Cardiff MET vs Trefelin• Premier League, Wales

#71.0:0.81-3FTToday · Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff0.4:2.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.39BTNX5.23PIN27.551XBMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets91Rating80 · 20Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.36	5.23	7.18	6.6%
Dafabet	1.38	5.00	6.80	7.2%
William Hill	1.36	4.80	7.00	8.6%
Bet365	1.36	4.75	6.50	10.0%
Betano	1.39	4.55	6.20	10.0%
Betfair	1.30	5.00	7.50	10.3%
1xBet	1.31	4.75	7.55	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	4.75	7.20	11.9%
SBO	1.32	4.46	6.28	14.1%
BetVictor	1.29	3.90	6.00	19.8%
Best of all books	1.39	5.23	7.55	4.3%
Average	1.34	4.72	6.82	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cardiff METTrefelin

Last 10#7Table position#151.75Points per game0.258Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 50.40.8Goals against · last 52.471Attack rating2975Defence rating2589Form rating110H2H rating084Goals model1680Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Cardiff MET

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	A	Llandudno	1-0	W
29 Sep	H	Haverfordwest County AFC	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Caernarfon Town	2-2	D
18 Sep	A	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0-1	L
11 Sep	A	Flint Town United	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Cambrian & Clydach	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Ammanford AFC	5-0	W
28 Aug	H	Briton Ferry	3-0	W
21 Aug	H	The New Saints	0-5	L
15 Aug	A	Barry Town	0-1	L

Trefelin

0W 3D 7L · goals 5:24 · per match 0.5 for, 2.4 against

3 Oct	A	Airbus UK	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	The New Saints	1-3	L
18 Sep	A	Briton Ferry	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Cambrian & Clydach	0-4	L
11 Sep	H	Penybont	0-1	L
4 Sep	A	Holywell	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Haverfordwest County AFC	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Ammanford AFC	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Caernarfon Town	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0-6	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Cardiff MET and Trefelin on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Cardiff MET sit 7th with 21 points from 12 games, while Trefelin are 15th with 3 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	12	11	1	0	38:5	+33	34
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	12	9	1	2	28:8	+20	28
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	22:10	+12	27
4	Barry Town	12	8	1	3	27:20	+7	25
5	Caernarfon Town	12	7	2	3	35:14	+21	23
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	21:15	+6	22
7	Cardiff MET	12	6	3	3	23:13	+10	21
8	Airbus UK	12	6	0	6	21:17	+4	18
9	Cambrian & Clydach	12	5	3	4	21:32	-11	18
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	21:19	+2	16
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10
13	Flint Town United	12	2	2	8	12:24	-12	8
14	Ammanford AFC	12	1	3	8	9:32	-23	6
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	13:38	-25	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.34X19%4.72213%6.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.28 → 1.34 +4.7%X4.95 → 4.72 -4.6%27.84 → 6.82 -13.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
BetVictor	1.42	2.02	19.9%
Best of all books	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Average	1.50	2.31	10.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.88	9.4%
BetVictor	1.60	1.75	19.6%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.74	1.90	10.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cardiff MET 50%Draw 50%Trefelin 0%

The statistical model rated Cardiff MET at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Trefelin at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 4.72 | 6.82, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Cardiff MET win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Cardiff MET are 7th (21 pts, 23-13 goals), Trefelin 15th (3 pts, 5-30).

Over their last five matches, Cardiff MET averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Trefelin averaged 0.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Cardiff MET.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.34	4.72	6.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.93	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	5.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
1.77	2.58	6.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	17.0	3.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.6
1.5	1.14	4.30
2.5	1.50	2.31
3.5	2.24	1.54
4.5	3.65	1.20
5.5	6.17	1.06
6.5	9.67	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.75	1.16	4.15
2	1.19	3.74
2.25	1.36	2.81
2.75	1.61	2.06
3	1.79	1.87
3.25	2.00	1.66
3.75	2.66	1.41
4	3.17	1.28
4.25	3.51	1.22
4.75	4.65	1.12
5	6.15	1.06
5.25	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.54	1.43
-1.75	2.13	1.61
-1.5	1.94	1.75
-1.25	1.70	1.99
-1	1.51	2.31
-0.75	1.40	2.72

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.10	1.01
-3.75	6.20	1.06
-3.5	5.83	1.09
-3.25	5.55	1.10
-3	5.15	1.12
-2.75	3.81	1.21
-2.5	3.07	1.32
-2.25	2.86	1.37
-0.5	1.35	3.13
-0.25	1.20	3.87
0	1.09	5.80
+0.25	1.08	6.30
+0.75	1.01	8.82

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.74
7.5	1.21	3.53
8.5	1.44	2.53
9.5	1.75	1.96
10.5	2.23	1.56
11.5	2.93	1.32
12.5	4.16	1.15
13.5	6.26	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.48
7	1.08	5.23
7.25	1.14	4.19
7.75	1.23	3.38
8	1.26	3.20
8.25	1.35	2.78
8.75	1.50	2.37
9	1.57	2.23
9.25	1.67	2.06
9.75	1.87	1.83
10	2.01	1.74
10.25	2.11	1.64
10.75	2.40	1.48
11	2.65	1.39
11.25	2.80	1.35
11.75	3.29	1.25
12	3.80	1.18
12.25	3.98	1.16
12.75	4.82	1.10
13	5.85	1.05
13.25	6.06	1.04