Ucam Murcia vs Cieza• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#12.6:0.810:3025/10 · Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia1.8:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.68DAFX3.65BTN24.69PINMargin at best8.2%Books8Markets47Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.67	3.65	4.60	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.66	3.62	4.69	9.2%
Dafabet	1.68	3.55	4.50	9.9%
Betfair	1.67	3.60	4.40	10.4%
1xBet	1.65	3.52	4.65	10.5%
William Hill	1.67	3.40	4.60	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.52	4.55	11.7%
Bet365	1.65	3.50	4.33	12.3%
Best of all books	1.68	3.65	4.69	8.2%
Average	1.66	3.54	4.54	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ucam MurciaCieza

Last 10#1Table position#52.14Points per game1.8312Form pts · last 5102.6Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 50.659Attack rating4143Defence rating5755Form rating45100H2H rating040Goals model6049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:01 UTC

Ucam Murcia

5W 0D 5L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

19 Oct	A	Peña Deportiva	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Alcoyano	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Elche II	5-1	W
27 Sep	H	Intercity	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Atlético Baleares	4-1	W
13 Sep	H	Valencia II	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Castellonense	1-2	L
3 May	A	Xerez	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Real Jaén	1-2	L
19 Apr	A	La Unión Atlético	1-4	L

Cieza

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Intercity	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Orihuela	4-0	W
27 Sep	H	Atlético Baleares	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Castellonense	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Elche II	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Alcoyano	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Santomera	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Orihuela	1-0	W
5 Aug	H	Real Murcia	1-4	L
10 May	A	Muleño	6-1	W

Head to head

1Ucam Murcia wins

0draws

0Cieza wins

1 meeting · goals 4:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Ucam Murcia

20 Aug 2023Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Ucam Murcia4-0Cieza

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Ucam Murcia sit 1st with 15 points from 7 games, while Cieza are 5th with 11 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	7	5	0	2	15:6	+9	15
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	7	1	1	5	6:10	-4	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X26%3.55220%4.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.83	1.96	5.7%
Betano	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.96	5.1%
Average	1.81	1.91	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.76	1.94	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.76	1.92	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ucam Murcia 45%Draw 45%Cieza 10%

The statistical model rates Ucam Murcia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cieza at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.55 | 4.54, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Ucam Murcia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Ucam Murcia are 1st (15 pts, 15-6 goals), Cieza 5th (11 pts, 10-4).

Over their last five matches, Ucam Murcia averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Cieza averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ucam Murcia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.55	4.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.05	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.20	4.89

2nd half

1	X	2
2.00	2.54	4.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.55	15.3	40.3
HT X	4.47	5.63	9.83
HT 2	22.0	16.5	7.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	10.8	2.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.60
1.5	1.24	3.45
2.5	1.81	1.91
3.5	2.87	1.33
4.5	5.20	1.12
5.5	12.0	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.40
1.25	1.15	4.70
1.75	1.29	3.15
2	1.36	2.76
2.25	1.58	2.19
2.75	2.00	1.71
3	2.35	1.49
3.25	2.65	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.77	1.36
-1.25	2.46	1.45
-1	2.15	1.62
-0.75	1.84	1.86
-0.5	1.72	2.08
-0.25	1.44	2.51

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.5	5.45	1.08
-2.25	5.00	1.14
-2	4.70	1.12
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.25	3.42
+0.25	1.18	3.90
+0.75	1.13	5.10
+1	1.02	8.35
+1.5	1.02	8.65

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

24 Oct	Intercity – Castellonense
24 Oct	Deportiva Minera – Yeclano
24 Oct	Orihuela – Valencia II
25 Oct	Real Murcia II – Lorca Deportiva
25 Oct	Atlético Baleares – Alcoyano
25 Oct	Castellón II – La Nucía

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

19 Oct	Peña Deportiva 0-1 Ucam Murcia
18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano