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Barry Town vs Trefelin• Premier League, Wales

#61.2:3.019:45Today · Jenner Park, Barry1.0:2.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42PINX4.83PIN27.071XBMargin at best5.3%Books10Markets90Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.424.806.406.9%
Pinnacle1.414.876.387.1%
William Hill1.404.406.509.5%
Betano1.424.405.9010.1%
1xBet1.344.557.0710.7%
Betfair1.364.756.0011.2%
Marathonbet1.334.556.7512.0%
Bet3651.384.505.7512.1%
SBO1.344.185.6116.4%
BetVictor1.303.905.5020.7%
Best of all books1.424.877.075.1%
Average1.374.496.1911.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Barry TownTrefelin
Last 10#6Table position#151.79Points per game0.436Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 51.03.0Goals against · last 52.055Attack rating4540Defence rating6043Form rating57100H2H rating072Goals model2858Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC

Barry Town

4W 1D 5L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

24 OctHHaverfordwest County AFC1-3L
17 OctHTredegar Town2-0W
9 OctAPenybont1-3L
3 OctACaernarfon Town1-0W
26 SepHGAP Connah S Quay FC1-4L
18 SepAColwyn Bay2-5L
15 SepHAmmanford AFC2-2D
11 SepHLlandudno4-1W
5 SepAThe New Saints0-1L
31 AugABriton Ferry4-1W

Trefelin

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

23 OctHFlint Town United0-2L
17 OctHLlantwit Major4-1W
9 OctACardiff MET3-1W
3 OctAAirbus UK0-3L
26 SepHThe New Saints1-3L
18 SepABriton Ferry1-1D
15 SepHCambrian & Clydach0-4L
11 SepHPenybont0-1L
4 SepAHolywell1-1D
31 AugAHaverfordwest County AFC1-2L

Head to head

3Barry Town wins
0draws
0Trefelin wins

3 meetings · goals 7:2 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Barry Town

10 Feb 2023FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipTrefelin1-2Barry Town
5 Nov 2022FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipBarry Town2-1Trefelin
21 Sep 2021League CupLeague CupBarry Town3-0Trefelin

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Barry Town sit 6th with 25 points from 14 games, while Trefelin are 15th with 6 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints14131053:6+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334
3Penybont1393125:11+1430
4Caernarfon Town1492340:16+2429
5Colwyn Bay1482424:17+726
6Barry Town1481529:26+325
7Airbus UK1480628:20+824
8Cardiff MET1464426:18+822
9Cambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318
10Llandudno1451822:25-316
11Haverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913
12Briton Ferry1433813:25-1212
13Flint Town United1432914:25-1111
14Ammanford AFC1423910:41-319
15Trefelin1413108:33-256
16Holywell13021114:44-302

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.37X20%4.52214%6.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 03:0030 Oct 00:001 1.37X 4.522 6.24
11.35 → 1.37 +1.5%X4.77 → 4.52 -5.2%26.68 → 6.24 -6.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.492.517.0%
Betano1.502.477.2%
1xBet1.442.4310.6%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
BetVictor1.402.0620.0%
Best of all books1.502.516.5%
Average1.462.4010.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Betano1.672.078.2%
1xBet1.652.088.7%
Marathonbet1.652.059.4%
BetVictor1.531.8320.0%
Best of all books1.732.105.4%
Average1.652.039.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Barry Town 45%Draw 45%Trefelin 10%

The statistical model rates Barry Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Trefelin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 4.52 | 6.24, which imply roughly 73% for a Barry Town win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Barry Town are 6th (25 pts, 29-26 goals), Trefelin 15th (6 pts, 8-33).

Over their last five matches, Barry Town averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Trefelin averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Barry Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.374.496.19

Double chance

1XX212
1.072.761.14

Draw no bet

12
1.144.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.652.03

1st half

1X2
1.822.545.84

2nd half

1X2
1.672.995.65

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9517.248.1
HT X4.237.4213.9
HT 219.918.011.2

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3618.93.14

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.6
1.51.124.66
2.51.462.40
3.52.161.58
4.53.471.22
5.56.021.06
6.59.581.03
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.751.124.65
21.164.20
2.251.323.00
2.751.552.14
31.731.92
3.251.921.70
3.752.511.45
43.041.29
4.253.351.25
4.754.551.13
56.101.06
5.256.451.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.761.39
-1.752.261.51
-1.52.001.68
-1.251.791.88
-11.572.17
-0.751.432.46
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-410.51.01
-3.56.401.07
-3.256.251.08
-35.871.09
-2.754.221.17
-2.53.431.25
-2.253.091.31
-0.51.402.86
-0.251.243.52
01.115.35
+0.251.095.88
+0.51.126.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.41
7.51.243.34
8.51.482.41
9.51.821.88
10.52.331.51
11.53.111.28
12.54.391.13
13.56.711.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.17
71.094.92
7.251.163.98
7.751.263.22
81.293.04
8.251.392.67
8.751.542.29
91.632.13
9.251.722.00
9.751.931.78
102.091.66
10.252.181.60
10.752.501.44
112.781.36
11.252.931.32
11.753.461.22
124.041.16
12.254.221.14
12.755.131.08
136.281.04
13.256.501.03

Next Premier League matches

30 OctAirbus UK – Caernarfon Town
30 OctAmmanford AFC – Haverfordwest County AFC
30 OctBriton Ferry – Llandudno
30 OctColwyn Bay – Cambrian & Clydach
30 OctFlint Town United – Holywell
31 OctCardiff MET – Penybont

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

24 OctBarry Town 1-3 Haverfordwest County AFC
24 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC 2-0 Llandudno
23 OctCaernarfon Town 3-1 Briton Ferry
23 OctCambrian & Clydach 2-3 Airbus UK
23 OctColwyn Bay 2-2 Cardiff MET
23 OctThe New Saints 9-0 Ammanford AFC