Castellón II vs La Nucía• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#22.4:1.011:0025/101.8:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.16PINX3.50BFR23.161XBMargin at best6.5%Books7Markets43Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	3.29	3.08	9.2%
Dafabet	2.11	3.30	3.10	10.0%
1xBet	2.06	3.30	3.16	10.5%
Betfair	2.05	3.50	3.00	10.7%
William Hill	2.15	3.30	2.90	11.3%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	3.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.30	3.08	11.8%
Best of all books	2.16	3.50	3.16	6.5%
Average	2.09	3.34	3.05	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Castellón IILa Nucía

Last 10#2Table position#42.00Points per game2.0012Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.257Attack rating4355Defence rating4557Form rating430H2H rating10077Goals model2354Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:01 UTC

Castellón II

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	Poblense	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Lorca Deportiva	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Orihuela	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Valencia II	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Alcoyano	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Intercity	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Reddis	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Teruel	0-0	D
17 May	A	SD Logroñés	0-1	L
10 May	H	SD Logroñés	2-3	L

La Nucía

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Lorca Deportiva	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Deportiva Minera	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Mallorca II	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Yeclano	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	5-1	W
6 Sep	H	Poblense	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Alcoyano	1-2	L
20 Jun	H	Trival Valderas	1-0	W
14 Jun	A	Trival Valderas	0-0	D
7 Jun	A	Levante II	1-1	D

Head to head

0Castellón II wins

0draws

2La Nucía wins

2 meetings · goals 2:6 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Castellón II

23 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	La Nucía2-0Castellón II
23 Oct 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Castellón II2-4La Nucía

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Castellón II sit 2nd with 12 points from 6 games, while La Nucía are 4th with 12 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	7	5	0	2	15:6	+9	15
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	7	1	1	5	6:10	-4	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.09X27%3.34230%3.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.73	2.05	6.6%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.23	6.6%
Average	1.59	2.21	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Castellón II 10%Draw 45%La Nucía 45%

The statistical model rates Castellón II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and La Nucía at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.34 | 3.05, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Castellón II are 2nd (12 pts, 13-7 goals), La Nucía 4th (12 pts, 10-6).

Over their last five matches, Castellón II averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; La Nucía averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or La Nucía.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.09	3.34	3.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.63	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
2.63	2.23	3.57

2nd half

1	X	2
2.43	2.52	3.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.10	15.0	27.5
HT X	5.75	6.10	8.05
HT 2	20.5	15.0	4.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	12.9	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.6
1.5	1.19	3.82
2.5	1.71	2.04
3.5	2.64	1.40
4.5	4.68	1.13
5.5	10.0	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.30	3.07
2.25	1.50	2.36
2.75	1.86	1.82
3	2.14	1.60
3.25	2.39	1.48
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.00	1.17
4.25	4.50	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.39	1.49
-0.5	2.07	1.75
-0.25	1.83	1.88
0	1.55	2.28
+0.25	1.40	2.61
+0.5	1.34	3.02

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.20	1.03
-2	6.55	1.05
-1.75	4.70	1.15
-1.5	3.68	1.20
-1.25	3.28	1.25
-1	3.00	1.31
+0.75	1.20	3.72
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.5	1.06	6.10

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

24 Oct	Intercity – Castellonense
24 Oct	Deportiva Minera – Yeclano
24 Oct	Orihuela – Valencia II
25 Oct	Real Murcia II – Lorca Deportiva
25 Oct	Ucam Murcia – Cieza
25 Oct	Atlético Baleares – Alcoyano

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

19 Oct	Peña Deportiva 0-1 Ucam Murcia
18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity