Ucam Murcia vs Alcoyano• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#12.4:1.22-0FT11/10 · Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia1.2:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.20B36524.10BVCMargin at best6.1%Books10Markets41Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.95	3.15	4.00	8.0%
BetVictor	1.93	3.13	4.10	8.2%
Betano	1.98	3.05	3.90	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.92	3.12	4.01	9.1%
Betfair	1.90	3.10	3.90	10.5%
Bet365	1.90	3.20	3.75	10.5%
1xBet	1.95	3.02	3.82	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.93	3.02	3.72	11.8%
William Hill	1.95	2.90	3.80	12.1%
SBO	1.91	2.82	3.30	18.1%
Best of all books	1.98	3.20	4.10	6.1%
Average	1.93	3.05	3.83	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ucam MurciaAlcoyano

Last 10#1Table position#82.00Points per game1.6712Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.867Attack rating3340Defence rating6047Form rating530H2H rating10071Goals model2953Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Ucam Murcia

5W 0D 5L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Alcoyano	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Elche II	5-1	W
27 Sep	H	Intercity	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Atlético Baleares	4-1	W
13 Sep	H	Valencia II	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Castellonense	1-2	L
3 May	A	Xerez	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Real Jaén	1-2	L
19 Apr	A	La Unión Atlético	1-4	L
12 Apr	H	Málaga II	4-0	W

Alcoyano

5W 2D 3L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Ucam Murcia	0-2	L
4 Oct	A	Mallorca II	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Deportiva Minera	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Poblense	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Castellón II	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Cieza	1-1	D
14 Aug	H	Hércules	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	La Nucía	2-1	W
17 May	A	SS Reyes	1-1	D
10 May	H	SS Reyes	0-2	L

Head to head

0Ucam Murcia wins

0draws

2Alcoyano wins

2 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Ucam Murcia

5 Feb 2022Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Ucam Murcia1-2Alcoyano
15 Oct 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Alcoyano3-2Ucam Murcia

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 18 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Ucam Murcia sit 1st with 12 points from 6 games, while Alcoyano are 8th with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	6	4	0	2	14:6	+8	12
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.93X30%3.05224%3.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.38 → 1.93 -18.9%X3.04 → 3.05 +0.3%22.75 → 3.83 +39.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betano	2.32	1.52	8.9%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.35	1.52	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.03	1.69	8.4%
Betano	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.04	1.68	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ucam Murcia 10%Draw 45%Alcoyano 45%

The statistical model rated Ucam Murcia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Alcoyano at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 3.05 | 3.83, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Ucam Murcia are 1st (12 pts, 14-6 goals), Alcoyano 8th (10 pts, 6-6).

Over their last five matches, Ucam Murcia averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Alcoyano averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Alcoyano.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.93	3.05	3.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.71	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.04	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
2.62	1.93	4.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	6.65	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.20
1.5	1.42	2.57
2.5	2.35	1.53
3.5	4.24	1.16
4.5	8.15	1.04
5.5	26.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.50
1.25	1.26	3.32
1.75	1.54	2.28
2	1.77	1.93
2.25	2.04	1.68
2.75	2.75	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.95	1.17
3.75	5.46	1.08
4	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.88	1.35
-0.75	2.26	1.56
-0.5	1.92	1.82
-0.25	1.69	2.06
0	1.40	2.71
+0.25	1.30	3.17

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.40	1.05
-1.75	4.55	1.16
-1.5	3.74	1.21
-1.25	3.31	1.28
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.14	4.75
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.25	1.10	5.18
+1.5	1.01	9.00

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity
11 Oct	Poblense 2-1 Castellón II