Moyola Park vs Newry City AFC• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#121.2:1.619:45Today1.2:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75DAFX3.70DAF22.30BTNMargin at best6.9%Books8Markets49Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.75	3.70	2.28	7.3%
BetVictor	2.70	3.60	2.25	9.3%
Betano	2.62	3.60	2.30	9.4%
1xBet	2.69	3.54	2.20	10.9%
Pinnacle	2.54	3.60	2.24	11.8%
Bet365	2.55	3.50	2.25	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.62	3.54	2.18	12.3%
William Hill	2.62	3.40	2.20	13.0%
Best of all books	2.75	3.70	2.30	6.9%
Average	2.64	3.56	2.24	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Moyola ParkNewry City AFC

Last 10#12Table position#71.15Points per game1.437Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5047Defence rating5358Form rating4250H2H rating5027Goals model7346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 19:00 UTC

Moyola Park

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

31 Oct	A	Institute	1-1	D
20 Oct	A	Dundela	4-1	W
16 Oct	H	Newington Youth	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Loughgall	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Glenavon FC	0-3	L
26 Sep	A	Queen's University	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Ards	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Warrenpoint Town	2-6	L
5 Sep	H	H&W Welders	1-4	L
28 Aug	H	Armagh City	1-0	W

Newry City AFC

2W 5D 3L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	A	Ards	1-1	D
23 Oct	H	Newington Youth	0-2	L
20 Oct	A	Carrick Rangers	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	Queen's University	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Dundela	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Loughgall	1-2	L
25 Sep	H	H&W Welders	3-2	W
18 Sep	H	Annagh United	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Strabane Athletic	2-2	D
4 Sep	H	Armagh City	2-2	D

Head to head

0Moyola Park wins

2draws

0Newry City AFC wins

2 meetings · goals 0:0 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Moyola Park

10 Apr 2026Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Newry City AFC0-0Moyola Park
23 Aug 2025Premier Intermediate League	Premier Intermediate League	Moyola Park0-0Newry City AFC

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Moyola Park sit 12th with 15 points from 13 games, while Newry City AFC are 7th with 20 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	14	9	4	1	36:16	+20	31
2	Glenavon FC	13	8	3	2	34:16	+18	27
3	Newington Youth	13	8	2	3	29:22	+7	26
4	Institute	13	6	3	4	23:18	+5	21
5	Ballinamallard United	14	6	3	5	20:19	+1	21
6	Queen's University	14	6	2	6	24:18	+6	20
7	Newry City AFC	14	5	5	4	21:23	-2	20
8	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21:17	+4	18
9	Ards	14	4	5	5	16:17	-1	17
10	Loughgall	14	4	5	5	18:26	-8	17
11	H&W Welders	13	5	1	7	19:22	-3	16
12	Moyola Park	13	4	3	6	15:25	-10	15
13	Rathfriland	13	4	1	8	14:25	-11	13
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19:24	-5	11
15	Strabane Athletic	14	2	5	7	13:24	-11	11
16	Armagh City	14	1	6	7	12:22	-10	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.64X25%3.56240%2.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.16 → 2.64 -16.5%X3.69 → 3.56 -3.5%21.94 → 2.24 +15.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.14	8.5%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.55	2.17	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.17	10.6%
Best of all books	1.62	2.35	4.3%
Average	1.57	2.22	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Betano	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.36	9.9%
Best of all books	1.55	2.50	4.5%
Average	1.49	2.40	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moyola Park 10%Draw 45%Newry City AFC 45%

The statistical model rates Moyola Park at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newry City AFC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 3.56 | 2.24, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Moyola Park are 12th (15 pts, 15-25 goals), Newry City AFC 7th (20 pts, 21-23).

Over their last five matches, Moyola Park averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Newry City AFC averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Newry City AFC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	3.56	2.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.53	1.40	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.00	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.40

1st half

1	X	2
3.12	2.30	2.76

2nd half

1	X	2
2.85	2.63	2.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.37	14.5	22.0
HT X	6.93	5.97	5.90
HT 2	25.3	14.2	3.62

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	16.8	1.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	14.9
1.5	1.18	4.28
2.5	1.57	2.22
3.5	2.38	1.50
4.5	4.08	1.19
5.5	7.33	1.07
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.23	3.80
2	1.23	3.43
2.25	1.40	2.56
2.75	1.72	1.94
3	1.92	1.75
3.25	2.19	1.55
3.75	2.83	1.33
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.95	1.17
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.55	1.46
-0.25	2.29	1.54
0	2.00	1.72
+0.25	1.73	1.96
+0.5	1.64	2.13
+0.75	1.42	2.60

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.10	1.02
-1.75	6.60	1.11
-1.5	5.20	1.12
-1.25	4.25	1.19
-1	4.32	1.17
-0.75	3.09	1.30
+1	1.26	3.38
+1.25	1.21	3.76
+1.5	1.18	4.15
+1.75	1.17	4.75
+2	1.06	7.17
+2.25	1.12	6.40
+2.5	1.04	7.93

Next Championship matches

6 Nov	Strabane Athletic – Annagh United
6 Nov	Ballinamallard United – Rathfriland

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Ards 1-1 Newry City AFC
31 Oct	Ballinamallard United 0-1 Armagh City
31 Oct	Institute 1-1 Moyola Park
31 Oct	Loughgall 0-3 Annagh United
24 Oct	H&W Welders 1-2 Loughgall
23 Oct	Newry City AFC 0-2 Newington Youth