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Benfica vs Alverca• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#22.4:1.020:15Today · Estádio da Luz, Lisbon1.8:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.17BTNX9.21PIN219.01XBMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets103Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 04:59 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.188.0018.02.8%
1xBet1.168.5519.03.2%
Dafabet1.168.6016.04.1%
Betfair1.158.0017.05.3%
William Hill1.177.0015.06.4%
Pinnacle1.236.539.657.0%
Bet3651.148.5013.07.2%
Marathonbet1.147.2016.37.8%
BetVictor1.137.0015.09.4%
SBO1.136.3810.114.1%
Best of all books1.238.6018.0-1.5%
Average1.167.5814.96.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BenficaAlverca
Last 10#2Table position#102.44Points per game1.2215Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating4350Defence rating5057Form rating43100H2H rating069Goals model3160Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Benfica

9W 0D 1L · goals 29:8 · per match 2.9 for, 0.8 against

29 OctHGIL Vicente4-1W
26 OctASanta Clara2-1W
22 OctAOmonia Nicosia4-1W
15 OctHCeltic4-1W
11 OctHVitória SC2-0W
20 SepAFC Porto1-3L
16 SepAAC Milan2-0W
13 SepHGIL Vicente3-1W
9 SepAMoreirense4-0W
5 SepAMaritimo3-0W

Alverca

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

24 OctHArouca0-1L
18 OctATondela0-2L
12 OctAFamalicao4-1W
19 SepHRio Ave1-0W
12 SepANacional3-1W
5 SepHSC Braga1-2L
29 AugHSanta Clara1-1D
22 AugASporting CP1-3L
15 AugHEstrela2-2D
9 AugAFC Porto0-2L

Head to head

2Benfica wins
0draws
0Alverca wins

2 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Benfica

8 Feb 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaBenfica2-1Alverca
31 Aug 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaAlverca1-2Benfica

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 2 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Benfica sit 2nd with 22 points from 9 games, while Alverca are 10th with 11 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto10100025:4+2130
2Benfica971126:8+1822
3Sporting CP1063123:11+1221
4Santa Clara1063115:6+921
5Arouca1062213:7+620
6Academico Viseu1062215:12+320
7GIL Vicente94238:7+114
8SC Braga1042412:11+114
9Moreirense1042413:17-414
10Alverca932413:13011
11Famalicao1024414:14010
12Estrela1024415:19-410
13Vitória SC922510:1008
14Maritimo102269:21-128
15Nacional1021710:19-97
16Rio Ave102179:23-147
17Casa Pia102175:19-147
18Estoril100285:19-142

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg182%1.15X12%8.0426%16.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 00:012 Nov 08:401 1.15X 8.042 16.1
11.17 → 1.15 -1.7%X7.18 → 8.04 +12.0%213.4 → 16.1 +20.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.363.155.3%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
1xBet1.383.005.8%
BetVictor1.303.138.9%
Pinnacle1.332.899.8%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.383.154.2%
Average1.343.047.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Betano1.951.806.8%
Bet3652.001.757.1%
William Hill1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.941.778.0%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.941.758.7%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.961.777.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Benfica 45%Draw 45%Alverca 10%

The statistical model rates Benfica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alverca at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 8.04 | 16.09, which imply roughly 87% for a Benfica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Benfica are 2nd (22 pts, 26-8 goals), Alverca 10th (11 pts, 13-13).

Over their last five matches, Benfica averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Alverca averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Benfica or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.167.5814.9

Double chance

1XX212
1.035.011.08

Draw no bet

12
1.0310.9

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.961.77

1st half

1X2
1.493.039.92

2nd half

1X2
1.363.779.84

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.5323.576.9
HT X4.0911.227.9
HT 221.026.925.6

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1923.54.47

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.4
1.51.096.58
2.51.343.04
3.51.891.87
4.52.961.36
5.55.221.13
6.59.491.06
7.514.61.02
8.526.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.85
1.751.085.90
21.115.44
2.251.223.73
2.751.422.61
31.522.42
3.251.702.06
3.752.071.67
42.401.52
4.252.631.41
4.753.461.25
54.541.16
5.254.841.13
68.931.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.441.49
-2.52.171.65
-2.251.941.83
-21.712.06
-1.751.572.28
-1.51.462.56
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.56.561.06
-4.256.271.09
-45.921.10
-3.754.391.17
-3.53.611.25
-3.253.261.29
-32.981.36
-1.251.332.98
-11.213.89
-0.751.184.20
-0.51.165.25
-0.251.115.67
01.029.70

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.125.70
2.51.343.10
3.51.781.98
4.52.551.47
5.53.851.24

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.3
5.51.057.05
6.51.105.34
7.51.223.63
8.51.432.52
9.51.741.99
10.52.131.61
11.52.721.38
12.53.731.20
13.55.071.11
14.56.521.05
15.59.001.04
16.511.01.02
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.42
71.143.87
81.392.60
8.751.402.56
91.612.09
9.251.552.21
9.751.741.95
101.941.79
10.252.001.76
10.752.251.56
112.581.43
11.252.571.42
11.752.981.31
123.521.17
12.253.501.22
134.621.09
145.121.06

Next Primeira Liga matches

2 NovGIL Vicente – Vitória SC

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

1 NovSC Braga 3-0 Famalicao
1 NovMaritimo 0-2 Santa Clara
1 NovAcademico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave
1 NovArouca 1-0 Nacional
31 OctFC Porto 4-0 Estoril
31 OctMoreirense 2-1 Estrela