The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC• Premier League, Wales

#15.0:0.618:45Today · Park Hall, Oswestry1.2:2.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.03WHX23.0B365251.0WHMargin at best3.4%Books7Markets102Rating81 · 19Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.01	34.0	56.0	3.7%
William Hill	1.03	19.0	51.0	4.3%
1xBet	1.03	19.0	50.0	4.4%
Bet365	1.01	21.0	81.0	5.0%
Dafabet	1.03	15.0	35.0	6.6%
Betano	1.01	12.5	30.0	10.3%
BetVictor	1.01	6.50	19.0	19.7%
Best of all books	1.03	21.0	56.0	3.6%
Average	1.02	18.1	46.0	5.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

The New SaintsAmmanford AFC

Last 10#1Table position#132.85Points per game0.6915Form pts · last 595.0Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 52.281Attack rating1979Defence rating2168Form rating320H2H rating096Goals model481Overall rating19

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

The New Saints

10W 0D 0L · goals 38:7 · per match 3.8 for, 0.7 against

16 Oct	A	Airbus UK	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Holywell	6-1	W
3 Oct	H	Cambrian & Clydach	9-0	W
26 Sep	A	Trefelin	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Llandudno	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Flint Town United	5-0	W
11 Sep	A	Airbus UK	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Barry Town	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Caernarfon Town	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Colwyn Bay	5-1	W

Ammanford AFC

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:26 · per match 1.1 for, 2.6 against

17 Oct	A	FC Cwmaman	4-2	W
9 Oct	A	Cambrian & Clydach	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Holywell	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Flint Town United	0-3	L
18 Sep	H	Penybont	1-5	L
15 Sep	A	Barry Town	2-2	D
11 Sep	H	Caernarfon Town	0-5	L
4 Sep	A	Llandudno	0-2	L
31 Aug	H	Cardiff MET	0-5	L
28 Aug	A	Trefelin	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between The New Saints and Ammanford AFC on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, The New Saints sit 1st with 37 points from 13 games, while Ammanford AFC are 13th with 9 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	13	12	1	0	44:6	+38	37
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	13	10	1	2	30:9	+21	31
3	Penybont	13	9	3	1	25:11	+14	30
4	Caernarfon Town	13	8	2	3	37:15	+22	26
5	Colwyn Bay	13	8	1	4	22:15	+7	25
6	Barry Town	13	8	1	4	28:23	+5	25
7	Cardiff MET	13	6	3	4	24:16	+8	21
8	Airbus UK	13	7	0	6	25:18	+7	21
9	Cambrian & Clydach	13	5	3	5	21:33	-12	18
10	Llandudno	13	5	1	7	22:23	-1	16
11	Briton Ferry	13	3	3	7	12:22	-10	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	13	3	1	9	8:19	-11	10
13	Ammanford AFC	13	2	3	8	10:32	-22	9
14	Flint Town United	13	2	2	9	12:25	-13	8
15	Trefelin	13	1	3	9	8:31	-23	6
16	Holywell	13	0	2	11	14:44	-30	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg193%1.02X5%18.422%44.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.03 → 1.02 -1.0%X14.1 → 18.4 +30.7%243.4 → 44.3 +2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.08	7.00	6.9%
Betano	1.11	5.50	8.3%
1xBet	1.05	7.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.06	6.30	10.2%
Best of all books	1.11	7.10	4.2%
Average	1.08	6.48	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	3.50	1.28	6.7%
William Hill	4.20	1.20	7.1%
Betano	7.50	1.06	7.7%
1xBet	3.95	1.20	8.6%
Marathonbet	3.95	1.19	9.4%
BetVictor	2.63	1.22	20.0%
Best of all books	4.20	1.28	1.9%
Average	4.29	1.19	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

The New Saints 50%Draw 50%Ammanford AFC 0%

The statistical model rates The New Saints at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Ammanford AFC at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.02 | 18.43 | 44.29, which imply roughly 98% for a The New Saints win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: The New Saints are 1st (37 pts, 44-6 goals), Ammanford AFC 13th (9 pts, 10-32).

Over their last five matches, The New Saints averaged 5 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Ammanford AFC averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : The New Saints and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.02	18.1	46.0

Double chance

X2	12
17.0	1.02

Draw no bet

2
21.0

Both teams to score

Yes	No
4.29	1.19

1st half

1	X	2
1.10	5.94	44.8

2nd half

1	X	2
1.06	9.50	39.6

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.10	60.5	114.3
HT X	5.78	27.3	78.0
HT 2	45.0	62.3	96.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.04	41.0	9.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	34.0
1.5	1.02	14.3
2.5	1.08	6.48
3.5	1.22	3.44
4.5	1.59	2.13
5.5	2.00	1.64
6.5	3.05	1.29
7.5	4.58	1.12
8.5	7.57	1.06
9.5	10.5	1.02
10.5	15.0	1.01
11.5	21.0	–

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.01	9.80
2.75	1.07	5.95
3	1.07	5.95
3.25	1.15	4.20
3.75	1.28	3.14
4	1.34	2.86
4.25	1.47	2.42
4.75	1.66	1.96
5	1.77	1.86
5.25	1.83	1.74
5.75	2.17	1.49
6	2.56	1.40
6.25	2.79	1.35
6.75	3.42	1.23
7	4.25	1.15
7.25	4.50	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-5.25	2.25	1.49
-5	2.18	1.57
-4.75	1.85	1.76
-4.5	1.79	1.86
-4.25	1.65	2.01
-4	1.56	2.29

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-7.5	6.40	1.07
-7	5.80	1.09
-6.5	4.17	1.19
-6.25	3.75	1.25
-6	3.37	1.26
-5.75	2.83	1.36
-5.5	2.51	1.44
-3.75	1.45	2.51
-3.5	1.43	2.62
-3.25	1.27	3.29
-3	1.17	4.18
-2.75	1.15	4.47
-2.5	1.14	4.80
-2.25	1.10	5.70
-2	1.05	7.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.02	6.73
8.5	1.14	4.18
9.5	1.33	2.89
10.5	1.56	2.23
11.5	1.94	1.78
12.5	2.45	1.45
13.5	3.21	1.26
14.5	4.50	1.12
15.5	6.68	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.04	6.23
9	1.18	3.80
10	1.41	2.60
10.25	1.47	2.35
10.75	1.63	2.06
11	1.73	1.99
11.25	1.82	1.84
11.75	2.06	1.68
12	2.23	1.57
12.25	2.31	1.50
13	2.93	1.32
14	4.16	1.14
15	6.29	1.04

Next Premier League matches

23 Oct	Holywell – Penybont
23 Oct	Caernarfon Town – Briton Ferry
23 Oct	Cambrian & Clydach – Airbus UK
23 Oct	Colwyn Bay – Cardiff MET
23 Oct	Trefelin – Flint Town United
24 Oct	GAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

10 Oct	Flint Town United 0-1 Colwyn Bay
9 Oct	Llandudno 1-4 Airbus UK
9 Oct	Cambrian & Clydach 0-1 Ammanford AFC
9 Oct	Cardiff MET 1-3 Trefelin
9 Oct	Holywell 1-6 The New Saints
9 Oct	Haverfordwest County AFC 1-2 Caernarfon Town