Castellón II vs 
Lorca Deportiva• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.89 | 3.07 | 5.0% |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.00 | 9.1% |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.45 | 2.95 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.14 | 3.89 | 3.07 | 5.0% |
| Average | 2.08 | 3.58 | 2.98 | 9.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:03 UTC
Castellón II
6W 1D 3L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against
| 3 Oct | H | Lorca Deportiva | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Orihuela | 4-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Valencia II | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Alcoyano | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Intercity | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Reddis | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Teruel | 0-0 | D |
| 17 May | A | SD Logroñés | 0-1 | L |
| 10 May | H | SD Logroñés | 2-3 | L |
| 3 May | H | Girona II | 4-2 | W |
Lorca Deportiva
1W 3D 6L · goals 5:11 · per match 0.5 for, 1.1 against
| 3 Oct | A | Castellón II | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Castellonense | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Intercity | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Orihuela | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Elche II | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Águilas | 0-1 | L |
| 3 May | A | Deportiva Minera | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | Yeclano | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | Águilas | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | Xerez | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Castellón II and Lorca Deportiva on record.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 9 Oct 03:41 UTC
In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Castellón II sit 1st with 12 points from 5 games, while Lorca Deportiva are 11th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | +6 | 9 |
| 6 | Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 2.10 | 5.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 2.05 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 1.98 | 11.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.74 | 2.10 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.69 | 2.06 | 7.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 2.25 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 2.21 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.10 | 11.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Average | 1.56 | 2.19 | 9.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Castellón II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lorca Deportiva at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.32 | 2.96, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Castellón II win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Castellón II are 1st (12 pts, 12-5 goals), Lorca Deportiva 11th (5 pts, 3-4).
Over their last five matches, Castellón II averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lorca Deportiva averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Castellón II.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | 3.58 | 2.98 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 1.64 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.56 | 2.20 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.56 | 2.19 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.66 | 2.27 | 3.51 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 13.9 | 2.12 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 3.82 |
| 2.5 | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| 3.5 | 2.62 | 1.41 |
| 4.5 | 4.64 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 6.20 | 1.05 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 8.95 |
| 1.75 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 2 | 1.29 | 3.12 |
| 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.44 |
| 2.75 | 1.82 | 1.82 |
| 3 | 2.12 | 1.61 |
| 3.25 | 2.42 | 1.49 |
| 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 4 | 4.08 | 1.17 |
| 4.25 | 4.38 | 1.16 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| -1 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| -0.75 | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| -0.25 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| 0 | 1.55 | 2.23 |
| +0.25 | 1.40 | 2.56 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
| -1.75 | 4.49 | 1.13 |
| -1.5 | 3.90 | 1.18 |
| +0.75 | 1.20 | 3.70 |
| +1 | 1.08 | 5.45 |
| +1.5 | 1.05 | 6.45 |