Holywell vs The New Saints• Premier League, Wales

#160.6:2.218:45Today · Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell4.2:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

151.0WHX17.0B36521.03WHMargin at best4.9%Books7Markets95Rating10 · 90Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
William Hill	51.0	19.0	1.03	4.3%
Betfair	56.0	18.0	1.02	5.4%
Bet365	34.0	17.0	1.03	5.9%
Dafabet	45.0	15.0	1.02	6.9%
1xBet	75.0	13.0	1.01	8.0%
Betano	28.0	10.5	1.03	10.2%
BetVictor	15.0	6.50	1.03	19.1%
Best of all books	51.0	17.0	1.03	4.9%
Average	43.4	14.1	1.02	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HolywellThe New Saints

Last 10#16Table position#10.17Points per game2.831Form pts · last 5150.6Goals for · last 54.22.2Goals against · last 50.413Attack rating8815Defence rating856Form rating940H2H rating06Goals model9410Overall rating90

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Holywell

0W 2D 8L · goals 11:29 · per match 1.1 for, 2.9 against

3 Oct	A	Ammanford AFC	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Briton Ferry	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Haverfordwest County AFC	0-1	L
15 Sep	H	Colwyn Bay	0-5	L
11 Sep	A	Cambrian & Clydach	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Trefelin	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Airbus UK	2-6	L
28 Aug	H	Caernarfon Town	3-5	L
21 Aug	H	Barry Town	1-3	L
14 Aug	A	Llandudno	1-3	L

The New Saints

10W 0D 0L · goals 36:5 · per match 3.6 for, 0.5 against

3 Oct	H	Cambrian & Clydach	9-0	W
26 Sep	A	Trefelin	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Llandudno	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Flint Town United	5-0	W
11 Sep	A	Airbus UK	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Barry Town	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Caernarfon Town	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Colwyn Bay	5-1	W
21 Aug	A	Cardiff MET	5-0	W
14 Aug	H	Briton Ferry	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Holywell and The New Saints on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, Holywell sit 16th with 2 points from 12 games, while The New Saints are 1st with 34 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	12	11	1	0	38:5	+33	34
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	12	9	1	2	28:8	+20	28
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	22:10	+12	27
4	Barry Town	12	8	1	3	27:20	+7	25
5	Caernarfon Town	12	7	2	3	35:14	+21	23
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	21:15	+6	22
7	Cardiff MET	12	6	3	3	23:13	+10	21
8	Airbus UK	12	6	0	6	21:17	+4	18
9	Cambrian & Clydach	12	5	3	4	21:32	-11	18
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	21:19	+2	16
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10
13	Flint Town United	12	2	2	8	12:24	-12	8
14	Ammanford AFC	12	1	3	8	9:32	-23	6
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	13:38	-25	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg12%42.9X7%13.6291%1.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

146.0 → 42.9 -6.8%X17.3 → 13.6 -21.3%21.03 → 1.03 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.12	5.50	7.5%
Betano	1.13	5.10	8.1%
1xBet	1.09	5.25	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.09	5.25	10.8%
BetVictor	1.06	4.00	19.3%
Best of all books	1.13	5.50	6.7%
Average	1.10	5.02	11.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.32	1.53	8.5%
Betano	2.32	1.53	8.5%
Marathonbet	2.32	1.51	9.3%
BetVictor	2.05	1.40	20.2%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.30	1.50	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Holywell 0%Draw 50%The New Saints 50%

The statistical model rates Holywell at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and The New Saints at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 42.86 | 13.64 | 1.03, which imply roughly 7.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Holywell are 16th (2 pts, 13-38 goals), The New Saints 1st (34 pts, 38-5).

Over their last five matches, Holywell averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; The New Saints averaged 4.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : The New Saints and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
43.4	14.1	1.02

Double chance

1X	12
11.0	1.01

Draw no bet

1	2
17.3	1.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.30	1.51

1st half

1	X	2
20.4	4.44	1.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
6.85	37.5	1.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	21.0
1.5	1.03	11.1
2.5	1.10	5.02
3.5	1.33	2.86
4.5	1.72	1.93
5.5	2.41	1.44
6.5	3.63	1.20
7.5	6.23	1.10
8.5	9.08	1.04
9.5	13.5	1.01
10.5	19.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.02	8.25
2.75	1.11	4.95
3	1.13	4.60
3.25	1.22	3.51
3.75	1.42	2.43
4	1.50	2.28
4.25	1.59	2.08
4.75	1.84	1.75
5	2.07	1.60
5.25	2.16	1.49
5.75	2.75	1.35
6	3.28	1.25
6.25	3.50	1.22
7	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+3	2.37	1.47
+3.25	2.10	1.59
+3.5	1.96	1.72
+3.75	1.80	1.84
+4	1.62	2.09
+4.25	1.47	2.35

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
+1.5	5.25	1.11
+1.75	4.87	1.13
+2	4.53	1.15
+2.25	3.48	1.25
+2.5	2.93	1.33
+2.75	2.65	1.41
+4.5	1.43	2.56
+4.75	1.34	2.93
+5	1.24	3.52
+5.25	1.22	3.75
+5.5	1.19	4.01
+5.75	1.17	5.00
+6	1.07	5.75
+6.5	1.08	6.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.62
7.5	1.07	5.34
8.5	1.23	3.44
9.5	1.49	2.38
10.5	1.84	1.87
11.5	2.26	1.56
12.5	2.77	1.36
13.5	3.91	1.17
14.5	5.72	1.06

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.04	6.08
8	1.10	4.88
9	1.28	3.11
9.25	1.42	2.49
9.75	1.48	2.36
10	1.66	2.14
10.25	1.67	2.07
10.75	1.83	1.83
11	1.96	1.76
11.25	2.06	1.63
11.75	2.33	1.48
12	2.53	1.44
13	3.59	1.20
14	5.34	1.07