Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#22.5:1.02-1FT03/100.5:0.5#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.21PINX3.701XB23.071XBMargin at best4.8%Books5Markets38Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.14	3.89	3.07	5.0%
Betano	2.10	3.55	3.00	9.1%
Betfair	2.05	3.50	3.00	10.7%
Bet365	2.05	3.50	2.90	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.45	2.95	11.9%
Best of all books	2.14	3.89	3.07	5.0%
Average	2.08	3.58	2.98	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Castellón IILorca Deportiva

Last 10#2Table position#102.00Points per game1.2912Form pts · last 582.5Goals for · last 50.51.0Goals against · last 50.583Attack rating1733Defence rating6764Form rating360H2H rating0100Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:01 UTC

Castellón II

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	Poblense	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Lorca Deportiva	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Orihuela	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Valencia II	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Alcoyano	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Intercity	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Reddis	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Teruel	0-0	D
17 May	A	SD Logroñés	0-1	L
10 May	H	SD Logroñés	2-3	L

Lorca Deportiva

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Atlético Baleares	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	La Nucía	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Castellón II	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Castellonense	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Intercity	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Orihuela	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Elche II	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Águilas	0-1	L
3 May	A	Deportiva Minera	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Yeclano	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Castellón II and Lorca Deportiva on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Castellón II sit 2nd with 12 points from 6 games, while Lorca Deportiva are 10th with 9 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	7	5	0	2	15:6	+9	15
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	7	1	1	5	6:10	-4	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X27%3.32231%2.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.08 → 2.15 +3.4%X3.58 → 3.32 -7.3%22.98 → 2.96 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.74	2.10	5.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Betano	1.65	1.98	11.1%
Best of all books	1.74	2.10	5.1%
Average	1.69	2.06	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.56	2.25	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.21	9.4%
Betano	1.57	2.10	11.3%
Best of all books	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Average	1.56	2.19	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Castellón II 45%Draw 45%Lorca Deportiva 10%

The statistical model rated Castellón II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lorca Deportiva at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.32 | 2.96, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Castellón II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Castellón II are 2nd (12 pts, 13-7 goals), Lorca Deportiva 10th (9 pts, 8-7).

Over their last five matches, Castellón II averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lorca Deportiva averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Castellón II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.08	3.58	2.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.64	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.66	2.27	3.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	13.9	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.20	3.82
2.5	1.69	2.06
3.5	2.62	1.41
4.5	4.64	1.13
5.5	6.20	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.95
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.29	3.12
2.25	1.50	2.44
2.75	1.82	1.82
3	2.12	1.61
3.25	2.42	1.49
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.08	1.17
4.25	4.38	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.50	1.22
-1	3.08	1.28
-0.75	2.38	1.46
-0.25	1.82	1.88
0	1.55	2.23
+0.25	1.40	2.56

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.75	4.49	1.13
-1.5	3.90	1.18
+0.75	1.20	3.70
+1	1.08	5.45
+1.5	1.05	6.45

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

24 Oct	Intercity – Castellonense
24 Oct	Deportiva Minera – Yeclano
24 Oct	Orihuela – Valencia II
25 Oct	Real Murcia II – Lorca Deportiva
25 Oct	Ucam Murcia – Cieza
25 Oct	Atlético Baleares – Alcoyano

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

19 Oct	Peña Deportiva 0-1 Ucam Murcia
18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano