Institute vs Moyola Park• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#42.2:1.01-1FT31/101.0:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57PINX4.40DAF25.00BVCMargin at best6.4%Books8Markets55Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 09:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.56	4.40	5.00	6.8%
Betano	1.57	4.25	4.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.53	4.10	5.00	9.7%
1xBet	1.51	4.10	4.95	10.8%
Bet365	1.55	4.10	4.50	11.1%
Pinnacle	1.57	3.88	4.46	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.50	4.10	4.75	12.1%
William Hill	1.55	3.70	4.80	12.4%
Best of all books	1.57	4.40	5.00	6.4%
Average	1.54	4.08	4.74	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

InstituteMoyola Park

Last 10#4Table position#121.62Points per game1.157Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.469Attack rating3158Defence rating4259Form rating4150H2H rating5076Goals model2460Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 13:30 UTC

Institute

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:18 · per match 2.0 for, 1.8 against

20 Oct	H	Loughgall	0-3	L
16 Oct	A	Ards	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	H&W Welders	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Newington Youth	7-0	W
26 Sep	A	Annagh United	0-5	L
19 Sep	H	Warrenpoint Town	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Armagh City	5-3	W
5 Sep	A	Rathfriland	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Newry City AFC	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Queen's University	1-4	L

Moyola Park

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

31 Oct	A	Institute	1-1	D
20 Oct	A	Dundela	4-1	W
16 Oct	H	Newington Youth	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Loughgall	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Glenavon FC	0-3	L
26 Sep	A	Queen's University	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Ards	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Warrenpoint Town	2-6	L
5 Sep	H	H&W Welders	1-4	L
28 Aug	H	Armagh City	1-0	W

Head to head

0Institute wins

1draws

0Moyola Park wins

1 meeting · goals 2:2 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Institute

29 Aug 2017League Cup

League Cup

Moyola Park2-2Institute

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 5 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Institute sit 4th with 21 points from 13 games, while Moyola Park are 12th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	14	9	4	1	36:16	+20	31
2	Glenavon FC	13	8	3	2	34:16	+18	27
3	Newington Youth	13	8	2	3	29:22	+7	26
4	Institute	13	6	3	4	23:18	+5	21
5	Ballinamallard United	14	6	3	5	20:19	+1	21
6	Queen's University	14	6	2	6	24:18	+6	20
7	Newry City AFC	14	5	5	4	21:23	-2	20
8	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21:17	+4	18
9	Ards	14	4	5	5	16:17	-1	17
10	Loughgall	14	4	5	5	18:26	-8	17
11	H&W Welders	13	5	1	7	19:22	-3	16
12	Moyola Park	13	4	3	6	15:25	-10	15
13	Rathfriland	13	4	1	8	14:25	-11	13
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19:24	-5	11
15	Strabane Athletic	14	2	5	7	13:24	-11	11
16	Armagh City	14	1	6	7	12:22	-10	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.54X22%4.09219%4.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.54 +2.0%X4.26 → 4.08 -4.2%24.93 → 4.75 -3.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.54	2.24	9.6%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.53	2.31	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.60	2.17	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Institute 45%Draw 45%Moyola Park 10%

The statistical model rated Institute at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Moyola Park at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.09 | 4.76, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Institute win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Institute are 4th (21 pts, 23-18 goals), Moyola Park 12th (15 pts, 15-25).

Over their last five matches, Institute averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Moyola Park averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Institute.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.54	4.08	4.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.23	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
2.01	2.43	4.77

2nd half

1	X	2
1.85	2.80	4.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.27	16.3	39.3
HT X	4.65	7.07	11.2
HT 2	18.5	16.3	7.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	17.8	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.9
1.5	1.16	4.57
2.5	1.53	2.31
3.5	2.32	1.52
4.5	3.94	1.19
5.5	6.93	1.08
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.17	4.40
2	1.18	3.84
2.25	1.35	2.74
2.75	1.64	2.04
3	1.84	1.83
3.25	2.08	1.62
3.75	2.71	1.36
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.74	1.19
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.42	1.47
-1.25	2.17	1.59
-1	1.92	1.79
-0.75	1.68	2.02
-0.5	1.57	2.29
-0.25	1.38	2.71

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.02
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	5.75	1.14
-2.5	4.53	1.15
-2.25	3.90	1.23
-2	3.79	1.21
-1.75	2.89	1.34
0	1.21	3.73
+0.25	1.17	4.20
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.12	6.25
+1	1.05	7.10
+1.5	1.02	9.40

Next Championship matches

6 Nov	Strabane Athletic – Annagh United
6 Nov	Moyola Park – Newry City AFC

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Ards 1-1 Newry City AFC
31 Oct	Ballinamallard United 0-1 Armagh City
31 Oct	Loughgall 0-3 Annagh United
24 Oct	H&W Welders 1-2 Loughgall
23 Oct	Newry City AFC 0-2 Newington Youth
23 Oct	Strabane Athletic 0-1 Ballinamallard United