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Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#180.8:2.010:0025/101.4:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20PINX3.40B36522.20BFRMargin at best6.1%Books8Markets44Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano3.103.202.209.0%
Pinnacle3.203.082.209.2%
Betfair3.003.252.209.6%
Dafabet3.203.152.1210.2%
1xBet3.203.122.1110.7%
Bet3652.903.402.1011.5%
Marathonbet3.123.122.0911.9%
William Hill3.103.102.1012.1%
Best of all books3.203.402.206.1%
Average3.103.182.1410.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real Murcia IILorca Deportiva
Last 10#18Table position#100.67Points per game1.294Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6433Defence rating6733Form rating6760H2H rating4029Goals model7141Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:01 UTC

Real Murcia II

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

11 OctHYeclano1-1D
4 OctACastellonense0-3L
27 SepAPeña Deportiva2-0W
20 SepHMallorca II0-1L
13 SepALa Nucía1-5L
5 SepHOrihuela1-2L
20 JunAPamplona1-1D
14 JunHPamplona2-1W
7 JunHOlímpico Totana2-1W
31 MayAOlímpico Totana1-1D

Lorca Deportiva

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

18 OctHAtlético Baleares2-2D
11 OctALa Nucía3-1W
3 OctACastellón II1-2L
27 SepHCastellonense1-0W
20 SepHIntercity0-0D
13 SepAOrihuela0-1L
6 SepHElche II1-1D
15 AugAÁguilas0-1L
3 MayADeportiva Minera0-1L
26 AprHYeclano2-2D

Head to head

4Real Murcia II wins
2draws
6Lorca Deportiva wins

12 meetings · goals 16:16 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Real Murcia II

8 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Lorca Deportiva2-1Real Murcia II
29 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Real Murcia II1-2Lorca Deportiva
26 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsReal Murcia II3-2Lorca Deportiva
18 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsLorca Deportiva0-1Real Murcia II
24 Feb 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Lorca Deportiva1-2Real Murcia II
8 Oct 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Real Murcia II1-3Lorca Deportiva
12 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Real Murcia II4-0Lorca Deportiva
16 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Lorca Deportiva3-2Real Murcia II
17 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Real Murcia II0-0Lorca Deportiva
5 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Lorca Deportiva1-1Real Murcia II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Real Murcia II sit 18th with 4 points from 6 games, while Lorca Deportiva are 10th with 9 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Ucam Murcia750215:6+915
2Castellón II640213:7+612
3Castellonense640210:6+412
4La Nucía640210:6+412
5Cieza632110:4+611
6Deportiva Minera63218:6+211
7Yeclano72417:6+110
8Alcoyano63126:6010
9Orihuela73139:14-510
10Lorca Deportiva72328:7+19
11Intercity62318:809
12Elche II62137:9-27
13Atlético Baleares714210:13-37
14Poblense72147:10-37
15Mallorca II71334:8-46
16Peña Deportiva71156:10-44
17Valencia II61146:11-54
18Real Murcia II61145:12-74

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.10X28%3.18242%2.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.141.686.3%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Betano2.021.708.3%
1xBet2.031.679.1%
Marathonbet2.031.679.1%
Best of all books2.141.705.6%
Average2.061.687.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.811.888.4%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
Betano1.801.879.0%
Marathonbet1.811.859.3%
Best of all books1.851.887.2%
Average1.821.868.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Murcia II 10%Draw 45%Lorca Deportiva 45%

The statistical model rates Real Murcia II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lorca Deportiva at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.10 | 3.18 | 2.14, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Real Murcia II are 18th (4 pts, 5-12 goals), Lorca Deportiva 10th (9 pts, 8-7).

Over their last five matches, Real Murcia II averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lorca Deportiva averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lorca Deportiva.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.103.182.14

Double chance

1XX212
1.611.291.27

Draw no bet

12
2.201.60

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.821.86

1st half

1X2
3.762.022.82

2nd half

1X2
3.502.312.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.0315.225.7
HT X7.304.885.53
HT 234.315.33.42

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.278.601.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.30
1.51.322.96
2.52.061.68
3.53.501.23
4.56.271.07
5.513.21.04
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.037.20
1.251.164.05
1.751.402.63
21.542.27
2.251.811.88
2.752.361.50
32.951.32
3.253.281.25
3.753.951.19
46.551.05
4.254.901.14

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.131.32
-0.252.701.38
02.301.54
+0.251.861.86
+0.51.692.11
+0.751.442.51
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.501.03
-16.351.06
-0.754.051.16
+11.263.35
+1.251.193.80
+1.51.154.25
+1.751.125.20
+21.018.80
+2.51.028.70

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

24 OctIntercity – Castellonense
24 OctDeportiva Minera – Yeclano
24 OctOrihuela – Valencia II
25 OctUcam Murcia – Cieza
25 OctAtlético Baleares – Alcoyano
25 OctCastellón II – La Nucía

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

19 OctPeña Deportiva 0-1 Ucam Murcia
18 OctMallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 OctYeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 OctLorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 OctLa Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 OctCieza 3-1 Intercity