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Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra• FAW Championship, Wales

#122.6:2.219:45Today2.6:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.49DAFX3.90B36522.42DAFMargin at best7.1%Books8Markets41Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.493.752.428.1%
Pinnacle2.373.872.399.9%
Betfair2.383.802.3810.3%
Betano2.373.752.3711.1%
Bet3652.353.902.3011.7%
1xBet2.333.762.3412.2%
Marathonbet2.333.762.3412.2%
William Hill2.383.502.3812.6%
Best of all books2.493.902.427.1%
Average2.373.762.3611.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Denbigh TownMold Alexandra
Last 10#12Table position#31.08Points per game2.006Form pts · last 5102.6Goals for · last 52.62.2Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5039Defence rating6147Form rating5329H2H rating7119Goals model8138Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Denbigh Town

3W 1D 6L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

31 OctALlanuwchllyn4-3W
16 OctHBangor City 1876 FC0-2L
10 OctAGuilsfield2-0W
2 OctHHolyhead Hotspur2-4L
26 SepABrickfield Rangers0-2L
11 SepHBala Town5-2W
5 SepANewtown AFC0-1L
31 AugHRhyl1-3L
28 AugAPenrhyncoch2-2D
21 AugHPorthmadog2-3L

Mold Alexandra

8W 1D 1L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

31 OctHRhyl2-1W
10 OctABrickfield Rangers4-0W
3 OctHNewtown AFC1-2L
26 SepABala Town4-2W
12 SepHLlanuwchllyn2-2D
6 SepAGresford Athletic5-1W
31 AugHBangor City 1876 FC2-1W
28 AugARuthin Town4-0W
21 AugHBuckley Town1-0W
15 AugHHolyhead Hotspur1-0W

Head to head

2Denbigh Town wins
1draws
3Mold Alexandra wins

6 meetings · goals 9:10 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for Denbigh Town

7 Feb 2026FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipMold Alexandra2-1Denbigh Town
22 Aug 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipDenbigh Town3-1Mold Alexandra
4 Oct 2024FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipDenbigh Town1-1Mold Alexandra
10 Aug 2024FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipMold Alexandra2-1Denbigh Town
16 Dec 2023FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipMold Alexandra2-0Denbigh Town
3 Nov 2023FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipDenbigh Town3-2Mold Alexandra

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Denbigh Town sit 12th with 13 points from 12 games, while Mold Alexandra are 3rd with 24 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers13101228:11+1731
2Newtown AFC1283122:5+1727
3Mold Alexandra1273230:15+1524
4Porthmadog1373320:14+624
5Bala Town1363426:24+221
6Caersws1255225:18+720
7Bangor City 1876 FC1254325:19+619
8Guilsfield1346320:18+218
9Buckley Town1343625:23+215
10Llanuwchllyn1343623:31-815
11Holyhead Hotspur1242617:20-314
12Denbigh Town1241724:26-213
13Rhyl1326521:24-312
14Ruthin Town1233612:22-1012
15Gresford Athletic112187:24-177
16Penrhyncoch1201116:37-311

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X24%3.76238%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 18:006 Nov 12:501 2.38X 3.762 2.37
12.56 → 2.38 -7.0%X3.72 → 3.76 +1.1%22.20 → 2.37 +7.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.432.628.1%
1xBet1.332.8310.5%
Marathonbet1.332.8310.5%
Best of all books1.502.832.0%
Average1.402.708.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.352.908.6%
1xBet1.323.009.1%
Marathonbet1.322.9210.0%
Best of all books1.353.007.4%
Average1.332.949.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Denbigh Town 10%Draw 45%Mold Alexandra 45%

The statistical model rates Denbigh Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mold Alexandra at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.76 | 2.37, which imply roughly 26.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Denbigh Town are 12th (13 pts, 24-26 goals), Mold Alexandra 3rd (24 pts, 30-15).

Over their last five matches, Denbigh Town averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Mold Alexandra averaged 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Mold Alexandra and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.383.762.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.481.481.20

Draw no bet

12
1.831.83

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.332.94

1st half

1X2
2.792.482.78

2nd half

1X2
2.592.792.59

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7814.019.7
HT X6.507.106.50
HT 219.714.03.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8822.51.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.0
1.51.086.50
2.51.402.70
3.51.881.80
4.52.921.31
5.55.001.13
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.105.10
2.251.273.17
2.751.402.60
31.542.24
3.251.702.00
3.752.081.63
42.411.46
4.252.671.38
4.753.501.22
54.501.13

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.701.38
-0.52.331.53
-0.252.081.64
01.861.86
+0.251.642.08
+0.51.532.34
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.701.04
-27.201.03
-1.54.151.16
-1.253.801.19
-13.421.23
+0.751.372.71
+11.233.42
+1.251.183.84
+1.51.164.15
+21.037.30
+2.51.047.70

Next FAW Championship matches

6 NovBaglan Dragons – Ynyshir Albions
6 NovBangor City 1876 FC – Gresford Athletic
6 NovAfan Lido – Caerphilly Athletic
6 Novllanelli AFC – Pontardawe Town
6 NovNewport City – Treowen Stars
6 NovPenrhyncoch – Caersws

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

31 OctNewtown AFC 2-0 Buckley Town
31 OctAberystwyth Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 OctBrickfield Rangers 1-1 Bala Town
31 OctCaersws 1-1 Bangor City 1876 FC
31 OctGresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town
31 OctMold Alexandra 2-1 Rhyl