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Nacional vs Academico Viseu• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#150.8:2.215:30Tomorrow · Estádio da Madeira, Funchal2.0:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.061XBX3.45DAF22.481XBMargin at best2.0%Books10Markets70Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 13:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.063.322.483.1%
Dafabet3.053.352.414.1%
Pinnacle3.053.232.444.7%
Betano3.053.352.355.2%
Bet3653.003.252.356.7%
Betfair2.903.252.406.9%
Marathonbet2.943.182.387.5%
William Hill2.903.102.388.8%
BetVictor2.883.202.309.5%
SBO2.773.022.1815.1%
Best of all books3.063.352.482.9%
Average2.963.232.377.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NacionalAcademico Viseu
Last 10#15Table position#60.70Points per game2.003Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 52.02.2Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7127Defence rating7317Form rating8350H2H rating5026Goals model7433Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

Nacional

2W 0D 8L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

1 NovAArouca0-1L
25 OctHSC Braga1-0W
17 OctASanjoanense0-1L
11 OctARio Ave2-3L
19 SepHFamalicao0-4L
12 SepHAlverca1-3L
5 SepASporting CP0-2L
30 AugHEstrela2-3L
23 AugAVitória SC0-1L
16 AugHEstoril2-0W

Academico Viseu

6W 1D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

1 NovHRio Ave2-1W
28 OctAFC Porto0-1L
25 OctASporting CP2-1W
18 OctAFátima0-1L
10 OctHEstoril2-1W
20 SepAEstrela2-0W
12 SepHVitória SC2-1W
6 SepAGIL Vicente1-0W
29 AugHFC Porto0-3L
22 AugAMaritimo2-2D

Head to head

3Nacional wins
5draws
1Academico Viseu wins

9 meetings · goals 16:11 · last 9: 3W 5D 1L for Nacional

9 Mar 2024Segunda LigaSegunda LigaNacional1-1Academico Viseu
29 Oct 2023Segunda LigaSegunda LigaAcademico Viseu1-1Nacional
28 May 2023Segunda LigaSegunda LigaNacional3-2Academico Viseu
21 Jan 2023Segunda LigaSegunda LigaAcademico Viseu1-1Nacional
7 May 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaNacional1-2Academico Viseu
29 Dec 2021Segunda LigaSegunda LigaAcademico Viseu1-4Nacional
5 Jan 2020Segunda LigaSegunda LigaAcademico Viseu0-0Nacional
18 Feb 2018Segunda LigaSegunda LigaAcademico Viseu3-3Nacional
10 Sep 2017Segunda LigaSegunda LigaNacional2-0Academico Viseu

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Nacional sit 15th with 7 points from 10 games, while Academico Viseu are 6th with 20 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto10100025:4+2130
2Benfica1081127:8+1925
3Sporting CP1063123:11+1221
4Santa Clara1063115:6+921
5Arouca1062213:7+620
6Academico Viseu1062215:12+320
7GIL Vicente104338:7+115
8SC Braga1042412:11+114
9Moreirense1042413:17-414
10Alverca1032513:14-111
11Famalicao1024414:14010
12Estrela1024415:19-410
13Vitória SC1023510:1009
14Maritimo102269:21-128
15Nacional1021710:19-97
16Rio Ave102179:23-147
17Casa Pia102175:19-147
18Estoril100285:19-142

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.96X29%3.24240%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:016 Nov 03:001 2.96X 3.242 2.36
12.90 → 2.96 +2.1%X3.30 → 3.24 -1.8%22.36 → 2.36 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.071.833.0%
Betano1.981.883.7%
Pinnacle2.111.764.2%
SBO2.001.824.9%
Betfair2.101.735.4%
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Marathonbet1.991.767.1%
BetVictor1.981.719.0%
Best of all books2.111.880.6%
Average2.041.785.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betano1.722.056.9%
1xBet1.751.977.9%
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.751.948.7%
Best of all books1.872.052.3%
Average1.771.967.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nacional 10%Draw 45%Academico Viseu 45%

The statistical model rates Nacional at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Academico Viseu at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.24 | 2.36, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Nacional are 15th (7 pts, 10-19 goals), Academico Viseu 6th (20 pts, 15-12).

Over their last five matches, Nacional averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Academico Viseu averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Academico Viseu.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.963.232.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.561.371.32

Draw no bet

12
2.101.68

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.96

1st half

1X2
3.552.082.95

2nd half

1X2
3.222.392.67

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.9114.227.2
HT X6.694.895.62
HT 231.313.73.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.158.401.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.49
1.51.323.19
2.52.041.78
3.53.551.27
4.57.131.08
5.513.11.02
6.520.51.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.37
11.066.79
1.251.194.10
1.751.402.75
21.522.46
2.251.781.99
2.752.321.58
32.741.42
3.253.011.33
3.754.161.18
45.701.10
4.255.961.08
59.001.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.971.39
-0.252.491.50
02.131.70
+0.251.782.03
+0.51.592.35
+0.751.402.79
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.757.751.04
-1.56.051.10
-1.255.611.11
-15.201.14
-0.753.641.26
+11.253.79
+1.251.204.26
+1.51.164.68
+1.751.096.00
+21.028.60
+2.51.0310.3

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.752.02

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.5
5.51.047.67
6.51.124.97
7.51.273.29
8.51.512.37
9.51.881.86
10.52.401.51
11.53.181.29
12.54.451.15
13.56.221.08
14.57.981.04
15.510.51.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.283.08
8.251.392.60
8.751.542.22
91.692.11
9.251.741.93
9.751.991.73
102.171.65
10.252.281.53
10.752.601.40
11.253.081.28

Next Primeira Liga matches

6 NovFamalicao – Arouca
7 NovAlverca – Casa Pia
7 NovSporting CP – Moreirense
8 NovEstoril – Maritimo
8 NovSanta Clara – GIL Vicente
8 NovVitória SC – FC Porto

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

2 NovBenfica 1-0 Alverca
2 NovGIL Vicente 0-0 Vitória SC
1 NovSC Braga 3-0 Famalicao
1 NovMaritimo 0-2 Santa Clara
1 NovAcademico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave
1 NovArouca 1-0 Nacional