Caernarfon Town vs 
Briton Ferry• Premier League, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.32 | 5.60 | 7.60 | 6.8% |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 5.20 | 7.40 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 4.80 | 7.50 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.33 | 4.90 | 6.90 | 10.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 10.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 4.95 | 7.75 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 4.95 | 7.40 | 11.8% |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 20.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.33 | 5.60 | 8.00 | 5.5% |
| Average | 1.30 | 4.96 | 7.23 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC
Caernarfon Town
6W 2D 2L · goals 32:13 · per match 3.2 for, 1.3 against
| 17 Oct | A | Flint Town United | 3-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Haverfordwest County AFC | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Barry Town | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Cardiff MET | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Cambrian & Clydach | 9-1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Llandudno | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Ammanford AFC | 5-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Flint Town United | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | The New Saints | 2-3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Holywell | 5-3 | W |
Briton Ferry
2W 2D 6L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against
| 16 Oct | H | Afan United | 5-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Colwyn Bay | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Holywell | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Trefelin | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Penybont | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1-3 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Airbus UK | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Barry Town | 1-4 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Cardiff MET | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 13:5 · last 4: 4W 0D 0L for Caernarfon Town
| 1 Nov 2025Premier League | Premier League | Caernarfon Town4-1Briton Ferry |
| 13 Sep 2025Premier League | Premier League | Briton Ferry2-5Caernarfon Town |
| 9 Nov 2024Premier League | Premier League | Briton Ferry0-1Caernarfon Town |
| 14 Sep 2024Premier League | Premier League | Caernarfon Town3-2Briton Ferry |
Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC
In the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town sit 4th with 26 points from 13 games, while Briton Ferry are 11th with 12 points from 13.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | +38 | 37 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | +21 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | +22 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:25 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | -23 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | -30 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 2.65 | 7.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Betano | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 2.52 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 2.52 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 2.20 | 20.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.65 | 7.2% |
| Average | 1.41 | 2.52 | 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.02 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 2.01 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 1.98 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 1.83 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.05 | 6.6% |
| Average | 1.68 | 1.98 | 10.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caernarfon Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Briton Ferry at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 4.93 | 7.19, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Caernarfon Town win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Caernarfon Town are 4th (26 pts, 37-15 goals), Briton Ferry 11th (12 pts, 12-22).
Over their last five matches, Caernarfon Town averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Briton Ferry averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Caernarfon Town.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 4.96 | 7.23 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | 3.12 | 1.12 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.10 | 5.28 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.68 | 1.98 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.71 | 6.61 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 3.16 | 6.17 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.79 | 18.6 | 53.0 |
| HT X | 4.16 | 8.28 | 16.8 |
| HT 2 | 19.4 | 19.6 | 12.9 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 20.3 | 3.35 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.1 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 4.88 |
| 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.52 |
| 3.5 | 2.05 | 1.65 |
| 4.5 | 3.21 | 1.26 |
| 5.5 | 5.40 | 1.08 |
| 6.5 | 8.67 | 1.04 |
| 7.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 11.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| 2 | 1.15 | 4.30 |
| 2.25 | 1.29 | 3.09 |
| 2.75 | 1.50 | 2.24 |
| 3 | 1.63 | 2.03 |
| 3.25 | 1.83 | 1.77 |
| 3.75 | 2.28 | 1.48 |
| 4 | 2.77 | 1.38 |
| 4.25 | 3.01 | 1.31 |
| 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.17 |
| 5 | 5.25 | 1.09 |
| 5.25 | 5.55 | 1.08 |
| 6 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.25 | 2.73 | 1.40 |
| -2 | 2.38 | 1.47 |
| -1.75 | 2.03 | 1.64 |
| -1.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| -1.25 | 1.63 | 2.05 |
| -1 | 1.44 | 2.47 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 9.40 | 1.01 |
| -4 | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| -3.5 | 5.42 | 1.11 |
| -3.25 | 5.05 | 1.13 |
| -3 | 4.65 | 1.14 |
| -2.75 | 3.52 | 1.24 |
| -2.5 | 2.95 | 1.33 |
| -0.75 | 1.37 | 2.83 |
| -0.5 | 1.32 | 3.30 |
| -0.25 | 1.19 | 3.99 |
| 0 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| +0.25 | 1.08 | 6.23 |
| +0.75 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.03 | 6.40 |
| 7.5 | 1.17 | 3.90 |
| 8.5 | 1.36 | 2.76 |
| 9.5 | 1.64 | 2.08 |
| 10.5 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
| 11.5 | 2.66 | 1.38 |
| 12.5 | 3.63 | 1.20 |
| 13.5 | 5.55 | 1.06 |
| 14.5 | 6.84 | 1.02 |
24 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.04 | 6.13 |
| 7 | 1.05 | 5.87 |
| 7.25 | 1.11 | 4.62 |
| 7.75 | 1.19 | 3.70 |
| 8 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 8.25 | 1.30 | 3.01 |
| 8.75 | 1.43 | 2.54 |
| 9 | 1.47 | 2.44 |
| 9.25 | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| 9.75 | 1.77 | 1.94 |
| 10 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| 10.25 | 1.99 | 1.73 |
| 10.75 | 2.25 | 1.56 |
| 11 | 2.42 | 1.48 |
| 11.25 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 11.75 | 3.01 | 1.30 |
| 12 | 3.43 | 1.23 |
| 12.25 | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| 12.75 | 4.32 | 1.13 |
| 13 | 5.16 | 1.08 |
| 13.25 | 5.35 | 1.07 |
| 13.75 | 5.27 | 1.08 |
| 14 | 6.43 | 1.03 |
| 14.25 | 6.63 | 1.03 |
Next Premier League matches
| 23 Oct | Cambrian & Clydach – Airbus UK |
| 23 Oct | Holywell – Penybont |
| 23 Oct | Colwyn Bay – Cardiff MET |
| 23 Oct | The New Saints – Ammanford AFC |
| 23 Oct | Trefelin – Flint Town United |
| 24 Oct | GAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno |