Briton Ferry vs
GAP Connah S Quay FC• Premier League, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.20 | 1.52 | 7.5% |
| Pinnacle | 5.37 | 4.28 | 1.52 | 7.8% |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 9.2% |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.00 | 1.52 | 10.0% |
| 1xBet | 5.90 | 4.05 | 1.45 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.47 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 5.65 | 4.05 | 1.44 | 11.8% |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.50 | 12.3% |
| SBO | 5.32 | 3.77 | 1.44 | 14.8% |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.40 | 20.8% |
| Best of all books | 5.90 | 4.28 | 1.53 | 5.7% |
| Average | 5.38 | 3.97 | 1.48 | 11.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC
Briton Ferry
2W 2D 6L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against
| 3 Oct | H | Colwyn Bay | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Holywell | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Trefelin | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Penybont | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1-3 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Airbus UK | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Barry Town | 1-4 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Cardiff MET | 0-3 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Flint Town United | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | The New Saints | 0-1 | L |
GAP Connah S Quay FC
8W 1D 1L · goals 24:5 · per match 2.4 for, 0.5 against
| 3 Oct | H | Penybont | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Barry Town | 4-1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Cardiff MET | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Airbus UK | 3-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Colwyn Bay | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Flint Town United | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Cambrian & Clydach | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Ammanford AFC | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Trefelin | 6-0 | W |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 6:14 · last 6: 2W 0D 4L for Briton Ferry
| 21 Dec 2025Premier League | Premier League | GAP Connah S Quay FC4-2Briton Ferry |
| 11 Oct 2025Premier League | Premier League | Briton Ferry0-3GAP Connah S Quay FC |
| 29 Mar 2025Premier League | Premier League | Briton Ferry1-0GAP Connah S Quay FC |
| 8 Feb 2025Premier League | Premier League | GAP Connah S Quay FC0-1Briton Ferry |
| 27 Oct 2024Premier League | Premier League | GAP Connah S Quay FC2-1Briton Ferry |
| 31 Aug 2024Premier League | Premier League | Briton Ferry1-5GAP Connah S Quay FC |
Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 00:31 UTC
In the Premier League table, Briton Ferry sit 11th with 12 points from 12 games, while GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 28 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | +33 | 34 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | +7 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | +21 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | -25 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | -25 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 2.07 | 5.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
| SBO | 1.75 | 2.03 | 6.4% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 1.98 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 1.98 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 1.78 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.08 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.71 | 1.99 | 8.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 1.87 | 8.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 1.84 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 1.70 | 19.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 2.00 | 4.1% |
| Average | 1.79 | 1.85 | 9.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Briton Ferry at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and GAP Connah S Quay FC at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.37 | 3.96 | 1.48, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Briton Ferry are 11th (12 pts, 11-20 goals), GAP Connah S Quay FC 2nd (28 pts, 28-8).
Over their last five matches, Briton Ferry averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; GAP Connah S Quay FC averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : GAP Connah S Quay FC.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.38 | 3.97 | 1.48 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 1.09 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.88 | 1.19 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.79 | 1.85 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.57 | 2.32 | 1.99 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 12.8 | 1.42 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 9.43 |
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| 2.5 | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| 3.5 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 4.70 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 7.79 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 11.8 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 8.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.10 | 5.20 |
| 1.75 | 1.25 | 3.35 |
| 2 | 1.32 | 2.96 |
| 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.29 |
| 2.75 | 1.88 | 1.79 |
| 3 | 2.16 | 1.55 |
| 3.25 | 2.39 | 1.45 |
| 3.75 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| 4 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| 4.25 | 4.76 | 1.12 |
| 4.75 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
| 5 | 9.10 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.37 | 1.48 |
| +0.75 | 2.21 | 1.56 |
| +1 | 1.87 | 1.82 |
| +1.25 | 1.69 | 2.02 |
| +1.5 | 1.49 | 2.33 |
| +1.75 | 1.43 | 2.68 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 10.0 | 1.01 |
| -0.75 | 7.20 | 1.05 |
| -0.5 | 5.25 | 1.16 |
| -0.25 | 4.81 | 1.13 |
| 0 | 4.32 | 1.17 |
| +0.25 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| +2 | 1.28 | 3.37 |
| +2.25 | 1.19 | 4.03 |
| +2.5 | 1.16 | 4.43 |
| +2.75 | 1.10 | 5.67 |
| +3 | 1.06 | 7.23 |
| +3.25 | 1.08 | 6.23 |
| +3.5 | 1.05 | 7.95 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.08 | 5.27 |
| 7.5 | 1.25 | 3.31 |
| 8.5 | 1.50 | 2.36 |
| 9.5 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| 10.5 | 2.37 | 1.50 |
| 11.5 | 3.17 | 1.27 |
| 12.5 | 4.51 | 1.12 |
| 13.5 | 6.94 | 1.02 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.09 | 5.03 |
| 7 | 1.10 | 4.79 |
| 7.25 | 1.17 | 3.88 |
| 7.75 | 1.27 | 3.16 |
| 8 | 1.31 | 2.98 |
| 8.25 | 1.40 | 2.62 |
| 8.75 | 1.56 | 2.25 |
| 9 | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| 9.25 | 1.74 | 1.97 |
| 9.75 | 1.95 | 1.76 |
| 10 | 2.08 | 1.66 |
| 10.25 | 2.22 | 1.58 |
| 10.75 | 2.55 | 1.43 |
| 11 | 2.84 | 1.34 |
| 11.25 | 2.99 | 1.30 |
| 11.75 | 3.54 | 1.21 |
| 12 | 4.15 | 1.15 |
| 12.25 | 4.34 | 1.13 |
| 12.75 | 5.28 | 1.07 |
| 13 | 6.50 | 1.03 |
| 13.25 | 6.72 | 1.02 |