La Nucía vs Lorca Deportiva• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#41.8:0.61-3FT11/100.6:0.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95WHX3.25B36524.161XBMargin at best6.1%Books9Markets43Rating75 · 26Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.93	3.13	4.10	8.2%
Dafabet	1.95	3.15	3.95	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.93	3.05	4.08	9.1%
Betano	1.91	3.20	3.90	9.2%
Betfair	1.90	3.10	4.00	9.9%
Bet365	1.90	3.25	3.70	10.4%
1xBet	1.87	3.02	4.16	10.6%
William Hill	1.95	2.90	3.90	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.85	3.02	4.05	11.9%
Best of all books	1.95	3.25	4.16	6.1%
Average	1.91	3.09	3.98	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

La NucíaLorca Deportiva

Last 10#4Table position#102.00Points per game1.299Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 50.60.6Goals against · last 50.875Attack rating2557Defence rating4371Form rating290H2H rating095Goals model575Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

La Nucía

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Lorca Deportiva	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Deportiva Minera	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Mallorca II	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Yeclano	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	5-1	W
6 Sep	H	Poblense	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Alcoyano	1-2	L
20 Jun	H	Trival Valderas	1-0	W
14 Jun	A	Trival Valderas	0-0	D
7 Jun	A	Levante II	1-1	D

Lorca Deportiva

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	La Nucía	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Castellón II	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Castellonense	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Intercity	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Orihuela	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Elche II	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Águilas	0-1	L
3 May	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Yeclano	2-2	D
19 Apr	A	Águilas	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between La Nucía and Lorca Deportiva on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 18 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, La Nucía sit 4th with 12 points from 6 games, while Lorca Deportiva are 10th with 9 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	6	4	0	2	14:6	+8	12
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.91X29%3.09223%3.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.03 → 1.91 -5.9%X3.12 → 3.09 -1.0%23.36 → 3.98 +18.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
BetVictor	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.37	1.53	7.6%
Betano	2.30	1.53	8.8%
1xBet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Best of all books	2.38	1.57	5.7%
Average	2.34	1.53	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.09	1.65	8.5%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Betano	2.07	1.65	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Best of all books	2.09	1.67	7.7%
Average	2.07	1.65	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

La Nucía 45%Draw 45%Lorca Deportiva 10%

The statistical model rated La Nucía at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lorca Deportiva at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.09 | 3.98, which imply roughly 52.4% for a La Nucía win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: La Nucía are 4th (12 pts, 10-6 goals), Lorca Deportiva 10th (9 pts, 8-7).

Over their last five matches, La Nucía averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Lorca Deportiva averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : La Nucía.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.09	3.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.78	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	1.96	4.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	6.63	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.40
1.5	1.43	2.53
2.5	2.34	1.53
3.5	4.22	1.16
4.5	8.00	1.04
5.5	23.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.10	5.10
1.25	1.27	3.26
1.75	1.55	2.24
2	1.76	1.93
2.25	2.05	1.67
2.75	2.77	1.36
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.94	1.17
3.75	5.39	1.09
4	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.14	1.30
-1	2.75	1.38
-0.75	2.17	1.61
-0.5	1.91	1.83
-0.25	1.63	2.14
0	1.37	2.86

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2.25	6.80	1.10
-2	6.57	1.07
-1.75	4.20	1.19
-1.5	3.48	1.25
+0.25	1.27	3.36
+0.5	1.26	3.70
+0.75	1.13	5.03
+1	1.01	8.40

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano
11 Oct	Poblense 2-1 Castellón II