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Alverca vs Casa Pia• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#101.6:0.818:00Tomorrow · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo1.0:1.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.811XBX3.80B36524.691XBMargin at best2.9%Books6Markets68Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.813.754.693.2%
Pinnacle1.793.644.634.9%
Bet3651.753.804.336.6%
Marathonbet1.743.604.507.5%
William Hill1.733.504.608.1%
BetVictor1.733.504.339.5%
Best of all books1.813.804.692.9%
Average1.763.634.516.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlvercaCasa Pia
Last 10#10Table position#171.10Points per game0.706Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.662Attack rating3867Defence rating3360Form rating4067H2H rating3347Goals model5361Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

Alverca

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

2 NovABenfica0-1L
24 OctHArouca0-1L
18 OctATondela0-2L
12 OctAFamalicao4-1W
19 SepHRio Ave1-0W
12 SepANacional3-1W
5 SepHSC Braga1-2L
29 AugHSanta Clara1-1D
22 AugASporting CP1-3L
15 AugHEstrela2-2D

Casa Pia

3W 1D 6L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

30 OctHSporting CP0-2L
24 OctAEstrela2-0W
18 OctAAlpendorada1-0W
10 OctHSanta Clara0-1L
20 SepAEstoril2-1W
12 SepHFC Porto1-4L
6 SepAVitória SC0-0D
30 AugHMoreirense0-1L
24 AugAGIL Vicente0-2L
17 AugHBenfica0-7L

Head to head

2Alverca wins
0draws
1Casa Pia wins

3 meetings · goals 7:4 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Alverca

12 Apr 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaAlverca3-1Casa Pia
29 Nov 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia0-2Alverca
2 Aug 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAlverca2-3Casa Pia

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Alverca sit 10th with 11 points from 10 games, while Casa Pia are 17th with 7 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto10100025:4+2130
2Benfica1081127:8+1925
3Sporting CP1063123:11+1221
4Santa Clara1063115:6+921
5Arouca1062213:7+620
6Academico Viseu1062215:12+320
7GIL Vicente104338:7+115
8SC Braga1042412:11+114
9Moreirense1042413:17-414
10Alverca1032513:14-111
11Famalicao1024414:14010
12Estrela1024415:19-410
13Vitória SC1023510:1009
14Maritimo102269:21-128
15Nacional1021710:19-97
16Rio Ave102179:23-147
17Casa Pia102175:19-147
18Estoril100285:19-142

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.76X26%3.61221%4.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:016 Nov 03:001 1.76X 3.612 4.47
11.69 → 1.76 +4.1%X3.76 → 3.61 -4.0%24.86 → 4.47 -8.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.971.913.1%
Pinnacle1.961.884.2%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Marathonbet1.901.847.0%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books1.971.913.1%
Average1.931.855.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.914.7%
1xBet1.811.907.9%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
Marathonbet1.811.878.7%
Best of all books1.911.914.7%
Average1.841.897.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alverca 45%Draw 45%Casa Pia 10%

The statistical model rates Alverca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Casa Pia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.61 | 4.47, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Alverca win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Alverca are 10th (11 pts, 13-14 goals), Casa Pia 17th (7 pts, 5-19).

Over their last five matches, Alverca averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Casa Pia averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alverca or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.763.634.51

Double chance

1XX212
1.202.021.26

Draw no bet

12
1.313.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.89

1st half

1X2
2.332.184.89

2nd half

1X2
2.112.484.41

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6515.845.0
HT X4.555.309.70
HT 225.716.07.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5511.32.70

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.5
1.51.283.42
2.51.931.85
3.53.301.30
4.56.581.09
5.512.41.02
6.520.31.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.75–10.3
11.028.50
1.251.154.66
1.751.352.90
21.452.60
2.251.682.11
2.752.181.66
32.611.46
3.252.871.36
3.754.011.19
45.601.10
4.255.951.08
59.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.211.33
-1.252.771.41
-12.411.54
-0.751.991.80
-0.51.752.04
-0.251.532.41
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.571.02
-2.56.441.08
-2.255.981.10
-25.581.12
-1.753.931.23
01.303.31
+0.251.243.82
+0.51.224.15
+0.751.115.75
+11.048.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.75
6.51.124.88
7.51.273.24
8.51.502.34
9.51.881.84
10.52.371.49
11.53.101.29
12.54.381.15
13.56.151.07
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.283.08
8.251.402.57
8.751.562.21
9.251.771.94
9.751.971.71
10.252.271.52
10.752.601.39
11.253.081.28

Next Primeira Liga matches

6 NovFamalicao – Arouca
7 NovNacional – Academico Viseu
7 NovSporting CP – Moreirense
8 NovEstoril – Maritimo
8 NovSanta Clara – GIL Vicente
8 NovVitória SC – FC Porto

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

2 NovBenfica 1-0 Alverca
2 NovGIL Vicente 0-0 Vitória SC
1 NovSC Braga 3-0 Famalicao
1 NovMaritimo 0-2 Santa Clara
1 NovAcademico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave
1 NovArouca 1-0 Nacional