Holywell vs Penybont• Premier League, Wales

#160.6:3.018:45Tomorrow · Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell2.6:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

19.601XBX6.00DAF21.27BTNMargin at best5.8%Books8Markets65Rating20 · 80Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	9.20	6.00	1.26	6.9%
Pinnacle	8.97	5.91	1.25	8.1%
William Hill	9.50	5.50	1.25	8.7%
Bet365	8.50	5.75	1.25	9.2%
Betano	8.25	5.30	1.27	9.7%
1xBet	9.60	5.10	1.24	10.7%
Betfair	9.50	5.50	1.22	10.7%
Marathonbet	9.10	5.10	1.23	11.9%
Best of all books	9.60	6.00	1.27	5.8%
Average	9.08	5.52	1.25	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HolywellPenybont

Last 10#16Table position#30.15Points per game2.312Form pts · last 5120.6Goals for · last 52.63.0Goals against · last 51.219Attack rating8129Defence rating718Form rating920H2H rating10010Goals model9020Overall rating80

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Holywell

0W 3D 7L · goals 13:32 · per match 1.3 for, 3.2 against

17 Oct	A	Llay Miners Welfare	3-3	D
9 Oct	H	The New Saints	1-6	L
3 Oct	A	Ammanford AFC	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Briton Ferry	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Haverfordwest County AFC	0-1	L
15 Sep	H	Colwyn Bay	0-5	L
11 Sep	A	Cambrian & Clydach	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Trefelin	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Airbus UK	2-6	L
28 Aug	H	Caernarfon Town	3-5	L

Penybont

7W 2D 1L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	A	Afan Lido	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	Barry Town	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Airbus UK	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Ammanford AFC	5-1	W
15 Sep	H	Briton Ferry	3-2	W
11 Sep	A	Trefelin	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Colwyn Bay	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Cambrian & Clydach	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	Flint Town United	1-1	D

Head to head

0Holywell wins

0draws

1Penybont wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Holywell

5 Feb 2023Welsh Cup

Welsh Cup

Penybont2-1Holywell

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Holywell sit 16th with 2 points from 13 games, while Penybont are 3rd with 30 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	13	12	1	0	44:6	+38	37
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	13	10	1	2	30:9	+21	31
3	Penybont	13	9	3	1	25:11	+14	30
4	Caernarfon Town	13	8	2	3	37:15	+22	26
5	Colwyn Bay	13	8	1	4	22:15	+7	25
6	Barry Town	13	8	1	4	28:23	+5	25
7	Cardiff MET	13	6	3	4	24:16	+8	21
8	Airbus UK	13	7	0	6	25:18	+7	21
9	Cambrian & Clydach	13	5	3	5	21:33	-12	18
10	Llandudno	13	5	1	7	22:23	-1	16
11	Briton Ferry	13	3	3	7	12:22	-10	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	13	3	1	9	8:19	-11	10
13	Ammanford AFC	13	2	3	8	10:32	-22	9
14	Flint Town United	13	2	2	9	12:25	-13	8
15	Trefelin	13	1	3	9	8:31	-23	6
16	Holywell	13	0	2	11	14:44	-30	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg110%9.08X17%5.52273%1.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18.00 → 9.08 +13.5%X4.90 → 5.52 +12.7%21.31 → 1.25 -4.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.45	2.57	7.9%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.45	2.75	5.3%
Average	1.43	2.58	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betano	1.85	1.87	7.5%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.88	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Holywell 0%Draw 50%Penybont 50%

The statistical model rates Holywell at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Penybont at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.08 | 5.52 | 1.25, which imply roughly 18.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Holywell are 16th (2 pts, 14-44 goals), Penybont 3rd (30 pts, 25-11).

Over their last five matches, Holywell averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Penybont averaged 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Penybont and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
9.08	5.52	1.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.53	1.04	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
6.87	1.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
7.61	2.73	1.65

2nd half

1	X	2
7.24	3.23	1.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	16.1	21.3	20.9
HT X	18.6	8.38	4.01
HT 2	58.8	20.4	1.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.67	19.0	1.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.12	5.15
2.5	1.43	2.58
3.5	2.08	1.67
4.5	3.39	1.26
5.5	5.90	1.09
6.5	8.75	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.12	4.70
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.29	3.06
2.75	1.52	2.33
3	1.66	2.07
3.25	1.87	1.82
3.75	2.36	1.50
4	2.85	1.35
4.25	3.15	1.27
4.75	4.16	1.16
5	5.50	1.08
5.25	5.80	1.07
6	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.30	1.54
+1.5	2.02	1.72
+1.75	1.82	1.90
+2	1.62	2.16
+2.25	1.49	2.44
+2.5	1.42	2.65

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	8.85	1.01
-0.25	7.00	1.10
0	7.07	1.06
+0.25	4.67	1.14
+0.5	3.70	1.26
+0.75	3.20	1.30
+1	2.82	1.38
+2.75	1.29	3.17
+3	1.18	4.10
+3.25	1.16	4.45
+3.5	1.13	4.82
+3.75	1.08	6.03
+4	1.01	8.50

Next Premier League matches

23 Oct	Caernarfon Town – Briton Ferry
23 Oct	Cambrian & Clydach – Airbus UK
23 Oct	Colwyn Bay – Cardiff MET
23 Oct	Trefelin – Flint Town United
23 Oct	The New Saints – Ammanford AFC
24 Oct	GAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

10 Oct	Flint Town United 0-1 Colwyn Bay
9 Oct	Llandudno 1-4 Airbus UK
9 Oct	Cambrian & Clydach 0-1 Ammanford AFC
9 Oct	Cardiff MET 1-3 Trefelin
9 Oct	Holywell 1-6 The New Saints
9 Oct	Haverfordwest County AFC 1-2 Caernarfon Town