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Cardiff MET vs Penybont• Premier League, Wales

#81.4:1.412:30Tomorrow · Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff2.6:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90WHX3.65BTN21.97DAFMargin at best3.8%Books8Markets52Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.853.481.917.1%
Dafabet3.703.551.927.3%
William Hill3.803.301.919.0%
Betfair3.603.401.919.5%
Betano3.653.651.829.7%
1xBet3.793.341.8410.7%
Marathonbet3.703.341.8211.9%
Bet3653.503.401.8512.0%
Best of all books3.853.651.925.5%
Average3.703.431.879.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cardiff METPenybont
Last 10#8Table position#31.57Points per game2.3110Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.61.4Goals against · last 51.235Attack rating6546Defence rating5440Form rating6050H2H rating5027Goals model7339Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Cardiff MET

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

23 OctAColwyn Bay2-2D
16 OctHYnyshir Albions4-0W
9 OctHTrefelin1-3L
3 OctALlandudno1-0W
29 SepHHaverfordwest County AFC1-0W
26 SepHCaernarfon Town2-2D
18 SepAGAP Connah S Quay FC0-1L
11 SepAFlint Town United1-1D
4 SepHCambrian & Clydach2-2D
31 AugAAmmanford AFC5-0W

Penybont

7W 2D 1L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against

18 OctAAfan Lido3-2W
9 OctHBarry Town3-1W
3 OctAGAP Connah S Quay FC0-1L
26 SepHAirbus UK2-1W
18 SepAAmmanford AFC5-1W
15 SepHBriton Ferry3-2W
11 SepATrefelin1-0W
5 SepHColwyn Bay1-0W
31 AugACambrian & Clydach2-2D
28 AugHFlint Town United1-1D

Head to head

8Cardiff MET wins
7draws
8Penybont wins

23 meetings · goals 30:32 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Cardiff MET

13 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeaguePenybont1-1Cardiff MET
23 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff MET0-4Penybont
14 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeaguePenybont0-0Cardiff MET
24 Jan 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff MET2-1Penybont
31 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeaguePenybont2-2Cardiff MET
18 Oct 2024Welsh CupWelsh CupPenybont0-1Cardiff MET
15 Oct 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff MET1-1Penybont
26 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff MET0-3Penybont
29 Aug 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeaguePenybont0-0Cardiff MET
31 Mar 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff MET2-3Penybont

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Cardiff MET sit 8th with 22 points from 14 games, while Penybont are 3rd with 30 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints14131053:6+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334
3Penybont1393125:11+1430
4Caernarfon Town1492340:16+2429
5Colwyn Bay1482424:17+726
6Barry Town1481529:26+325
7Airbus UK1480628:20+824
8Cardiff MET1464426:18+822
9Cambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318
10Llandudno1451822:25-316
11Haverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913
12Briton Ferry1433813:25-1212
13Flint Town United1432914:25-1111
14Ammanford AFC1423910:41-319
15Trefelin1413108:33-256
16Holywell13021114:44-302

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.70X27%3.43249%1.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:0130 Oct 00:001 3.70X 3.432 1.87
13.10 → 3.70 +19.4%X3.33 → 3.43 +3.0%22.17 → 1.87 -13.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Pinnacle1.901.905.3%
Betano1.781.986.7%
1xBet1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.851.829.0%
Best of all books1.901.983.1%
Average1.861.887.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Betano1.722.008.1%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.741.968.5%
Marathonbet1.741.939.3%
Best of all books1.752.007.1%
Average1.741.978.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cardiff MET 10%Draw 45%Penybont 45%

The statistical model rates Cardiff MET at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Penybont at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.70 | 3.43 | 1.87, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Cardiff MET are 8th (22 pts, 26-18 goals), Penybont 3rd (30 pts, 25-11).

Over their last five matches, Cardiff MET averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Penybont averaged 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Penybont.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.703.431.87

Double chance

1XX212
1.811.221.25

Draw no bet

12
2.751.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.741.97

1st half

1X2
4.192.162.45

2nd half

1X2
3.842.472.24

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.2814.924.0
HT X8.365.334.76
HT 235.814.72.85

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.479.801.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.038.43
1.51.263.40
2.51.861.88
3.53.041.32
4.55.561.10
5.59.101.03
6.513.51.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.10
11.037.50
1.251.144.41
1.751.322.99
21.412.61
2.251.642.10
2.752.101.65
32.441.48
3.252.791.37
3.753.751.19
45.001.10
4.255.351.09
58.401.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.771.38
+0.252.171.62
+0.51.911.87
+0.751.652.11
+11.462.56
+1.251.352.94
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.501.01
-1.57.901.02
-1.257.501.03
-17.071.06
-0.754.651.14
-0.53.551.27
-0.253.221.29
+1.51.273.28
+1.751.184.08
+21.095.80
+2.251.086.27
+2.51.076.63
+2.751.037.50

Next Premier League matches

30 OctAirbus UK – Caernarfon Town
30 OctAmmanford AFC – Haverfordwest County AFC
30 OctBriton Ferry – Llandudno
30 OctColwyn Bay – Cambrian & Clydach
30 OctFlint Town United – Holywell
30 OctBarry Town – Trefelin

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

24 OctBarry Town 1-3 Haverfordwest County AFC
24 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC 2-0 Llandudno
23 OctTrefelin 0-2 Flint Town United
23 OctCaernarfon Town 3-1 Briton Ferry
23 OctColwyn Bay 2-2 Cardiff MET
23 OctThe New Saints 9-0 Ammanford AFC