Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#51.0:0.819:45Today1.6:1.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX3.75DAF24.20B365Margin at best5.1%Books8Markets53Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.78	3.75	4.20	6.7%
Betano	1.78	3.65	4.00	8.6%
BetVictor	1.73	3.70	4.00	9.8%
1xBet	1.76	3.44	4.00	10.9%
Bet365	1.65	3.70	4.20	11.4%
Pinnacle	1.83	3.34	3.68	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.44	3.90	12.2%
William Hill	1.80	3.20	3.80	13.1%
Best of all books	1.83	3.75	4.20	5.1%
Average	1.76	3.53	3.97	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ballinamallard UnitedRathfriland

Last 10#5Table position#131.50Points per game1.008Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.238Attack rating6260Defence rating4044Form rating560H2H rating055Goals model4549Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 09:40 UTC

Ballinamallard United

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

31 Oct	H	Armagh City	0-1	L
23 Oct	A	Strabane Athletic	1-0	W
20 Oct	H	Queen's University	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Warrenpoint Town	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Queen's University	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Ards	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Newington Youth	0-4	L
19 Sep	A	H&W Welders	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Glenavon FC	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Loughgall	6-1	W

Rathfriland

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

30 Oct	H	Strabane Athletic	2-2	D
20 Oct	H	Ards	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Dundela	1-0	W
9 Oct	H	Armagh City	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	H&W Welders	3-1	W
25 Sep	H	Warrenpoint Town	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Queen's University	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Ards	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Institute	0-2	L
28 Aug	A	Glenavon FC	1-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ballinamallard United and Rathfriland on record.

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Ballinamallard United sit 5th with 21 points from 14 games, while Rathfriland are 13th with 13 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	14	9	4	1	36:16	+20	31
2	Glenavon FC	13	8	3	2	34:16	+18	27
3	Newington Youth	13	8	2	3	29:22	+7	26
4	Institute	13	6	3	4	23:18	+5	21
5	Ballinamallard United	14	6	3	5	20:19	+1	21
6	Queen's University	14	6	2	6	24:18	+6	20
7	Newry City AFC	14	5	5	4	21:23	-2	20
8	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21:17	+4	18
9	Ards	14	4	5	5	16:17	-1	17
10	Loughgall	14	4	5	5	18:26	-8	17
11	H&W Welders	13	5	1	7	19:22	-3	16
12	Moyola Park	13	4	3	6	15:25	-10	15
13	Rathfriland	13	4	1	8	14:25	-11	13
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19:24	-5	11
15	Strabane Athletic	14	2	5	7	13:24	-11	11
16	Armagh City	14	1	6	7	12:22	-10	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X26%3.53223%3.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.76 → 1.76 0.0%X3.49 → 3.53 +1.1%23.90 → 3.97 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
BetVictor	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.74	1.95	8.8%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.74	2.25	1.9%
Average	1.69	2.06	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
William Hill	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.64	2.08	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ballinamallard United 35%Draw 35%Rathfriland 30%

The statistical model rates Ballinamallard United at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Rathfriland at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.53 | 3.97, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Ballinamallard United win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Championship table: Ballinamallard United are 5th (21 pts, 20-19 goals), Rathfriland 13th (13 pts, 14-25).

Over their last five matches, Ballinamallard United averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Rathfriland averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ballinamallard United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	3.53	3.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.92	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.23	4.40

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.58	3.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.56	14.8	35.0
HT X	4.82	6.13	9.67
HT 2	19.7	15.8	6.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	13.6	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.3
1.5	1.20	3.86
2.5	1.69	2.06
3.5	2.64	1.40
4.5	4.30	1.17
5.5	8.73	1.05
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.91
2.25	1.52	2.28
2.75	1.88	1.79
3	2.14	1.60
3.25	2.45	1.44
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.16
4.25	4.00	1.20

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.90	1.34
-1.25	2.61	1.41
-1	2.32	1.53
-0.75	1.95	1.75
-0.5	1.76	1.99
-0.25	1.54	2.28

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.04
-3	7.10	1.05
-2.75	6.80	1.10
-2.5	5.55	1.11
-2.25	4.80	1.17
-2	4.80	1.13
-1.75	3.49	1.25
0	1.33	3.00
+0.25	1.26	3.39
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.14	5.75
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	8.10

Next Championship matches

6 Nov	Strabane Athletic – Annagh United
6 Nov	Moyola Park – Newry City AFC

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Ards 1-1 Newry City AFC
31 Oct	Ballinamallard United 0-1 Armagh City
31 Oct	Institute 1-1 Moyola Park
31 Oct	Loughgall 0-3 Annagh United
24 Oct	H&W Welders 1-2 Loughgall
23 Oct	Newry City AFC 0-2 Newington Youth