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Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town• Premier League, Wales

#73.0:1.219:45Today · The Airfield, Broughton3.2:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.301XBX3.69PIN22.06DAFMargin at best5.9%Books10Markets87Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.303.712.017.0%
Dafabet3.253.602.067.1%
William Hill3.253.502.009.3%
Betano3.203.551.989.9%
1xBet3.423.481.9010.6%
Betfair3.203.501.9511.1%
Bet3653.253.601.9011.2%
Marathonbet3.343.481.8811.9%
SBO2.923.191.9516.9%
BetVictor2.883.251.8320.1%
Best of all books3.423.712.064.7%
Average3.203.491.9511.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Airbus UKCaernarfon Town
Last 10#7Table position#41.71Points per game2.079Form pts · last 5103.0Goals for · last 53.21.2Goals against · last 51.248Attack rating5250Defence rating5055Form rating450H2H rating10043Goals model5740Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 03:01 UTC

Airbus UK

6W 0D 4L · goals 24:15 · per match 2.4 for, 1.5 against

23 OctACambrian & Clydach3-2W
16 OctHThe New Saints1-2L
9 OctALlandudno4-1W
3 OctHTrefelin3-0W
26 SepAPenybont1-2L
18 SepHFlint Town United4-1W
15 SepAGAP Connah S Quay FC0-3L
11 SepHThe New Saints0-2L
4 SepABriton Ferry2-0W
31 AugHHolywell6-2W

Caernarfon Town

6W 2D 2L · goals 30:11 · per match 3.0 for, 1.1 against

23 OctHBriton Ferry3-1W
17 OctAFlint Town United3-1W
9 OctAHaverfordwest County AFC2-1W
3 OctHBarry Town0-1L
26 SepACardiff MET2-2D
18 SepHCambrian & Clydach9-1W
15 SepALlandudno1-1D
11 SepAAmmanford AFC5-0W
4 SepHFlint Town United3-0W
31 AugHThe New Saints2-3L

Head to head

0Airbus UK wins
0draws
6Caernarfon Town wins

6 meetings · goals 3:20 · last 6: 0W 0D 6L for Airbus UK

31 Mar 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCaernarfon Town4-0Airbus UK
17 Feb 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAirbus UK0-2Caernarfon Town
10 Jan 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAirbus UK0-3Caernarfon Town
2 Sep 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCaernarfon Town3-1Airbus UK
13 Dec 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCaernarfon Town5-0Airbus UK
30 Aug 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAirbus UK2-3Caernarfon Town

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Airbus UK sit 7th with 24 points from 14 games, while Caernarfon Town are 4th with 29 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints14131053:6+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334
3Penybont1393125:11+1430
4Caernarfon Town1492340:16+2429
5Colwyn Bay1482424:17+726
6Barry Town1481529:26+325
7Airbus UK1480628:20+824
8Cardiff MET1464426:18+822
9Cambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318
10Llandudno1451822:25-316
11Haverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913
12Briton Ferry1433813:25-1212
13Flint Town United1432914:25-1111
14Ammanford AFC1423910:41-319
15Trefelin1413108:33-256
16Holywell13021114:44-302

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.19X26%3.50246%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 03:0030 Oct 02:401 3.19X 3.502 1.97
13.62 → 3.19 -11.9%X3.90 → 3.50 -10.3%21.81 → 1.97 +8.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Betano1.572.326.8%
Pinnacle1.562.337.0%
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Marathonbet1.482.3310.5%
BetVictor1.441.9720.2%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.522.2710.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betano1.502.428.0%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
1xBet1.452.538.5%
Marathonbet1.452.489.3%
BetVictor1.362.1520.0%
Best of all books1.552.534.0%
Average1.472.389.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Airbus UK 10%Draw 45%Caernarfon Town 45%

The statistical model rates Airbus UK at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Caernarfon Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.19 | 3.50 | 1.97, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Airbus UK are 7th (24 pts, 28-20 goals), Caernarfon Town 4th (29 pts, 40-16).

Over their last five matches, Airbus UK averaged 3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Caernarfon Town averaged 3.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Caernarfon Town and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.203.491.95

Double chance

1XX212
1.751.271.23

Draw no bet

12
2.381.45

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.472.38

1st half

1X2
3.592.332.46

2nd half

1X2
3.332.682.29

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.4414.121.4
HT X7.866.055.22
HT 228.613.62.98

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1717.01.68

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.1
1.51.144.38
2.51.522.27
3.52.261.53
4.53.721.19
5.56.371.05
6.510.01.02
7.517.0–
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.80
1.751.144.45
21.173.95
2.251.352.83
2.751.612.03
31.831.82
3.252.001.63
3.752.641.41
43.151.29
4.253.511.23
4.754.801.12
56.551.05
5.256.901.04
69.10–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.781.35
02.441.44
+0.251.991.66
+0.51.771.93
+0.751.572.14
+11.402.61
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.071.06
-1.256.601.07
-16.101.08
-0.754.221.18
-0.53.271.33
+1.251.342.99
+1.51.303.19
+1.751.184.07
+21.095.75
+2.251.086.10
+2.51.076.50
+2.751.057.27
+31.019.45
+3.51.019.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.93
7.51.213.62
8.51.462.47
9.51.831.89
10.52.271.55
11.52.901.32
12.54.031.16
13.56.021.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.68
71.075.42
7.251.134.32
7.751.223.48
81.253.29
8.251.342.85
8.751.482.42
91.552.27
9.251.652.10
9.751.841.86
101.961.75
10.252.071.67
10.752.351.51
112.591.41
11.252.731.37
11.753.201.26
123.681.19
12.253.851.18
12.754.651.11
135.621.06
13.255.821.05

Next Premier League matches

30 OctAmmanford AFC – Haverfordwest County AFC
30 OctBriton Ferry – Llandudno
30 OctColwyn Bay – Cambrian & Clydach
30 OctFlint Town United – Holywell
30 OctBarry Town – Trefelin
31 OctCardiff MET – Penybont

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

24 OctBarry Town 1-3 Haverfordwest County AFC
24 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC 2-0 Llandudno
23 OctCaernarfon Town 3-1 Briton Ferry
23 OctCambrian & Clydach 2-3 Airbus UK
23 OctColwyn Bay 2-2 Cardiff MET
23 OctThe New Saints 9-0 Ammanford AFC