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Sporting CP vs Moreirense• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#31.8:1.220:30Tomorrow · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon1.8:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.19BTNX9.301XB215.0WHMargin at best1.5%Books6Markets82Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.159.3018.03.3%
Bet3651.187.5013.05.8%
Pinnacle1.158.3614.45.9%
Marathonbet1.147.7015.07.4%
William Hill1.157.0015.07.9%
BetVictor1.147.0013.09.7%
Best of all books1.189.3018.01.1%
Average1.157.8114.76.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting CPMoreirense
Last 10#3Table position#92.10Points per game1.409Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5045Defence rating5544Form rating5680H2H rating2069Goals model3161Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

Sporting CP

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

3 NovAShakhtar Donetsk1-0W
30 OctACasa Pia2-0W
27 OctHMaritimo2-1W
25 OctHAcademico Viseu1-2L
21 OctHLask Linz2-3L
13 OctALens2-0W
9 OctASC Braga3-1W
19 SepHArouca2-2D
13 SepAFamalicao1-1D
9 SepHGalatasaray3-1W

Moreirense

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

31 OctHEstrela2-1W
25 OctAEstoril3-1W
17 OctAAVS0-1L
9 OctHGIL Vicente0-1L
20 SepAVitória SC1-1D
14 SepHMaritimo3-1W
9 SepHBenfica0-4L
4 SepAFC Porto1-2L
30 AugACasa Pia1-0W
16 AugAArouca0-4L

Head to head

18Sporting CP wins
5draws
1Moreirense wins

24 meetings · goals 49:17 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for Sporting CP

21 Feb 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense0-3Sporting CP
22 Sep 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP3-0Moreirense
18 Apr 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP3-1Moreirense
5 Dec 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense2-1Sporting CP
19 Feb 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense0-2Sporting CP
17 Sep 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP3-0Moreirense
14 Mar 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense0-2Sporting CP
23 Oct 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP1-0Moreirense
5 Apr 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense1-1Sporting CP
28 Nov 2020Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP2-1Moreirense

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Sporting CP sit 3rd with 21 points from 10 games, while Moreirense are 9th with 14 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto10100025:4+2130
2Benfica1081127:8+1925
3Sporting CP1063123:11+1221
4Santa Clara1063115:6+921
5Arouca1062213:7+620
6Academico Viseu1062215:12+320
7GIL Vicente104338:7+115
8SC Braga1042412:11+114
9Moreirense1042413:17-414
10Alverca1032513:14-111
11Famalicao1024414:14010
12Estrela1024415:19-410
13Vitória SC1023510:1009
14Maritimo102269:21-128
15Nacional1021710:19-97
16Rio Ave102179:23-147
17Casa Pia102175:19-147
18Estoril100285:19-142

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg181%1.16X12%7.5427%14.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:016 Nov 12:001 1.16X 7.542 14.2
11.15 → 1.16 +0.9%X7.71 → 7.54 -2.2%214.6 → 14.2 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.432.776.0%
Pinnacle1.412.826.4%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
BetVictor1.412.629.1%
Marathonbet1.372.6610.6%
Best of all books1.442.824.9%
Average1.412.717.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.051.707.6%
1xBet2.081.678.0%
BetVictor2.051.678.7%
Marathonbet2.081.658.7%
Best of all books2.101.706.4%
Average2.071.678.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting CP 45%Draw 45%Moreirense 10%

The statistical model rates Sporting CP at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Moreirense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.16 | 7.54 | 14.20, which imply roughly 86.2% for a Sporting CP win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Sporting CP are 3rd (21 pts, 23-11 goals), Moreirense 9th (14 pts, 13-17).

Over their last five matches, Sporting CP averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Moreirense averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.157.8114.7

Double chance

1XX212
1.045.151.08

Draw no bet

12
1.0411.3

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.071.67

1st half

1X2
1.503.0410.4

2nd half

1X2
1.383.559.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.4927.076.5
HT X4.0511.229.0
HT 223.028.026.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1625.05.05

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0116.3
1.51.105.94
2.51.412.71
3.52.071.72
4.53.381.29
5.56.291.09
6.510.81.04
7.517.91.02
8.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.85
1.751.115.25
21.144.83
2.251.273.32
2.751.482.45
31.622.19
3.251.841.90
3.752.321.57
42.701.41
4.252.991.34
4.753.961.19
55.191.12
5.255.501.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.631.44
-2.52.271.59
-2.252.041.74
-21.811.97
-1.751.612.22
-1.51.492.46
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.56.871.05
-46.481.08
-3.754.731.15
-3.53.791.23
-3.253.441.26
-33.251.31
-1.251.353.00
-11.204.13
-0.751.174.44
-0.51.184.80
-0.251.086.64

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.047.20
6.51.134.55
7.51.303.04
8.51.552.25
9.51.961.78
10.52.471.45
11.53.271.26
12.54.601.13
13.56.481.06
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.322.88
8.251.442.44
8.751.602.11
9.251.811.85
9.752.071.67
10.252.371.49
10.752.751.36
11.253.201.26

Next Primeira Liga matches

6 NovFamalicao – Arouca
7 NovNacional – Academico Viseu
7 NovAlverca – Casa Pia
8 NovEstoril – Maritimo
8 NovSanta Clara – GIL Vicente
8 NovVitória SC – FC Porto

All Primeira Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Primeira Liga results

2 NovGIL Vicente 0-0 Vitória SC
2 NovBenfica 1-0 Alverca
1 NovSC Braga 3-0 Famalicao
1 NovAcademico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave
1 NovMaritimo 0-2 Santa Clara
1 NovArouca 1-0 Nacional