GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno• Premier League, Wales

#22.2:0.411:30Tomorrow · Essity Stadium, Flint1.2:2.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42PINX4.90DAF27.00WHMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets59Rating80 · 20Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.39	5.00	6.60	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.38	4.74	6.98	7.9%
William Hill	1.40	4.20	7.00	9.5%
Betano	1.40	4.40	6.20	10.3%
1xBet	1.38	4.25	6.82	10.7%
Betfair	1.33	4.60	7.00	11.2%
Bet365	1.38	4.33	6.25	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.37	4.25	6.50	11.9%
Best of all books	1.40	5.00	7.00	5.7%
Average	1.38	4.47	6.67	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GAP Connah S Quay FCLlandudno

Last 10#2Table position#102.38Points per game1.2315Form pts · last 532.2Goals for · last 51.20.4Goals against · last 52.465Attack rating3586Defence rating1494Form rating671H2H rating2986Goals model1480Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

GAP Connah S Quay FC

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:6 · per match 2.2 for, 0.6 against

16 Oct	H	Porthmadog	4-0	W
9 Oct	A	Briton Ferry	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Penybont	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Barry Town	4-1	W
18 Sep	H	Cardiff MET	1-0	W
15 Sep	H	Airbus UK	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Colwyn Bay	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Haverfordwest County AFC	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Flint Town United	2-1	W
28 Aug	H	Cambrian & Clydach	3-0	W

Llandudno

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	Llanefydd	1-0	W
9 Oct	H	Airbus UK	1-4	L
3 Oct	H	Cardiff MET	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Cambrian & Clydach	3-4	L
19 Sep	A	The New Saints	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Caernarfon Town	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Barry Town	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	Ammanford AFC	2-0	W
31 Aug	A	Colwyn Bay	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Haverfordwest County AFC	2-0	W

Head to head

6GAP Connah S Quay FC wins

2draws

4Llandudno wins

12 meetings · goals 20:11 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for GAP Connah S Quay FC

21 Nov 2025Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	Llandudno2-1GAP Connah S Quay FC
6 Aug 2021League Cup	League Cup	GAP Connah S Quay FC2-0Llandudno
1 Dec 2018Premier League	Premier League	GAP Connah S Quay FC3-0Llandudno
22 Sep 2018Premier League	Premier League	Llandudno0-4GAP Connah S Quay FC
21 Oct 2017Premier League	Premier League	GAP Connah S Quay FC1-1Llandudno
26 Aug 2017Premier League	Premier League	Llandudno1-0GAP Connah S Quay FC
13 Nov 2016Premier League	Premier League	Llandudno0-2GAP Connah S Quay FC
20 Sep 2016Premier League	Premier League	GAP Connah S Quay FC1-1Llandudno
26 Mar 2016Premier League	Premier League	Llandudno1-2GAP Connah S Quay FC
13 Feb 2016Premier League	Premier League	GAP Connah S Quay FC2-3Llandudno

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd with 31 points from 13 games, while Llandudno are 10th with 16 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	13	12	1	0	44:6	+38	37
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	13	10	1	2	30:9	+21	31
3	Penybont	13	9	3	1	25:11	+14	30
4	Caernarfon Town	13	8	2	3	37:15	+22	26
5	Colwyn Bay	13	8	1	4	22:15	+7	25
6	Barry Town	13	8	1	4	28:23	+5	25
7	Cardiff MET	13	6	3	4	24:16	+8	21
8	Airbus UK	13	7	0	6	25:18	+7	21
9	Cambrian & Clydach	13	5	3	5	21:33	-12	18
10	Llandudno	13	5	1	7	22:23	-1	16
11	Briton Ferry	13	3	3	7	12:22	-10	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	13	3	1	9	8:19	-11	10
13	Ammanford AFC	13	2	3	8	10:32	-22	9
14	Flint Town United	13	2	2	9	12:25	-13	8
15	Trefelin	13	1	3	9	8:31	-23	6
16	Holywell	13	0	2	11	14:44	-30	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.39X21%4.44214%6.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.39 -4.8%X3.97 → 4.44 +11.8%25.64 → 6.60 +17.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.61	2.19	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.87	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.91	6.4%
Average	1.82	1.87	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

GAP Connah S Quay FC 50%Draw 50%Llandudno 0%

The statistical model rates GAP Connah S Quay FC at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Llandudno at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.44 | 6.60, which imply roughly 71.9% for a GAP Connah S Quay FC win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (31 pts, 30-9 goals), Llandudno 10th (16 pts, 22-23).

Over their last five matches, GAP Connah S Quay FC averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Llandudno averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : GAP Connah S Quay FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	4.47	6.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.74	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	5.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
1.84	2.46	6.33

2nd half

1	X	2
1.70	2.86	5.84

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.99	17.9	50.8
HT X	4.10	6.70	14.4
HT 2	21.8	18.4	11.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	14.6	3.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.18	4.18
2.5	1.61	2.19
3.5	2.48	1.47
4.5	4.23	1.17
5.5	7.35	1.05
6.5	10.6	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.10
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.20	3.73
2	1.26	3.32
2.25	1.42	2.58
2.75	1.74	1.96
3	1.98	1.73
3.25	2.20	1.58
3.75	2.86	1.35
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.91	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.34	1.52
-1.5	2.06	1.69
-1.25	1.84	1.88
-1	1.61	2.21
-0.75	1.46	2.51
-0.5	1.41	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.60	1.05
-3.25	6.40	1.12
-3	5.97	1.09
-2.75	4.35	1.16
-2.5	3.48	1.25
-2.25	3.17	1.29
-2	2.86	1.36
-0.25	1.25	3.41
0	1.12	5.23
+0.25	1.10	5.67
+0.5	1.11	6.60
+0.75	1.02	8.00
+1	1.01	10.0

Next Premier League matches

23 Oct	Holywell – Penybont
23 Oct	Caernarfon Town – Briton Ferry
23 Oct	Cambrian & Clydach – Airbus UK
23 Oct	Colwyn Bay – Cardiff MET
23 Oct	Trefelin – Flint Town United
23 Oct	The New Saints – Ammanford AFC

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

10 Oct	Flint Town United 0-1 Colwyn Bay
9 Oct	Llandudno 1-4 Airbus UK
9 Oct	Cambrian & Clydach 0-1 Ammanford AFC
9 Oct	Cardiff MET 1-3 Trefelin
9 Oct	Holywell 1-6 The New Saints
9 Oct	Haverfordwest County AFC 1-2 Caernarfon Town