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 OctAberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 OctBrickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 OctCaersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 OctGresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 OctMold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl