Estoril vs Maritimo• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#180.6:2.415:3008/11 · Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril0.6:2.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BTNX3.581XB23.60B365Margin at best2.2%Books10Markets69Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 01:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.14	3.58	3.52	3.1%
Dafabet	2.09	3.55	3.60	3.8%
Betano	2.10	3.45	3.55	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.08	3.55	3.49	4.9%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	3.60	6.0%
Betfair	2.05	3.50	3.40	6.8%
Marathonbet	2.05	3.44	3.38	7.4%
William Hill	2.05	3.30	3.30	9.4%
BetVictor	2.00	3.40	3.30	9.7%
SBO	2.04	3.02	3.04	15.0%
Best of all books	2.14	3.58	3.60	2.4%
Average	2.07	3.42	3.42	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EstorilMaritimo

Last 10#18Table position#140.20Points per game0.801Form pts · last 530.6Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 52.650Attack rating5052Defence rating480Form rating10071H2H rating2949Goals model5158Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Estoril

0W 2D 8L · goals 5:19 · per match 0.5 for, 1.9 against

31 Oct	A	FC Porto	0-4	L
25 Oct	H	Moreirense	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Salgueiros	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Academico Viseu	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Casa Pia	1-2	L
14 Sep	A	SC Braga	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Arouca	0-0	D
31 Aug	A	Benfica	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Rio Ave	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Nacional	0-2	L

Maritimo

1W 2D 7L · goals 9:23 · per match 0.9 for, 2.3 against

1 Nov	H	Santa Clara	0-2	L
27 Oct	A	Sporting CP	1-2	L
23 Oct	A	Vitória SC	0-5	L
18 Oct	A	Alcochetense	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	FC Porto	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	GIL Vicente	1-1	D
14 Sep	A	Moreirense	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Benfica	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Arouca	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Academico Viseu	2-2	D

Head to head

7Estoril wins

7draws

3Maritimo wins

17 meetings · goals 22:14 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Estoril

27 May 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Estoril3-1Maritimo
22 Jan 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo1-0Estoril
5 Feb 2022Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo0-0Estoril
27 Aug 2021Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Estoril2-1Maritimo
27 Jan 2021Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Maritimo1-3Estoril
7 Apr 2018Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Estoril1-1Maritimo
26 Nov 2017Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo0-0Estoril
14 May 2017Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo1-1Estoril
7 Jan 2017Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Estoril0-1Maritimo
1 May 2016Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Estoril2-1Maritimo

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Estoril sit 18th with 2 points from 10 games, while Maritimo are 14th with 8 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	10	10	0	0	25:4	+21	30
2	Benfica	10	8	1	1	27:8	+19	25
3	Sporting CP	10	6	3	1	23:11	+12	21
4	Santa Clara	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
5	Arouca	10	6	2	2	13:7	+6	20
6	Academico Viseu	10	6	2	2	15:12	+3	20
7	GIL Vicente	10	4	3	3	8:7	+1	15
8	SC Braga	10	4	2	4	12:11	+1	14
9	Moreirense	10	4	2	4	13:17	-4	14
10	Alverca	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
11	Famalicao	10	2	4	4	14:14	0	10
12	Estrela	10	2	4	4	15:19	-4	10
13	Vitória SC	10	2	3	5	10:10	0	9
14	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	9:21	-12	8
15	Nacional	10	2	1	7	10:19	-9	7
16	Rio Ave	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
17	Casa Pia	10	2	1	7	5:19	-14	7
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	5:19	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.08X27%3.41228%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.96	3.1%
Betano	1.93	1.91	4.2%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.96	4.5%
SBO	1.90	1.92	4.7%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.89	7.0%
BetVictor	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.93	1.96	2.8%
Average	1.88	1.91	5.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.69	2.05	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.02	8.7%
Best of all books	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estoril 45%Draw 45%Maritimo 10%

The statistical model rates Estoril at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Maritimo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.41 | 3.40, which imply roughly 48.1% for a Estoril win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Estoril are 18th (2 pts, 5-19 goals), Maritimo 14th (8 pts, 9-21).

Over their last five matches, Estoril averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Maritimo averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Estoril or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.07	3.42	3.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.73	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
2.60	2.16	3.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.37	2.48	3.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.20	13.9	34.8
HT X	5.07	5.30	7.75
HT 2	24.6	14.5	5.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	11.5	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.3
1.5	1.26	3.60
2.5	1.88	1.91
3.5	3.14	1.33
4.5	6.15	1.11
5.5	10.7	1.04
6.5	17.1	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	10.3
1	1.02	8.60
1.25	1.14	4.76
1.75	1.32	3.04
2	1.42	2.74
2.25	1.63	2.19
2.75	2.08	1.71
3	2.49	1.51
3.25	2.73	1.39
3.75	3.73	1.22
4	5.09	1.13
4.25	5.40	1.10
5	8.50	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.03	1.36
-0.75	2.37	1.54
-0.5	2.05	1.76
-0.25	1.78	2.02
0	1.52	2.49
+0.25	1.38	2.90

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.07	1.04
-2.25	7.30	1.06
-2	6.93	1.07
-1.75	4.88	1.15
-1.5	3.78	1.23
-1.25	3.42	1.29
+0.5	1.31	3.40
+0.75	1.20	4.26
+1	1.09	6.34
+1.25	1.07	6.74
+1.5	1.07	7.21
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.85	1.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.09	4.52
6.5	1.23	3.48
7.5	1.45	2.50
8.5	1.81	1.94
9.5	2.31	1.53
10.5	3.10	1.30
11.5	3.75	1.15
12.5	4.87	1.07
13.5	5.90	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.95
6	1.11	4.27
7	1.26	2.92
8	1.57	2.20
9	2.01	1.73
10	2.68	1.35
11	3.52	1.17
12	4.69	1.08
13	5.87	1.04

Next Primeira Liga matches

6 Nov	Famalicao – Arouca
7 Nov	Nacional – Academico Viseu
7 Nov	Alverca – Casa Pia
7 Nov	Sporting CP – Moreirense
8 Nov	Santa Clara – GIL Vicente
8 Nov	Vitória SC – FC Porto

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

2 Nov	Benfica 1-0 Alverca
2 Nov	GIL Vicente 0-0 Vitória SC
1 Nov	SC Braga 3-0 Famalicao
1 Nov	Maritimo 0-2 Santa Clara
1 Nov	Academico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave
1 Nov	Arouca 1-0 Nacional