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Trefelin vs Flint Town United• Premier League, Wales

#151.0:2.418:45Today · Ynys Park, Cwmafan1.0:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.37PINX3.75BFR22.00WHMargin at best6.3%Books9Markets79Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.353.702.006.9%
Pinnacle3.373.651.977.8%
William Hill3.303.402.009.7%
Betano3.303.501.9510.2%
1xBet3.173.501.9810.6%
Betfair3.103.751.9111.3%
Bet3653.203.601.9111.4%
Marathonbet3.103.501.9611.8%
BetVictor3.003.201.8020.1%
Best of all books3.373.752.006.3%
Average3.213.531.9410.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TrefelinFlint Town United
Last 10#15Table position#140.46Points per game0.627Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.02.4Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5045Defence rating5540Form rating600H2H rating028Goals model7241Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

Trefelin

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

17 OctHLlantwit Major4-1W
9 OctACardiff MET3-1W
3 OctAAirbus UK0-3L
26 SepHThe New Saints1-3L
18 SepABriton Ferry1-1D
15 SepHCambrian & Clydach0-4L
11 SepHPenybont0-1L
4 SepAHolywell1-1D
31 AugAHaverfordwest County AFC1-2L
28 AugHAmmanford AFC1-1D

Flint Town United

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

17 OctHCaernarfon Town1-3L
10 OctHColwyn Bay0-1L
3 OctAHaverfordwest County AFC1-0W
26 SepHAmmanford AFC3-0W
18 SepAAirbus UK1-4L
15 SepAThe New Saints0-5L
11 SepHCardiff MET1-1D
4 SepACaernarfon Town0-3L
31 AugHGAP Connah S Quay FC1-2L
28 AugAPenybont1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Trefelin and Flint Town United on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Trefelin sit 15th with 6 points from 13 games, while Flint Town United are 14th with 8 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints13121044:6+3837
2GAP Connah S Quay FC13101230:9+2131
3Penybont1393125:11+1430
4Caernarfon Town1382337:15+2226
5Colwyn Bay1381422:15+725
6Barry Town1381428:23+525
7Cardiff MET1363424:16+821
8Airbus UK1370625:18+721
9Cambrian & Clydach1353521:33-1218
10Llandudno1351722:23-116
11Briton Ferry1333712:22-1012
12Haverfordwest County AFC133198:19-1110
13Ammanford AFC1323810:32-229
14Flint Town United1322912:25-138
15Trefelin131398:31-236
16Holywell13021114:44-302

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.21X26%3.53246%1.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 03:0023 Oct 00:301 3.21X 3.532 1.94
12.77 → 3.21 +15.9%X3.56 → 3.53 -0.8%22.18 → 1.94 -11.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.582.306.8%
Betano1.602.256.9%
1xBet1.592.179.0%
Marathonbet1.592.179.0%
BetVictor1.461.9420.0%
Best of all books1.602.355.1%
Average1.572.209.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betano1.532.357.9%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
1xBet1.522.348.5%
Marathonbet1.522.309.3%
BetVictor1.402.0520.2%
Best of all books1.552.386.5%
Average1.512.2910.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Trefelin 10%Draw 45%Flint Town United 45%

The statistical model rates Trefelin at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Flint Town United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.21 | 3.53 | 1.94, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Trefelin are 15th (6 pts, 8-31 goals), Flint Town United 14th (8 pts, 12-25).

Over their last five matches, Trefelin averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Flint Town United averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Flint Town United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.213.531.94

Double chance

1XX212
1.721.291.24

Draw no bet

12
2.381.45

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.29

1st half

1X2
3.652.332.47

2nd half

1X2
3.332.642.32

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.1414.022.5
HT X7.605.955.28
HT 230.314.03.09

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1415.31.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.6
1.51.164.08
2.51.572.20
3.52.361.48
4.54.041.16
5.56.861.05
6.510.21.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.20
1.251.075.90
1.751.193.85
21.243.45
2.251.412.64
2.751.681.94
31.901.73
3.252.121.56
3.752.861.35
43.701.20
4.254.001.17
4.755.401.09
57.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.691.37
02.381.47
+0.251.961.69
+0.51.771.91
+0.751.552.19
+11.382.68
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.701.01
-1.758.001.04
-1.56.531.07
-1.256.051.09
-15.631.10
-0.753.911.20
-0.53.301.32
+1.251.323.08
+1.51.253.48
+1.751.174.35
+21.086.20
+2.251.126.25
+2.51.067.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.046.09
7.51.193.77
8.51.422.55
9.51.722.01
10.52.141.62
11.52.771.36
12.53.931.17
13.55.851.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.055.83
71.065.58
7.251.124.42
7.751.213.56
81.243.36
8.251.322.91
8.751.462.46
91.562.25
9.251.632.13
9.751.811.89
101.951.79
10.252.041.69
10.752.311.52
112.541.43
11.252.681.38
11.753.131.28
123.591.20
12.253.761.18
12.754.531.12
135.451.07
13.255.651.06

Next Premier League matches

23 OctHolywell – Penybont
23 OctCaernarfon Town – Briton Ferry
23 OctCambrian & Clydach – Airbus UK
23 OctColwyn Bay – Cardiff MET
23 OctThe New Saints – Ammanford AFC
24 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

10 OctFlint Town United 0-1 Colwyn Bay
9 OctLlandudno 1-4 Airbus UK
9 OctCambrian & Clydach 0-1 Ammanford AFC
9 OctCardiff MET 1-3 Trefelin
9 OctHolywell 1-6 The New Saints
9 OctHaverfordwest County AFC 1-2 Caernarfon Town