Vitória SC vs FC Porto• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#131.4:1.018:0008/11 · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães2.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.20DAFX4.10DAF21.721XBMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets73Rating33 · 68Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 01:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.05	3.98	1.72	3.1%
Dafabet	5.20	4.10	1.66	3.9%
Betano	5.00	4.00	1.67	4.9%
Pinnacle	5.04	4.07	1.65	5.0%
Bet365	4.75	3.90	1.67	6.6%
Betfair	4.75	3.90	1.67	6.6%
William Hill	4.75	3.80	1.67	7.2%
Marathonbet	4.85	3.82	1.65	7.4%
BetVictor	4.80	3.70	1.62	9.6%
SBO	4.54	3.52	1.56	14.5%
Best of all books	5.20	4.10	1.72	1.8%
Average	4.87	3.88	1.65	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vitória SCFC Porto

Last 10#13Table position#10.90Points per game3.0010Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.81.0Goals against · last 50.633Attack rating6738Defence rating6325Form rating7529H2H rating7139Goals model6133Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Vitória SC

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:6 · per match 1.0 for, 0.6 against

2 Nov	A	GIL Vicente	0-0	D
23 Oct	H	Maritimo	5-0	W
17 Oct	A	Recreativa de Lamelas	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Benfica	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Chaves	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Moreirense	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Academico Viseu	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Casa Pia	0-0	D
31 Aug	A	SC Braga	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Nacional	1-0	W

FC Porto

8W 0D 2L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

4 Nov	H	Napoli	4-1	W
31 Oct	H	Estoril	4-0	W
28 Oct	H	Academico Viseu	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	GIL Vicente	1-0	W
20 Oct	H	PSV Eindhoven	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Real Betis	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Maritimo	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Deportivo La Coruna	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Benfica	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Casa Pia	4-1	W

Head to head

4Vitória SC wins

5draws

29FC Porto wins

38 meetings · goals 25:75 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Vitória SC

18 Jan 2026Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Vitória SC0-1FC Porto
4 Dec 2025Taça da Liga	Taça da Liga	FC Porto1-3Vitória SC
11 Aug 2025Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	FC Porto3-0Vitória SC
24 Feb 2025Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	FC Porto1-1Vitória SC
21 Sep 2024Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Vitória SC0-3FC Porto
17 Apr 2024Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	FC Porto3-1Vitória SC
7 Apr 2024Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	FC Porto1-2Vitória SC
3 Apr 2024Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Vitória SC0-1FC Porto
11 Nov 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Vitória SC1-2FC Porto
27 May 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	FC Porto3-0Vitória SC

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Vitória SC sit 13th with 9 points from 10 games, while FC Porto are 1st with 30 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	10	10	0	0	25:4	+21	30
2	Benfica	10	8	1	1	27:8	+19	25
3	Sporting CP	10	6	3	1	23:11	+12	21
4	Santa Clara	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
5	Arouca	10	6	2	2	13:7	+6	20
6	Academico Viseu	10	6	2	2	15:12	+3	20
7	GIL Vicente	10	4	3	3	8:7	+1	15
8	SC Braga	10	4	2	4	12:11	+1	14
9	Moreirense	10	4	2	4	13:17	-4	14
10	Alverca	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
11	Famalicao	10	2	4	4	14:14	0	10
12	Estrela	10	2	4	4	15:19	-4	10
13	Vitória SC	10	2	3	5	10:10	0	9
14	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	9:21	-12	8
15	Nacional	10	2	1	7	10:19	-9	7
16	Rio Ave	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
17	Casa Pia	10	2	1	7	5:19	-14	7
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	5:19	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.87X24%3.88257%1.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.93 → 4.87 -1.2%X3.93 → 3.88 -1.3%21.64 → 1.65 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.93	1.95	3.1%
Betano	1.83	2.02	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.89	1.94	4.5%
SBO	1.81	2.01	5.0%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.88	7.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.93	2.02	1.3%
Average	1.85	1.94	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
1xBet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.82	1.91	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitória SC 0%Draw 50%FC Porto 50%

The statistical model rates Vitória SC at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and FC Porto at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.87 | 3.88 | 1.65, which imply roughly 25.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Vitória SC are 13th (9 pts, 10-10 goals), FC Porto 1st (30 pts, 25-4).

Over their last five matches, Vitória SC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; FC Porto averaged 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Porto.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.87	3.88	1.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.16	1.17	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
3.57	1.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
5.09	2.24	2.19

2nd half

1	X	2
4.62	2.59	1.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.23	16.1	22.1
HT X	10.2	5.82	4.43
HT 2	42.9	15.5	2.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.76	10.5	1.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.3
1.5	1.26	3.60
2.5	1.86	1.94
3.5	3.14	1.34
4.5	5.91	1.11
5.5	10.1	1.05
6.5	16.9	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.57
1	1.04	8.00
1.25	1.15	4.62
1.75	1.33	3.01
2	1.42	2.77
2.25	1.65	2.19
2.75	2.08	1.71
3	2.47	1.52
3.25	2.71	1.39
3.75	3.73	1.21
4	5.04	1.13
4.25	5.30	1.10
5	8.55	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.66	1.44
+0.5	2.24	1.64
+0.75	1.97	1.82
+1	1.70	2.13
+1.25	1.51	2.45
+1.5	1.40	2.85

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.6	1.04
-1	9.20	1.03
-0.75	6.03	1.09
-0.5	4.65	1.18
-0.25	4.14	1.21
0	3.66	1.25
+1.75	1.29	3.41
+2	1.16	4.62
+2.25	1.14	5.06
+2.5	1.12	5.60
+2.75	1.07	6.84
+3.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.00	1.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	4.99
6.5	1.17	3.59
7.5	1.37	2.80
8.5	1.66	2.09
9.5	2.09	1.65
10.5	2.75	1.38
11.5	3.66	1.21
12.5	4.35	1.10
13.5	5.50	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.75
7	1.20	3.29
8	1.44	2.40
9	1.89	1.86
10	2.38	1.45
11	3.10	1.23
12	4.17	1.12
13	5.37	1.05

Next Primeira Liga matches

6 Nov	Famalicao – Arouca
7 Nov	Nacional – Academico Viseu
7 Nov	Alverca – Casa Pia
7 Nov	Sporting CP – Moreirense
8 Nov	Estoril – Maritimo
8 Nov	Santa Clara – GIL Vicente

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

2 Nov	Benfica 1-0 Alverca
2 Nov	GIL Vicente 0-0 Vitória SC
1 Nov	SC Braga 3-0 Famalicao
1 Nov	Maritimo 0-2 Santa Clara
1 Nov	Academico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave
1 Nov	Arouca 1-0 Nacional