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Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC• Premier League, Wales

#61.4:2.81-3FT24/10 · Jenner Park, Barry0.4:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.06PINX3.60DAF23.431XBMargin at best5.5%Books10Markets64Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 10:32 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.053.553.356.8%
Pinnacle2.063.503.267.8%
William Hill2.053.303.309.4%
Betano2.023.403.2010.2%
1xBet1.943.343.4310.6%
Bet3651.953.403.3011.0%
Betfair1.953.503.2011.1%
Marathonbet1.923.343.3511.9%
SBO2.003.133.0414.8%
BetVictor1.873.132.9019.9%
Best of all books2.063.553.435.9%
Average1.983.363.2311.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Barry TownHaverfordwest County AFC
Last 10#6Table position#111.79Points per game0.936Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 50.42.8Goals against · last 51.078Attack rating2226Defence rating7457Form rating4371H2H rating2989Goals model1165Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC

Barry Town

4W 1D 5L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

24 OctHHaverfordwest County AFC1-3L
17 OctHTredegar Town2-0W
9 OctAPenybont1-3L
3 OctACaernarfon Town1-0W
26 SepHGAP Connah S Quay FC1-4L
18 SepAColwyn Bay2-5L
15 SepHAmmanford AFC2-2D
11 SepHLlandudno4-1W
5 SepAThe New Saints0-1L
31 AugABriton Ferry4-1W

Haverfordwest County AFC

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

24 OctABarry Town3-1W
17 OctHCardiff Corinthians4-0W
9 OctHCaernarfon Town1-2L
3 OctHFlint Town United0-1L
29 SepACardiff MET0-1L
26 SepAColwyn Bay0-1L
18 SepHHolywell1-0W
11 SepHBriton Ferry3-1W
4 SepAGAP Connah S Quay FC1-1D
31 AugHTrefelin2-1W

Head to head

5Barry Town wins
6draws
6Haverfordwest County AFC wins

17 meetings · goals 25:25 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Barry Town

26 Apr 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBarry Town1-1Haverfordwest County AFC
28 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBarry Town4-0Haverfordwest County AFC
4 Nov 2025League CupLeague CupHaverfordwest County AFC0-2Barry Town
23 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC2-3Barry Town
14 Jan 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBarry Town1-1Haverfordwest County AFC
24 Sep 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC1-1Barry Town
5 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC2-1Barry Town
23 Feb 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBarry Town1-1Haverfordwest County AFC
26 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC2-0Barry Town
29 Aug 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBarry Town2-2Haverfordwest County AFC

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Barry Town sit 6th with 25 points from 14 games, while Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th with 13 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints14131053:6+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334
3Penybont1393125:11+1430
4Caernarfon Town1492340:16+2429
5Colwyn Bay1482424:17+726
6Barry Town1481529:26+325
7Airbus UK1480628:20+824
8Cardiff MET1464426:18+822
9Cambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318
10Llandudno1451822:25-316
11Haverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913
12Briton Ferry1433813:25-1212
13Flint Town United1432914:25-1111
14Ammanford AFC1423910:41-319
15Trefelin1413108:33-256
16Holywell13021114:44-302

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X27%3.30228%3.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:0123 Oct 23:001 1.97X 3.402 3.27
11.85 → 1.97 +6.5%X3.48 → 3.40 -2.3%23.52 → 3.27 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.692.136.1%
SBO1.752.036.4%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.752.026.6%
1xBet1.701.999.1%
Marathonbet1.701.999.1%
BetVictor1.551.8119.8%
Best of all books1.752.134.1%
Average1.692.018.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
Betano1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.602.188.4%
Marathonbet1.602.149.2%
BetVictor1.451.9520.2%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.582.1310.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Barry Town 45%Draw 45%Haverfordwest County AFC 10%

The statistical model rated Barry Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Haverfordwest County AFC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.23, which imply roughly 50% for a Barry Town win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Barry Town are 6th (25 pts, 29-26 goals), Haverfordwest County AFC 11th (13 pts, 11-20).

Over their last five matches, Barry Town averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Haverfordwest County AFC averaged 0.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Barry Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.983.363.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.261.711.24

Draw no bet

12
1.472.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.13

1st half

1X2
2.532.213.74

2nd half

1X2
2.332.563.47

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.0814.033.2
HT X5.145.507.69
HT 223.614.15.46

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6912.52.27

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.038.39
1.51.193.68
2.51.692.01
3.52.631.38
4.54.581.12
5.57.181.04
6.511.41.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.98
11.028.55
1.251.095.35
1.751.263.32
21.332.82
2.251.472.29
2.751.821.78
32.121.58
3.252.351.45
3.753.291.25
44.401.14
4.254.761.12
4.756.551.05
57.001.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.791.36
-0.752.221.53
-0.51.971.73
-0.251.711.94
01.462.39
+0.251.352.75
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.331.05
-2.257.071.06
-26.631.07
-1.754.501.15
-1.53.521.24
-1.253.171.30
+0.51.333.25
+0.751.184.20
+11.086.27
+1.251.076.80
+1.51.057.27

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.065.67
6.51.233.38
7.51.492.38
8.51.871.82
9.52.441.47
10.53.371.23
11.54.941.09
6 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.085.13
71.293.04
81.662.08
92.171.61
103.001.30
114.541.12

Next Premier League matches

30 OctBriton Ferry – Llandudno
30 OctAirbus UK – Caernarfon Town
30 OctAmmanford AFC – Haverfordwest County AFC
30 OctColwyn Bay – Cambrian & Clydach
30 OctFlint Town United – Holywell
30 OctBarry Town – Trefelin

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

24 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC 2-0 Llandudno
23 OctCaernarfon Town 3-1 Briton Ferry
23 OctCambrian & Clydach 2-3 Airbus UK
23 OctColwyn Bay 2-2 Cardiff MET
23 OctThe New Saints 9-0 Ammanford AFC
23 OctTrefelin 0-2 Flint Town United