Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth• Championship, Northern-Ireland

#61.8:1.418:45Today · The Showgrounds, Newry1.4:2.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55DAFX3.90DAF22.40BTNMargin at best6.5%Books5Markets47Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	3.90	2.36	7.2%
Betano	2.52	3.65	2.40	8.7%
Bet365	2.40	3.60	2.35	12.0%
1xBet	2.46	3.68	2.25	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.46	3.68	2.25	12.3%
Best of all books	2.55	3.90	2.40	6.5%
Average	2.48	3.70	2.32	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newry City AFCNewington Youth

Last 10#6Table position#31.58Points per game1.927Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 52.456Attack rating4463Defence rating3757Form rating4329H2H rating7153Goals model4751Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:31 UTC

Newry City AFC

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

20 Oct	A	Carrick Rangers	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	Queen's University	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Dundela	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Loughgall	1-2	L
25 Sep	H	H&W Welders	3-2	W
18 Sep	H	Annagh United	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Strabane Athletic	2-2	D
4 Sep	H	Armagh City	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Institute	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	Warrenpoint Town	0-3	L

Newington Youth

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:21 · per match 2.0 for, 2.1 against

20 Oct	H	Ballymena United	1-3	L
16 Oct	A	Moyola Park	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	Ards	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Institute	0-7	L
26 Sep	H	Ballinamallard United	4-0	W
19 Sep	A	Glenavon FC	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Dundela	5-5	D
5 Sep	A	Warrenpoint Town	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Strabane Athletic	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Rathfriland	4-0	W

Head to head

2Newry City AFC wins

1draws

4Newington Youth wins

7 meetings · goals 10:11 · last 7: 2W 1D 4L for Newry City AFC

19 Apr 2025Championship	Championship	Newington Youth3-2Newry City AFC
7 Feb 2025Championship	Championship	Newry City AFC0-1Newington Youth
19 Oct 2024Championship	Championship	Newry City AFC3-1Newington Youth
31 Aug 2024Championship	Championship	Newington Youth3-3Newry City AFC
3 Feb 2024Irish Cup	Irish Cup	Newry City AFC1-2Newington Youth
8 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Newry City AFC1-0Newington Youth
23 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Newry City AFC0-1Newington Youth

Championship tableChampionship 1updated 22 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the Championship table, Newry City AFC sit 6th with 19 points from 12 games, while Newington Youth are 3rd with 23 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Annagh United	12	7	4	1	28:15	+13	25
2	Glenavon FC	12	7	3	2	30:14	+16	24
3	Newington Youth	12	7	2	3	27:22	+5	23
4	Queen's University	12	6	2	4	21:9	+12	20
5	Institute	12	6	2	4	22:17	+5	20
6	Newry City AFC	12	5	4	3	20:20	0	19
7	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21:17	+4	18
8	Ballinamallard United	12	5	3	4	19:18	+1	18
9	H&W Welders	12	5	1	6	18:20	-2	16
10	Ards	12	4	3	5	14:15	-1	15
11	Loughgall	12	3	5	4	16:22	-6	14
12	Moyola Park	12	4	2	6	14:24	-10	14
13	Rathfriland	12	4	0	8	12:23	-11	12
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19:24	-5	11
15	Strabane Athletic	12	2	4	6	11:21	-10	10
16	Armagh City	12	0	5	7	10:21	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.48X24%3.70239%2.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.45	2.50	9.0%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.45	2.62	7.1%
Average	1.42	2.58	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Betano	1.40	2.65	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.82	4.9%
Average	1.39	2.71	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newry City AFC 35%Draw 35%Newington Youth 30%

The statistical model rates Newry City AFC at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Newington Youth at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.70 | 2.32, which imply roughly 40.3% for a Newry City AFC win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Championship table: Newry City AFC are 6th (19 pts, 20-20 goals), Newington Youth 3rd (23 pts, 27-22).

Over their last five matches, Newry City AFC averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Newington Youth averaged 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Newry City AFC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.48	3.70	2.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.42	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.82

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.94	2.40	2.77

2nd half

1	X	2
2.69	2.80	2.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.88	13.3	21.0
HT X	6.37	6.43	6.30
HT 2	21.7	14.3	3.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.91	21.0	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	21.0
1.5	1.13	5.22
2.5	1.42	2.58
3.5	2.07	1.66
4.5	3.36	1.26
5.5	5.73	1.11
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
2	1.12	4.70
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.49	2.34
3	1.63	2.07
3.25	1.82	1.82
3.75	2.30	1.50
4	2.78	1.34
4.25	3.08	1.28
4.75	3.90	1.22
5	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.42	1.52
-0.25	2.18	1.59
0	1.92	1.78
+0.25	1.68	2.03
+0.5	1.55	2.38
+0.75	1.39	2.67

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.03
-2	6.50	1.07
-1.75	5.90	1.13
-1.5	4.70	1.14
-1.25	3.98	1.22
-1	3.92	1.20
-0.75	2.95	1.33
+1	1.24	3.46
+1.25	1.20	3.86
+1.5	1.17	4.25
+1.75	1.14	5.75
+2	1.02	8.00
+2.5	1.01	8.80

Next Championship matches

23 Oct

Strabane Athletic – Ballinamallard United

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

17 Oct	Armagh City 1-3 Annagh United
17 Oct	Ballinamallard United 2-2 Warrenpoint Town
16 Oct	Ards 0-2 Institute
16 Oct	Glenavon FC 4-0 H&W Welders
16 Oct	Moyola Park 2-3 Newington Youth
16 Oct	Strabane Athletic 1-1 Loughgall