Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#161.2:1.609:30PostponedToday2.6:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.691XBX3.50B36522.04PINMargin at best4.7%Books6Markets45Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	3.60	3.25	2.00	8.5%
Pinnacle	3.54	3.13	2.04	9.2%
1xBet	3.70	3.12	1.94	10.6%
Bet365	3.30	3.40	1.95	11.0%
William Hill	3.50	3.00	2.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.60	3.12	1.92	11.9%
Best of all books	3.70	3.40	2.04	5.5%
Average	3.54	3.17	1.97	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Peña DeportivaUcam Murcia

Last 10#16Table position#10.67Points per game2.004Form pts · last 5121.2Goals for · last 52.61.6Goals against · last 50.832Attack rating6833Defence rating6725Form rating7550H2H rating5024Goals model7633Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Peña Deportiva

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

11 Oct	H	Orihuela	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Valencia II	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Elche II	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Yeclano	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Ibiza	0-5	L
20 Jun	H	Arenas Armilla	5-2	W
14 Jun	A	Arenas Armilla	1-1	D
7 Jun	A	Manacor	3-1	W

Ucam Murcia

5W 0D 5L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Alcoyano	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Elche II	5-1	W
27 Sep	H	Intercity	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Atlético Baleares	4-1	W
13 Sep	H	Valencia II	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Castellonense	1-2	L
3 May	A	Xerez	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Real Jaén	1-2	L
19 Apr	A	La Unión Atlético	1-4	L
12 Apr	H	Málaga II	4-0	W

Head to head

1Peña Deportiva wins

0draws

1Ucam Murcia wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Peña Deportiva

28 May 2023Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs	Peña Deportiva0-2Ucam Murcia
21 May 2023Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs	Ucam Murcia0-1Peña Deportiva

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 18 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Peña Deportiva sit 16th with 4 points from 6 games, while Ucam Murcia are 1st with 12 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	6	4	0	2	14:6	+8	12
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.54X29%3.17246%1.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.11 → 3.59 -12.7%X3.61 → 3.20 -11.4%21.70 → 1.94 +14.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.08	1.71	6.6%
BetVictor	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.08	1.75	5.2%
Average	2.04	1.70	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.87	8.4%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.84	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.87	7.5%
Average	1.83	1.85	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Peña Deportiva 10%Draw 45%Ucam Murcia 45%

The statistical model rates Peña Deportiva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ucam Murcia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.54 | 3.17 | 1.98, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Peña Deportiva are 16th (4 pts, 6-9 goals), Ucam Murcia 1st (12 pts, 14-6).

Over their last five matches, Peña Deportiva averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Ucam Murcia averaged 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Ucam Murcia and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.54	3.17	1.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.72	1.22	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.55	1.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
4.34	2.05	2.57

2nd half

1	X	2
3.86	2.34	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.00	16.5	24.0
HT X	8.70	5.30	5.20
HT 2	35.5	16.5	2.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.50	8.50	1.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.60
1.5	1.30	3.06
2.5	2.04	1.70
3.5	3.50	1.22
4.5	6.40	1.06
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.00
1.25	1.17	4.05
1.75	1.38	2.68
2	1.52	2.31
2.25	1.78	1.90
2.75	2.31	1.51
3	2.87	1.34
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.19	1.15
4	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.05	1.32
0	2.57	1.44
+0.25	2.03	1.70
+0.5	1.76	1.99
+0.75	1.55	2.28
+1	1.36	2.90

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.01
-1.25	6.80	1.10
-1	7.22	1.05
-0.75	4.53	1.18
-0.5	3.46	1.29
+1.25	1.30	3.15
+1.5	1.23	3.63
+1.75	1.14	4.67
+2	1.06	6.95
+2.25	1.10	6.80
+2.5	1.05	7.87

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano