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Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET• Premier League, Wales

#52.4:0.618:45Today · Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn1.0:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.68DAFX3.95DAF24.801XBMargin at best5.7%Books9Markets86Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.683.954.507.1%
Pinnacle1.653.824.777.7%
William Hill1.673.504.759.5%
Betfair1.603.804.759.9%
1xBet1.593.744.8010.5%
Betano1.623.704.6010.5%
Bet3651.573.804.7511.1%
Marathonbet1.573.744.7011.7%
BetVictor1.533.304.1020.1%
Best of all books1.683.954.805.7%
Average1.613.714.6410.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Colwyn BayCardiff MET
Last 10#5Table position#71.92Points per game1.6210Form pts · last 5102.4Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.271Attack rating2967Defence rating3363Form rating3738H2H rating6255Goals model4558Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:01 UTC

Colwyn Bay

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

17 OctABuckley Town2-2D
10 OctAFlint Town United1-0W
3 OctABriton Ferry0-1L
26 SepHHaverfordwest County AFC1-0W
18 SepHBarry Town5-2W
15 SepAHolywell5-0W
12 SepHGAP Connah S Quay FC2-1W
5 SepAPenybont0-1L
31 AugHLlandudno2-0W
28 AugAThe New Saints1-5L

Cardiff MET

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

16 OctHYnyshir Albions4-0W
9 OctHTrefelin1-3L
3 OctALlandudno1-0W
29 SepHHaverfordwest County AFC1-0W
26 SepHCaernarfon Town2-2D
18 SepAGAP Connah S Quay FC0-1L
11 SepAFlint Town United1-1D
4 SepHCambrian & Clydach2-2D
31 AugAAmmanford AFC5-0W
28 AugHBriton Ferry3-0W

Head to head

2Colwyn Bay wins
2draws
2Cardiff MET wins

6 meetings · goals 9:7 · last 6: 2W 2D 2L for Colwyn Bay

11 Oct 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueColwyn Bay0-0Cardiff MET
6 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff MET1-4Colwyn Bay
17 Feb 2024Welsh CupWelsh CupCardiff MET3-2Colwyn Bay
30 Sep 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueColwyn Bay2-2Cardiff MET
26 Aug 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff MET1-0Colwyn Bay
16 Oct 2021Welsh CupWelsh CupColwyn Bay1-0Cardiff MET

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Colwyn Bay sit 5th with 25 points from 13 games, while Cardiff MET are 7th with 21 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints13121044:6+3837
2GAP Connah S Quay FC13101230:9+2131
3Penybont1393125:11+1430
4Caernarfon Town1382337:15+2226
5Colwyn Bay1381422:15+725
6Barry Town1381428:23+525
7Cardiff MET1363424:16+821
8Airbus UK1370625:18+721
9Cambrian & Clydach1353521:33-1218
10Llandudno1351722:23-116
11Briton Ferry1333712:22-1012
12Haverfordwest County AFC133198:19-1110
13Ammanford AFC1323810:32-229
14Flint Town United1322912:25-138
15Trefelin131398:31-236
16Holywell13021114:44-302

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X24%3.71219%4.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 03:0022 Oct 22:301 1.61X 3.712 4.64
11.96 → 1.61 -17.9%X3.35 → 3.71 +10.7%23.47 → 4.64 +33.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Pinnacle1.742.066.0%
Betano1.781.986.7%
1xBet1.721.969.2%
Marathonbet1.721.969.2%
BetVictor1.571.7720.2%
Best of all books1.782.064.7%
Average1.711.969.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betano1.781.938.0%
1xBet1.731.988.3%
Marathonbet1.731.959.1%
BetVictor1.571.7819.9%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.721.9210.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Colwyn Bay 45%Draw 45%Cardiff MET 10%

The statistical model rates Colwyn Bay at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cardiff MET at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.71 | 4.64, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Colwyn Bay win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Colwyn Bay are 5th (25 pts, 22-15 goals), Cardiff MET 7th (21 pts, 24-16).

Over their last five matches, Colwyn Bay averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Cardiff MET averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Colwyn Bay or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.613.714.64

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.141.20

Draw no bet

12
1.253.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.721.93

1st half

1X2
2.132.284.93

2nd half

1X2
1.972.614.61

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3815.943.0
HT X4.365.7810.6
HT 223.016.38.28

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5012.52.70

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.029.65
1.51.213.58
2.51.711.96
3.52.711.36
4.54.721.11
5.57.861.04
6.512.21.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.019.13
1–9.30
1.251.105.15
1.751.253.28
21.352.91
2.251.502.23
2.751.871.75
32.191.54
3.252.421.42
3.753.351.25
44.451.14
4.254.801.12
4.756.501.05
59.10–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.641.42
-1.252.311.49
-12.041.66
-0.751.741.90
-0.51.592.15
-0.251.402.55
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-310.01.01
-2.756.601.07
-2.55.151.12
-2.254.711.14
-24.301.16
-1.753.231.28
01.243.55
+0.251.194.03
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.086.00
+11.038.95
+1.251.018.90
+1.51.019.25
+1.751.019.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.134.39
7.51.322.91
8.51.612.16
9.52.031.69
10.52.641.40
11.53.651.20
12.55.551.06
13.57.251.01
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.12
6.251.075.36
6.751.144.17
71.163.95
7.251.253.30
7.751.372.72
81.422.56
8.251.532.31
8.751.712.01
91.801.94
9.251.921.78
9.752.181.60
102.331.52
10.252.521.44
10.752.951.31
113.361.24
11.253.541.21
11.754.271.14
125.141.08
12.255.351.07
12.755.701.06
137.091.01
13.257.031.02

Next Premier League matches

23 OctCaernarfon Town – Briton Ferry
23 OctCambrian & Clydach – Airbus UK
23 OctHolywell – Penybont
23 OctThe New Saints – Ammanford AFC
23 OctTrefelin – Flint Town United
24 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

10 OctFlint Town United 0-1 Colwyn Bay
9 OctLlandudno 1-4 Airbus UK
9 OctCambrian & Clydach 0-1 Ammanford AFC
9 OctCardiff MET 1-3 Trefelin
9 OctHolywell 1-6 The New Saints
9 OctHaverfordwest County AFC 1-2 Caernarfon Town