OddsFilter

Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town• Premier League, Wales

#120.8:0.818:45Today · Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest3.4:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.80DAFX4.00B36521.67WHMargin at best5.7%Books10Markets83Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet4.704.001.656.9%
Pinnacle4.523.871.677.8%
William Hill4.603.601.679.4%
Betfair4.753.801.609.9%
Betano4.453.851.6210.2%
1xBet4.743.761.5910.6%
Bet3654.504.001.5710.9%
Marathonbet4.653.761.5711.8%
SBO4.613.641.5314.5%
BetVictor4.103.301.5320.1%
Best of all books4.754.001.675.9%
Average4.563.761.6011.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
Last 10#12Table position#50.83Points per game1.926Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 53.40.8Goals against · last 51.019Attack rating8156Defence rating4443Form rating5764H2H rating3616Goals model8443Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Haverfordwest County AFC

3W 1D 6L · goals 7:14 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

3 OctHFlint Town United0-1L
29 SepACardiff MET0-1L
26 SepAColwyn Bay0-1L
18 SepHHolywell1-0W
11 SepHBriton Ferry3-1W
4 SepAGAP Connah S Quay FC1-1D
31 AugHTrefelin2-1W
28 AugALlandudno0-2L
21 AugHCambrian & Clydach0-3L
14 AugHPenybont0-3L

Caernarfon Town

6W 2D 2L · goals 32:11 · per match 3.2 for, 1.1 against

3 OctHBarry Town0-1L
26 SepACardiff MET2-2D
18 SepHCambrian & Clydach9-1W
15 SepALlandudno1-1D
11 SepAAmmanford AFC5-0W
4 SepHFlint Town United3-0W
31 AugHThe New Saints2-3L
28 AugAHolywell5-3W
21 AugATrefelin2-0W
15 AugHColwyn Bay3-0W

Head to head

5Haverfordwest County AFC wins
8draws
4Caernarfon Town wins

17 meetings · goals 22:20 · last 10: 3W 7D 0L for Haverfordwest County AFC

8 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCaernarfon Town2-2Haverfordwest County AFC
30 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC1-1Caernarfon Town
18 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC3-1Caernarfon Town
29 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC1-1Caernarfon Town
8 Feb 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCaernarfon Town1-1Haverfordwest County AFC
26 Oct 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC0-0Caernarfon Town
17 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCaernarfon Town1-2Haverfordwest County AFC
16 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCaernarfon Town0-1Haverfordwest County AFC
26 Aug 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC1-1Caernarfon Town
25 Mar 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHaverfordwest County AFC2-2Caernarfon Town

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, Haverfordwest County AFC sit 12th with 10 points from 12 games, while Caernarfon Town are 5th with 23 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints12111038:5+3334
2GAP Connah S Quay FC1291228:8+2028
3Penybont1283122:10+1227
4Barry Town1281327:20+725
5Caernarfon Town1272335:14+2123
6Colwyn Bay1271421:15+622
7Cardiff MET1263323:13+1021
8Airbus UK1260621:17+418
9Cambrian & Clydach1253421:32-1118
10Llandudno1251621:19+216
11Briton Ferry1233611:20-912
12Haverfordwest County AFC123187:17-1010
13Flint Town United1222812:24-128
14Ammanford AFC121389:32-236
15Trefelin120395:30-253
16Holywell12021013:38-252

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.59X24%3.75256%1.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 03:219 Oct 06:401 4.59X 3.752 1.60
14.50 → 4.59 +2.0%X3.97 → 3.75 -5.5%21.58 → 1.60 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.086.2%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
SBO1.652.147.3%
Betano1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.652.0010.6%
Marathonbet1.652.0010.6%
BetVictor1.541.8120.2%
Best of all books1.722.144.9%
Average1.652.039.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betano1.702.028.3%
1xBet1.692.038.4%
Marathonbet1.692.009.2%
BetVictor1.531.8320.0%
Best of all books1.802.034.8%
Average1.691.969.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Haverfordwest County AFC 10%Draw 45%Caernarfon Town 45%

The statistical model rates Haverfordwest County AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Caernarfon Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.59 | 3.75 | 1.60, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Haverfordwest County AFC are 12th (10 pts, 7-17 goals), Caernarfon Town 5th (23 pts, 35-14).

Over their last five matches, Haverfordwest County AFC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Caernarfon Town averaged 3.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Caernarfon Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.563.761.60

Double chance

1XX212
2.141.131.19

Draw no bet

12
3.351.24

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.691.97

1st half

1X2
4.802.312.11

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7013.31.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.75
1.51.193.70
2.51.652.03
3.52.621.39
4.54.341.13
5.57.461.03
6.511.31.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.10
1.251.095.25
1.751.233.42
21.303.08
2.251.472.29
2.751.811.84
32.081.60
3.252.291.49
3.753.081.28
44.001.17
4.254.351.14
4.755.801.07
57.901.02
5.257.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.521.43
+0.52.151.59
+0.751.941.74
+11.692.02
+1.251.522.27
+1.51.412.55
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.801.02
-19.001.01
-0.755.751.09
-0.54.251.21
-0.253.921.20
03.481.25
+1.751.313.11
+21.184.15
+2.251.164.46
+2.51.134.95
+2.751.086.23
+31.048.07

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.12
7.51.253.23
8.51.542.26
9.51.921.77
10.52.421.47
11.53.251.25
12.54.661.11
13.57.201.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.104.88
71.114.64
7.251.183.78
7.751.293.08
81.372.75
8.251.422.57
8.751.582.21
91.732.00
9.251.771.94
9.751.991.73
102.231.58
10.252.261.55
10.752.601.41
112.911.32
11.253.061.29
11.753.641.20
124.281.14
12.254.471.12
12.755.471.07
136.761.02
13.256.981.02