Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#101.0:0.82-2FTToday · Lorca1.6:2.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45BFRX3.10B36522.92PINMargin at best7.3%Books6Markets43Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.45	3.10	2.80	8.8%
Pinnacle	2.40	2.98	2.94	9.2%
Bet365	2.35	3.10	2.75	11.2%
William Hill	2.40	2.80	2.90	11.9%
1xBet	2.40	2.91	2.79	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.40	2.91	2.79	11.9%
Best of all books	2.45	3.10	2.94	7.1%
Average	2.40	2.97	2.83	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lorca DeportivaAtlético Baleares

Last 10#10Table position#131.29Points per game1.007Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 52.038Attack rating6271Defence rating2954Form rating460H2H rating067Goals model3358Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Lorca Deportiva

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	La Nucía	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Castellón II	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Castellonense	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Intercity	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Orihuela	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Elche II	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Águilas	0-1	L
3 May	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Yeclano	2-2	D
19 Apr	A	Águilas	0-2	L

Atlético Baleares

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Mallorca II	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Poblense	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Cieza	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Ucam Murcia	1-4	L
13 Sep	A	Intercity	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Yeclano	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	SS Reyes	3-0	W
21 Aug	A	Real Madrid III	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Mallorca II	3-1	W
14 Aug	A	Poblense	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lorca Deportiva and Atlético Baleares on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 18 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Lorca Deportiva sit 10th with 9 points from 7 games, while Atlético Baleares are 13th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	6	4	0	2	14:6	+8	12
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.40X30%2.97232%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.90 → 2.41 -16.9%X3.11 → 2.98 -4.2%22.25 → 2.82 +25.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
BetVictor	2.30	1.57	7.2%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.55	7.3%
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Best of all books	2.34	1.60	5.2%
Average	2.28	1.56	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.91	1.78	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.76	9.2%
Best of all books	1.93	1.80	7.4%
Average	1.92	1.78	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lorca Deportiva 45%Draw 45%Atlético Baleares 10%

The statistical model rated Lorca Deportiva at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Baleares at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 2.97 | 2.83, which imply roughly 41.7% for a Lorca Deportiva win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Lorca Deportiva are 10th (9 pts, 8-7 goals), Atlético Baleares 13th (7 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Lorca Deportiva averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Atlético Baleares averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lorca Deportiva or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.40	2.97	2.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.47	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
3.13	1.94	3.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.80	2.20	3.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.95	16.5	33.5
HT X	5.85	4.47	6.65
HT 2	29.5	16.5	4.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.95	7.20	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.00
1.5	1.39	2.67
2.5	2.28	1.56
3.5	4.20	1.15
4.5	9.20	1.02
5.5	23.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.24	3.50
1.75	1.50	2.35
2	1.70	2.00
2.25	1.98	1.72
2.75	2.67	1.39
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.82	1.19
3.75	4.59	1.14
4	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.89	1.35
-0.5	2.38	1.55
-0.25	2.05	1.69
0	1.71	2.02
+0.25	1.50	2.39
+0.5	1.40	2.82

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.5	1.01
-1.75	6.25	1.12
-1.5	5.08	1.12
-1.25	4.62	1.15
-1	4.08	1.19
+0.75	1.25	3.48
+1	1.12	5.20
+1.25	1.11	5.29
+1.5	1.08	6.33
+2	1.02	8.80
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano
11 Oct	Atlético Baleares 2-2 Mallorca II