H&W Welders vs Loughgall• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#110.8:2.61-2FT24/101.0:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90BTNX3.95PIN23.45DAFMargin at best6.9%Books8Markets55Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.89	3.95	3.45	7.2%
Betano	1.90	3.85	3.25	9.4%
BetVictor	1.87	3.75	3.40	9.6%
1xBet	1.79	3.85	3.44	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.60	3.40	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.77	3.86	3.35	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.95	2.92	12.8%
William Hill	1.85	3.50	3.25	13.4%
Best of all books	1.90	3.95	3.45	6.9%
Average	1.85	3.79	3.31	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

H&W WeldersLoughgall

Last 10#11Table position#101.23Points per game1.214Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.02.6Goals against · last 51.644Attack rating5638Defence rating6217Form rating8371H2H rating2958Goals model4247Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 15:31 UTC

H&W Welders

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against

20 Oct	A	Armagh City	3-1	W
16 Oct	A	Glenavon FC	0-4	L
10 Oct	A	Institute	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Rathfriland	1-3	L
25 Sep	A	Newry City AFC	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Ballinamallard United	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Annagh United	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Moyola Park	4-1	W
28 Aug	H	Dundela	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Strabane Athletic	2-1	W

Loughgall

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	A	H&W Welders	2-1	W
20 Oct	A	Institute	3-0	W
16 Oct	A	Strabane Athletic	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Moyola Park	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Newry City AFC	2-1	W
25 Sep	A	Glenavon FC	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Armagh City	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Queen's University	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Ballinamallard United	1-6	L
28 Aug	H	Warrenpoint Town	3-3	D

Head to head

9H&W Welders wins

2draws

10Loughgall wins

21 meetings · goals 24:37 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for H&W Welders

11 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Loughgall2-0H&W Welders
24 Jan 2026Championship	Championship	H&W Welders2-1Loughgall
8 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	H&W Welders1-1Loughgall
13 Sep 2025Championship	Championship	Loughgall1-2H&W Welders
27 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	H&W Welders4-3Loughgall
25 Mar 2023Championship	Championship	H&W Welders0-0Loughgall
2 Jan 2023Championship	Championship	H&W Welders2-1Loughgall
17 Sep 2022Championship	Championship	Loughgall4-0H&W Welders
9 Apr 2022Championship	Championship	H&W Welders1-0Loughgall
26 Feb 2022Championship	Championship	H&W Welders1-2Loughgall

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Championship table, H&W Welders sit 11th with 16 points from 13 games, while Loughgall are 10th with 17 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	14	9	4	1	36:16	+20	31
2	Glenavon FC	13	8	3	2	34:16	+18	27
3	Newington Youth	13	8	2	3	29:22	+7	26
4	Institute	13	6	3	4	23:18	+5	21
5	Ballinamallard United	14	6	3	5	20:19	+1	21
6	Queen's University	14	6	2	6	24:18	+6	20
7	Newry City AFC	14	5	5	4	21:23	-2	20
8	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21:17	+4	18
9	Ards	14	4	5	5	16:17	-1	17
10	Loughgall	14	4	5	5	18:26	-8	17
11	H&W Welders	13	5	1	7	19:22	-3	16
12	Moyola Park	13	4	3	6	15:25	-10	15
13	Rathfriland	13	4	1	8	14:25	-11	13
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19:24	-5	11
15	Strabane Athletic	14	2	5	7	13:24	-11	11
16	Armagh City	14	1	6	7	12:22	-10	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X24%3.79227%3.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.85 +8.2%X3.90 → 3.79 -2.8%23.88 → 3.31 -14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.37	9.3%
1xBet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.41	6.9%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Betano	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.46	10.1%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.47	2.46	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

H&W Welders 10%Draw 45%Loughgall 45%

The statistical model rated H&W Welders at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Loughgall at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.79 | 3.31, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: H&W Welders are 11th (16 pts, 19-22 goals), Loughgall 10th (17 pts, 18-26).

Over their last five matches, H&W Welders averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Loughgall averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Loughgall.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.79	3.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.82	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.45

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.39	3.67

2nd half

1	X	2
2.14	2.76	3.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.87	14.5	29.3
HT X	5.23	6.47	8.40
HT 2	19.5	14.5	5.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	20.0	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.0
1.5	1.15	4.72
2.5	1.48	2.39
3.5	2.24	1.56
4.5	3.78	1.21
5.5	6.53	1.09
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.18	4.30
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.32	2.90
2.75	1.58	2.15
3	1.76	1.91
3.25	1.98	1.70
3.75	2.57	1.41
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.50	1.22
5	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.77	1.37
-1	2.48	1.46
-0.75	2.03	1.68
-0.5	1.87	1.85
-0.25	1.63	2.11
0	1.42	2.57

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.20	1.05
-2.75	6.80	1.10
-2.5	6.17	1.08
-2.25	5.23	1.15
-2	5.38	1.11
-1.75	3.85	1.20
-1.5	3.09	1.30
+0.25	1.34	2.89
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.22	4.00
+1	1.08	6.35
+1.25	1.10	6.80
+1.5	1.03	7.30

Next Championship matches

6 Nov	Strabane Athletic – Annagh United
6 Nov	Moyola Park – Newry City AFC
6 Nov	Ballinamallard United – Rathfriland

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Ards 1-1 Newry City AFC
31 Oct	Institute 1-1 Moyola Park
31 Oct	Ballinamallard United 0-1 Armagh City
31 Oct	Loughgall 0-3 Annagh United
23 Oct	Strabane Athletic 0-1 Ballinamallard United
23 Oct	Newry City AFC 0-2 Newington Youth